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On February 26th, Federal Reserve Chairman Schmid stated on Wednesday that excessive inflation remains a key issue the Fed needs to address, but he did not specify how monetary policy should respond. Schmid said, "I think we still have work to do on inflation," while adding, "I think the employment situation is quite good." He did not explain how these factors influence his assessment of the monetary policy outlook. Schmid had previously expressed skepticism about the Feds rate cuts last year, when officials lowered the target interest rate range to 3.5% to 3.75%. Markets expect further rate cuts this year, but officials have provided little guidance. Schmid also discussed the Feds balance sheet, saying internal discussions focused on understanding the appropriate level of reserves needed for the financial system. He pointed out that the large amount of mortgage-backed securities held by the Fed in its past bond-buying activities continues to depress home borrowing costs. Given the current size of the Feds mortgage-backed securities holdings, mortgage rates "may be 75 to 100 basis points lower than they would have been."The Iranian Foreign Ministry confirmed that the Iranian delegation and foreign minister have arrived in Geneva.Federal Reserves Mossallem: Lowering inflation to the target level will help boost consumption and economic growth, and could reduce the 10-year Treasury yield.Federal Reserve Chairman Mussalem: Completing the task of curbing inflation is crucial.Federal Reserves Mossallem: The government shutdown could cause CPI to shift downwards and could continue into April; PCE inflation is a better measure.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAUUSD oscillates above $1,770 as attention switches to US Retail Sales

Daniel Rogers

Nov 15, 2022 16:52

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During the Asian session, the gold price (XAUUSD) is fluctuating in uncharted area above the crucial barrier of $1,770.00. Amid market uncertainty preceding the US midterm elections, the precious metal has moved sideways. However, the public anticipates a decisive victory for Republicans in the House of Representatives.

 

The US dollar index (DXY) is failing to surpass the immediate barrier of 107.00 as the likelihood of the Federal Reserve (Fed) maintaining its current pace of rate hikes decline. In addition, increased demand for U.S. government bonds has caused rates to plummet. In the meantime, S&P500 futures have continued their rebound following Monday's pessimism.

 

The US Retail Sales statistics will be a focal point moving forward. According to predictions, the economic data is expected to be 0.9% compared to the previous release of 0%. The core Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the month of October decreased to 0.3% from 0.6% in the previous report. The combination of a drop in price growth and a substantial increase in retail sales shows healthy retail demand.