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On November 11th, economists at ABN AMRO stated in a report that the politicization of US institutions and pressure on independent agencies under the Trump administration pose a risk to the dollars dominance as the global reserve currency. They pointed out that the decline of US institutions has continued rapidly since the beginning of the year, raising serious concerns about the reliability of the dollar reserve system. The White House is firing oversight agencies, prosecuting political opponents, dismantling regulation, and restructuring institutions in a deeply partisan manner. They stated that this raises questions about whether the US can continue to maintain its rule-abiding, diversified institutions and strong markets—factors that attract investment to the US and support the dollar.On November 11, a Turkish prosecutor called for a more than 2,000-year prison sentence for Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu in a corruption case, potentially barring President Erdogans strongest challenger from running in the next presidential election. The 3,900-page indictment names 402 suspects and describes Imamoglu, the most prominent opposition figure, as the "founder and leader of a criminal organization." Charges include bribery and accepting bribes. Following the news, the Turkish stock market plummeted, with Istanbuls benchmark index falling 3.1% by the afternoon local time. The index is heading for its biggest one-day drop since early September.Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov: Russia is ready to discuss its concerns with the United States regarding Russias "suspicious underground activities."Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov: Russia is concerned about the United States claim that it will use nuclear tests for geopolitical purposes.Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov: It is possible that the new Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty could be extended for another year at any time before it expires on February 5.

WTI fluctuates below $80 as investors redirect their attention to Fed comments

Alina Haynes

Nov 30, 2022 15:23

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West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) are fluctuating below the key resistance of $80.00 during the early European session. As investors anticipate a fresh impetus from Federal Reserve (Fed) chairman Jerome Powell's upcoming address, oil prices have been neglected by market players.

 

The black gold has drifted sideways following Monday's phenomenally strong buying action near $74.00. Prior to Fed Powell's speech, the recent increase and bullish expectations for oil prices are contingent on considerable pressure on the US Dollar. After a dip in inflation in October, investors are eager to know if the Federal Reserve is seriously considering a slower rate of interest rate increases.

 

The United States American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a large decline in oil inventories for the week ending November 25. This has also contributed to a rise in oil prices. The oil supply has decreased by 7.85 million barrels. This is the third straight decline in oil inventory published by the API, which has given the oil bulls a shot of adrenaline. However, investors will await the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) official oil inventory report for relevant indicators.

 

The case for supply concerns has been supported by news reports from Russia that the country will not provide oil under a price cap anyway, as stated by the country's Deputy Prime Minister, Alexander Novak.

 

In addition, predictions that OPEC+ will expand supply cutbacks at its December meeting are keeping oil bulls in check. The oil cartel declared that the promise to reduce production by two million barrels per day will be extended to the end of CY2023. In light of the current decline in oil prices, the oil mafia may increase production cuts.


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