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Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD aims for $1,620.00 as yields surge and the Fed raises rates. Powell's address targeted

Alina Haynes

Sep 28, 2022 14:47

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Gold price (XAU/USD) is fluctuating at $1,625.00 after falling below the Asian session consolidation range of $1,626.83-1,632.72. The precious gold continues to decline after encountering obstacles over $1,640.00. Amid increasing U.S. Treasury yields, the price of gold is anticipated to fall to around $1,620.00. In addition, market participants will keep the precious metal on edge prior to Jerome Powell's Federal Reserve (Fed) address.

 

Fed Powell will sound hawkish and present a road map for additional rate hikes in the remainder of 2022, taking into account the responsiveness of the drop in price pressures to the central bank's rate of rate hikes. The Fed will want to remain data-dependent in 2023. As the gap between current rates and the goal terminal rate of 4.6% is relatively small in 2023, it seems certain that the Fed will slow the pace of rate hikes.

 

In the meantime, the continuous battle against inflationary pressures is boosting the yields on US Treasury securities. The benchmark 10-year rate has reached 4% for the first time since 2010. After reaching a crucial level, yields have experienced selling pressure but have opened the door for additional gains.

 

On an hourly basis, gold prices are exhibiting a reduction in volatility amid auctions inside a restricted range of $1,621.46-1,648.33. An explosion in the same will produce wider ticks and a high volume. The horizontal resistance is derived from the low on September 16 of $1,654.17.

 

Around $1,640.00, the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) has performed as a significant barrier for the counter. In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has slipped into the negative 20.00-40.00 region, triggering a momentum decline.


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