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On June 6, Russian President Vladimir Putin stated at the plenary session of the 29th St. Petersburg International Economic Forum on June 5 that the Russian governments task is to strive for a return to steady economic growth starting next year, and one of the conditions for achieving this is to increase investment and launch a new investment cycle. Putin said that from 2021 to 2024, Russias actual investment increased by nearly 38%, but this figure declined last year. Launching a new investment cycle is a key task for the governments economic departments, and investment growth is an important indicator of their effectiveness. He also said that to achieve balanced economic growth, it is necessary to rely on domestic demand and maintain a continued decline in the inflation rate. Currently, Russian inflation has slowed significantly, and the inflation rate is expected to be close to 5.2% this year. Putin emphasized that a strong sovereign state cannot be isolated. Russia must both independently produce essential products and strengthen infrastructure construction, while also strengthening exchanges, cooperation, and promoting cross-border cooperation projects with foreign partners.On June 6, the Argentine Ministry of Health announced on June 5 that it would expand its investigation into the Hantavirus by sending an expert team to Mendoza Province in western Argentina. In a statement, the Ministry said that based on rodent behavior and epidemiological criteria, the expert team decided to expand the investigation to Mendoza Province. A team comprised of experts from the Carlos Malván Institute of the National Institute of Laboratories and Health of Argentina and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention will conduct the investigation in Mendoza Province from June 8 to 12. The team will set traps to capture rodents such as the long-tailed dwarf rice rat, which are linked to the spread of Hantavirus. All samples will undergo preliminary processing in the on-site laboratory and then be temporarily stored at a local facility before being transported to the Malván Institute.June 6th - Stronger-than-expected US non-farm payroll data for May ignited market concerns about a Federal Reserve rate hike this year. On Friday, previously crowded and highly valued AI and technology stocks suffered a sharp decline, while gold and silver prices also plummeted. Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, noted, "The technology and semiconductor sectors have experienced a record rally over the past nine weeks, and today the market dam finally broke. The stronger-than-expected jobs report has put the Fed in a dilemma regarding whether to cut rates for the remainder of the year, and the market is expressing its dissatisfaction by selling off its best-performing stocks this year." Phil Streible, chief market strategist at Blue Line Futures, pointed out that some investors reduced their gold holdings to offset losses in other assets, exacerbating the selling pressure on precious metals. Bart Melek, global head of commodities strategy at TD Securities, stated, "The non-farm payroll data significantly exceeded market expectations. Given the ongoing Middle East wars, high energy prices, and significant inflationary pressures, the Fed has virtually no intention of cutting rates. In this context, the cost of holding gold is becoming increasingly high."June 6th - In Jinan, AI models are now being mass-produced on assembly lines, much like automobiles. The first step in producing AI models begins in the data workshop, essentially the raw material warehouse for the entire large model factory. Massive amounts of raw data are cleaned, filtered, and labeled here, transforming them into qualified raw materials for model production. The second step is model forging. In the model workshop, the employees on the production line are the "large models" themselves, and various large models become "digital craftsmen," training the models according to order requirements. The trained AI models then enter the third step: rigorous final testing. What leaves the model workshop is only a semi-finished product. In the factorys evaluation center, new models are constantly given "tests." If they fail the test, they are sent back for rework. Only by passing the rigorous "final test" can the model enter the market. Passing the test leads to the fourth step—integration training. In the integration workshop, the models are "integrated" into robotic arms and robots. Through repeated motion collection and training, the AI or intelligent agent can master physical skills before it can empower various industries. The seemingly simple four-step process actually includes 75 meticulous procedures, reducing the AI model development cycle from 90 person-days to 20 person-days.On June 6, Mohsen Rezaei, military advisor to Irans Supreme Leader, warned in an interview with CNN on June 5 that if the fighting continues and the US does not lift its naval blockade of Iran, the conflict could spread to a wider area, including the Indian Ocean, and Iran would also strike more US military bases, at which point the US would suffer "very heavy" losses.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD rises on Powell's dovish speech

Daniel Rogers

Dec 01, 2022 14:59

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The price of gold is increasing as a result of Jerome Powell's dovish speech on Wednesday, which weakened the US Dollar. At the time of writing, the Gold price is up approximately 0.6% and has risen from a low of $1,744.95 to a daily high of $1,765.

 

Earlier in the day, the price of gold reduced gains as US bond yields rose in anticipation of a highly anticipated speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Powell stated, however, that policy will likely need to stay tight for some time and that it makes sense to slow the rate of interest rate hikes. The time to reduce the pace of rate hikes could arrive as early as the December meeting, according to him.

 

As a result, the gold price is on course for its best month since May 2021, thanks to the dollar's decline. Last observed, the US dollar index, DXY, was down 0.5% to 106.29, while the yield on the US 10-year note was down to 3.694%, not far from the November 28th low of 3.62%. The greenback is poised for its largest monthly loss since September 2010 as investors anticipate the Federal Reserve to reach its target interest rate in the first quarter of 2019. After four consecutive 75 bps rate hikes, the markets are now pricing in a 75% possibility of a lower 50 bps boost in December.

 

Moreover, evidence revealed that the labor market began to cool. In October, the number of job opportunities in the United States decreased to 10.3 million. The number of hiring and total separations remained relatively stable at 6 million and 5.7 million, respectively. "Job vacancies have decreased from their peak of just under 12 million in March, but with 1.7 job postings per unemployed person in the United States, the gap between labor demand and supply remains considerable," ANZ Bank analysts explained.

 

TD Securities analysts contend that a bull trap is being set in precious metals markets. "Over the past few days, systematic trend followers have substantially covered their gold shorts, while the strong price action has likely continued to draw additional long interest from discretionary money managers seeking a recession hedge amid peak central bank hawkishness."

 

"However," stated the analysts, "narrative is chasing prices, and we see many events on the docket that could spark a renewed leg lower as CTAs run out of dry powder on the bid. Alongside inflation and employment data, Chair Powell's speech is a prime possibility for a catalyst.