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On November 11th, economists at ABN AMRO stated in a report that the politicization of US institutions and pressure on independent agencies under the Trump administration pose a risk to the dollars dominance as the global reserve currency. They pointed out that the decline of US institutions has continued rapidly since the beginning of the year, raising serious concerns about the reliability of the dollar reserve system. The White House is firing oversight agencies, prosecuting political opponents, dismantling regulation, and restructuring institutions in a deeply partisan manner. They stated that this raises questions about whether the US can continue to maintain its rule-abiding, diversified institutions and strong markets—factors that attract investment to the US and support the dollar.On November 11, a Turkish prosecutor called for a more than 2,000-year prison sentence for Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu in a corruption case, potentially barring President Erdogans strongest challenger from running in the next presidential election. The 3,900-page indictment names 402 suspects and describes Imamoglu, the most prominent opposition figure, as the "founder and leader of a criminal organization." Charges include bribery and accepting bribes. Following the news, the Turkish stock market plummeted, with Istanbuls benchmark index falling 3.1% by the afternoon local time. The index is heading for its biggest one-day drop since early September.Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov: Russia is ready to discuss its concerns with the United States regarding Russias "suspicious underground activities."Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov: Russia is concerned about the United States claim that it will use nuclear tests for geopolitical purposes.Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov: It is possible that the new Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty could be extended for another year at any time before it expires on February 5.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD attempts to increase auction profile over $1,750 as the US Dollar becomes turbulent

Daniel Rogers

Nov 30, 2022 15:20

截屏2022-11-08 下午5.37.34_1024x576.png

 

After a significant recovery above $1,748.00 during the Tokyo session, the gold price (XAU/USD) aims to move its business beyond $1,750.00. As the US Dollar index (DXY) has become volatile in advance of Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell's speech, the precious metal has attracted buying interest. This time, the Fed Chair's speech will have a substantial influence, as investors will glean hints regarding a slower rate of interest rate hikes.

 

The USD Index has attracted some bids at 106.60 following a decline and is expected to remain on edge as Wednesday's New York session will reveal important economic catalysts in addition to Fed Chair Powell's speech. S&P500 futures have regained a portion of their early-Asia losses. The yields on 10-year US Treasuries remain rock-solid over 3.74 percent.

 

Employment data from Automatic Data Processing (ADP) in the United States will be the most influential factor on the gold price. Preliminary estimates indicate that the US economy added 200k jobs in November, compared to 239k in October. The labor market data is suffering as a result of rising interest rates, which have prompted businesses to pause the hiring process due to rising concerns of a future slowdown.

 

On an hourly scale, the gold price is fluctuating between $1,740 and $1,760 before to the announcement of significant economic catalysts and Fed Powell's speech. The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,751.00 is converging with the asset, indicating a forthcoming consolidation.

 

In the meantime, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) oscillates continually between 40.00 and 60.00, indicating that investors are on the sidelines ahead of significant developments.

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