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Hong Kong-listed chip stocks declined, with Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) falling over 5%, SMIC (00981.HK) down 3.8%, Innoscience (02577.HK) down 2.5%, and Biren Technology (06082.HK) down 2.4%.On January 20th, U.S. Trade Representative Greer stated in an interview with The New York Times that if the Supreme Court overturns the global tariffs imposed by President Trump under the National Emergency Act, the Trump administration could implement new tariffs almost immediately. The Supreme Court is likely to rule on the tariff case in the coming weeks, possibly as early as Tuesday. This case represents a major test of presidential power and whether the Supreme Court is willing to limit the broad powers Trump has wielded since returning to the White House in January 2025. Greer indicated that the government would replace these tariffs with other taxes "starting the next day."On January 20th, Futures News reported that with the recent easing of tensions in the Middle East, market concerns about oil supply disruptions have diminished, leading to a decline in the geopolitical premium for crude oil prices. The market is now refocusing on the fundamental situation of weakening demand, resulting in weak price fluctuations. Zhuochuang Information predicts that while OPEC+ has suspended production increases, keeping oil supply stable, weak demand remains a drag on fundamentals, causing weak price fluctuations. The outlook is as follows: In the short term, demand is supported, but overall inventory levels remain high, insufficient support for price increases, and a slight stalemate between buyers and sellers. The market is expected to continue its stable-to-strong trend, with prices remaining generally stable and the supply of low-priced goods decreasing.On January 20th, the State Council Information Office held a press conference to introduce the implementation of the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference and the progress in achieving a good start to the 15th Five-Year Plan. Zhou Chen, Director of the Department of National Economic Comprehensive Affairs of the National Development and Reform Commission, stated that looking ahead to 2026, my countrys economic structure will continue to optimize, development momentum will continue to evolve, and the overall development trend will continue to improve. Specifically, new technologies, new products, and new scenarios will emerge, and the National Development and Reform Commission is currently planning and promoting a number of landmark and leading major projects in high-tech industries during the 15th Five-Year Plan period. Online, the innovation chain, industrial chain, and talent chain are accelerating their integration. By 2025, the added value of my countrys digital economy is expected to reach 49 trillion yuan, accounting for approximately 35% of GDP, creating even greater market space in the future. On a broader scale, the innovation-leading role of power source regions continues to strengthen. Currently, my country has 24 innovation clusters ranked among the worlds top 100, ranking first in the world for the second consecutive year.Zhou Chen, Director of the Department of National Economic Comprehensive Affairs of the National Development and Reform Commission, said at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office on the 20th that a number of landmark and leading major projects for high-tech industries during the 15th Five-Year Plan period are currently being planned and promoted.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAUUSD advances to the backside of the bull micro trend

Alina Haynes

Nov 15, 2022 16:49

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Despite a stronger US Dollar, the Gold price reached a new three-month high on Monday as US yields rose in response to Friday's disappointing US Consumer Price Index report. Friday's inflation figures prompted speculators to anticipate that the Federal Reserve would hold off on large interest rate hikes. As a result, demand for gold remains strong.

 

In spite of a hawkish Federal Reserve meeting, in which Fed Chair Jerome Powell pushed back against the market's reaction to a dovish announcement by suggesting that the terminal rate could be higher than initially anticipated, commodities prices have been staging a rebound from their year-to-date lows. A number of factors contribute to the shift in opinion, including rumors that China will relax its zero-Covid restrictions. Due to a recent string of less inflationary US data outcomes, it had been speculated that a Fed policy shift was imminent.

 

US consumer prices grew 0.4% for the month of October and 7.7% year-over-year, as reported on Friday. This was down from 8.2% year-over-year in September and 0.2 percentage points below the consensus, with the ex-food and energy estimate coming in at 6.3%. This was a positive report, and the market's response included a 5.5% increase in the S&P 500 and a 26 basis point drop in the 2-year Treasury rate, which sent gold soaring and the dollar plummeting. Gold traders were already focused on the increase in money managers' short positions over the past few months, which led to significant short covering above the $1,720 resistance level.