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Musks lawyers said that despite the announcement of nonprofit control, Musk will continue to pursue litigation against OpenAI.Futures May 6 news, the recent weak oil prices, may be due to OPEC + speeding up production is being implemented, short-term weakness may imply that the market obviously lacks confidence and expectations tend to be consistent, in the medium term, US oil in the previous production reduction bottom range under pressure to fall, the medium-term pressure moved down to US $ 6 / barrel, trading may again anchor to supply and demand expectations, under the current OPEC + speed up production expectations, oil prices may still be under pressure, the difference may be the new equilibrium price expectations need to be determined through trading, and what path to achieve a new balance. From the perspective of technical analysis, oil prices fell below the production reduction bottom for many years in the form of a sharp drop and then rebounded to around $ 65 / barrel to form a downward trend again, the weekly level of US oil has shown a break and return to test and downward state, the medium-term weak pattern may be difficult to change, the probability of turning to a band-like decline is higher, and the lower space is open, in the medium term, there is $ 15 / barrel space, the short-term pressure moved down to around $ 60.4 / barrel, the trading end still maintains the idea of shorting at highs in the medium term, short and put options pay attention to protect floating profits.A Reuters poll found that Malaysias central bank will keep its overnight policy rate at 3.00% on May 8, 2024, with 24 of 30 economists holding this view. Malaysias central bank will cut its overnight policy rate to 2.75% by the end of the fourth quarter, down from 3.00% in the April survey.The mayor of Moscow said Russian defense forces shot down five Ukrainian drones flying towards Moscow.On May 6, according to CMEs "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 97.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.7%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by June is 69.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 29.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.8%.

Gold Price Prediction: The XAU/USD pair will go below $1700 after a positive NFP report, followed by the CPI

Daniel Rogers

Oct 10, 2022 11:23

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The gold price declined after the U.S. Labor Department released employment data that exceeded expectations, thereby validating the Fed's need for additional tightening and supporting the dollar. Consequently, XAU/USD is currently trading at approximately $1690, below its initial price.

 

Prior to the announcement of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report, the price of gold hovered around $1710. Gold's initial reaction to the headline, however, was a decline into the $1700 region, but this initial movement quickly vanished. In a volatile reaction, it extended its losses below $1700 at the time of typing.

 

US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data revealed that the US economy added 263K new jobs, above predictions of 250K, while the unemployment rate decreased to 3.5% from 3.7%. Even while the reading is lower than August's, it was above expectations, which would strengthen the case for a Federal Reserve rate hike.

 

In the meanwhile, money market futures have put in a 92% likelihood of a Fed rate hike of 75 basis points, up from 85.5% prior to the US Nonfarm Payrolls report.

 

US Treasury bond yields rose, with the 10-year US Treasury bond yield increasing three basis points to 3.865%, while the US Dollar Index, a measure of the dollar's value vs six other currencies, rose 0.28% to 112.565.

 

Now that the US Nonfarm Payrolls report is in the rearview mirror, the next significant events on the US calendar are the September CPI statistics and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment study, both of which will take place in the coming week.