Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD hopes to reclaim $1,800 as investors lower their expectations for US inflation

After reaching a new monthly high at about $1,800.00 on Tuesday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) is now showing a contraction in volatility. On Tuesday, the precious metal made a respectable rise to the north before moving sideways in anticipation of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI). According to the street estimates, the inflation rate decreased considerably from the previous announcement by 40 basis points (bps) to 8.7%. The price rise index, however, is very likely to make an unexpected shift.

The investment community is aware that rising oil prices continued to be the key factor pushing up price pressures. Now, concerns about fixed supply and a bleak demand forecast on the oil front have caused an even greater decline in oil prices. The inflation rate will also show the multiplier effect.

Additionally, the positive US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data from last week suggests that the inflation rate may climb more than expected. In contrast to the 372k jobs added in June, the US economy added 528k new employment in July. Well, until the dust settles for a longer period of time, officials at the Federal Reserve (Fed) will still have a difficult task.

Following a robust recovery from the lower part of the Rising Channel at roughly $1,765.00, gold prices are currently rising quickly. The upper part of the aforementioned chart pattern is drawn from the high of July 22 at $1,739.37, and the lower part is drawn from the low of July 27 at $1,711.55.

The upside filters are strengthened by the scaling higher of the 20- and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $1,785.15 and $1,772.00, respectively. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has moved into the bullish zone of 60.00-80.00, indicating further gains are still to come.