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According to the Financial Times, diplomats say Russia has benefited from rising oil prices, a suspension of US sanctions, and the rapid depletion of US ammunition needed by Kyiv.According to the Financial Times, four EU diplomats involved in the Ukraine talks said the Middle East conflict has diverted Washingtons attention from a peace agreement.On the 14th local time, Argentinas Ministry of Energy announced an increase in the countrys withholding tax rate on oil exports. According to the Ministry, the withholding tax rate on conventional oil exports from Chubut, Santa Cruz, Mendoza, and Neuquén provinces will rise from 3.36% to 8%.According to Irans Tasnim News Agency, 20 people have been arrested in northwestern Iran for providing information on military locations to Israel.March 15th - According to NHK, following Trumps expression of hope that Japan would join the US in maintaining the "openness and security" of the Strait of Hormuz, a senior official stated that any decision to send Japanese warships to the Middle East for escort missions would face a "very high hurdle." Liberal Democratic Party policy research chief Takayuki Kobayashi, responding to Trumps call to send warships to the Middle East, said that while the law does not completely rule out this possibility, given the ongoing conflict, it is an issue that requires careful judgment. Japans economy is heavily reliant on oil imports from the Middle East. However, Japan has yet to make a clear statement on the war with Iran. When asked about this in parliament last week, Sanae Takaichi stated that there are currently no plans to send minesweepers to help clear mines around the Strait, at least until the end of the US-Israel-Iran war. Kobayashi stated on a Sunday program that, given Trumps tendency to change his tune, Takaichi should use her personal relationship with Trump to ascertain his true intentions.

The Japanese Yen at the Pump Again, as PMI Friday commences. Where can I buy USD/JPY?

Larissa Barlow

Apr 02, 2022 09:54

Tips 

  • The Japanese Yen resumed its unbroken downward march.

  • In a rather calm session, APAC equities were mixed.

  • Prior to the US non-farm payrolls, a series of PMIs will be released.

 

The Japanese yen fell more today, but the other G-10 currencies remained relatively stable. It was left to its own devices in the absence of any commentary/jawboning from Bank of Japan (BOJ) officials.

 

Japan's Jibun Bank PMI increased from 54.1 last month to 54.1, while China's Caixin PMI fell short of expectations at 48.1.

 

APAC equities markets remained quiet following a more than 1.5 percent decline in Wall Street's three major indices. Hong Kong and Japan ended slightly down, the Chinese mainland ended slightly higher, and the Australian share market ended flat heading into the weekend.

 

Crude oil appears to be vulnerable, with the WTI futures contract trading below US$ 100 a barrel. Brent is currently trading at roughly US$ 104.50. Gold has been relatively stable, selling about US$ 1,937 an ounce.

 

Government bond yields have increased marginally in Asia, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury note nearing 2.4 percent. The carefully studied 2-10's segment of that curve momentarily dropped into negative territory and remains close to inversion at 0.005 percent.

 

Following European PMIs and the Eurozone's aggregate CPI figure, the US will receive March non-farm payrolls data, with predictions of 490,000 jobs added, according to a Bloomberg survey. Later this week, the US and Canadian PMIs will be issued, followed by the ISM manufacturing survey for the United States.

 

Additionally, a number of ECB and Fed speakers will cross the wires.

Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY

USD/JPY began the week on a strong note, surging to its highest level since 2015.

 

The August 2015 and June 2015 peaks of 125.28 and 125.86, respectively, fell barely shy of the 125.108 record. These levels may continue to act as a barrier.

 

The explosion in volatility can be observed in the breadth of the Bollinger Band based on the 21-day simple moving average (SMA), which expanded considerably throughout the move.

 

It has since returned within the band's confines, initially testing support at the 10-day SMA at 121.317, which held. If tried again, that level may provide support.

 

As expected, all short, medium, and long-term SMAs are pointing upward. A persistent move below the 10-day SMA may provide insight into whether or not that momentum is about to stall.

 

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