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On January 24, local time, an Iranian official stated that the Iranian military is prepared to respond to any possible actions by the United States. The unnamed official said, "The Iranian military is prepared for the worst-case scenario, but we hope that the troop increase will not escalate into actual confrontation." He added, "We consider any potential attack by the United States to be an existential threat to Iran." The official also warned the United States and Israel against such risky actions, stating, "The collapse of Iran would directly lead to the collapse of the region, including Israel." The official added, "Our situation is far better than during the 12-Day War; there is no longer any so-called surprise attack."On January 24th, it was reported that on December 24th of last year, four departments, including the Beijing Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, issued the "Notice on Further Optimizing and Adjusting Relevant Policies of Beijing Real Estate," which involved adjustments to purchase restrictions and credit optimization. Overall, since the implementation of the new policy a month ago, transaction volume has been steadily increasing. Data from Centaline Property shows that since the release of the notice, the average daily number of new home sales contracts has increased by 44.6% month-on-month, with improved housing projects outside the Fifth Ring Road performing particularly well. In the secondary market, after the new policy, the average daily number of viewings at real estate agencies has increased by more than 20% compared to normal, and the average daily transaction volume of secondary homes has exceeded 500 units.January 24th - The Fourth Session of the 14th Beijing Municipal Committee of the Chinese Peoples Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) solemnly opened at the Beijing Conference Center at 9:00 AM today (January 24th). The opening session will review and adopt the "Agenda of the Fourth Session of the 14th Beijing Municipal Committee of the CPPCC," hear the "Work Report of the Standing Committee of the 14th Beijing Municipal Committee of the CPPCC," and hear the "Report of the Standing Committee of the Beijing Municipal Committee of the CPPCC on the Work of Proposals Since the Third Session of the 14th CPPCC."DownDetector, a network monitoring website, reports user complaints that social media platform “X” is experiencing issues.January 24th - The market is widely focused on when the window for reserve requirement ratio (RRR) and interest rate cuts will open. Ming Ming, chief economist at CITIC Securities, stated that based on past experience, a reduction in the relending rate opens up corresponding room for overall interest rate cuts. With a large number of fixed deposits maturing in the first quarter, the pressure on bank interest rate spreads is easing, and the timing of a policy rate cut is expected in the second quarter. "A RRR cut is expected to be implemented in the first quarter, but a comprehensive interest rate cut still needs to wait," analyzed a research report from Galaxy Securities. The report suggests that with fiscal policy taking the lead and monetary policy actively cooperating with fiscal policy, a 50 basis point RRR cut is likely to be implemented. A comprehensive interest rate cut still needs to wait for the right opportunity; it is expected that there will be one to two interest rate cuts throughout the year, totaling a reduction of 10 to 20 basis points in the policy rate, thereby guiding the LPR (Loan Prime Rate) downward, which will then be transmitted to further reduce loan and deposit rates.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAUUSD advances to the backside of the bull micro trend

Alina Haynes

Nov 15, 2022 16:49

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Despite a stronger US Dollar, the Gold price reached a new three-month high on Monday as US yields rose in response to Friday's disappointing US Consumer Price Index report. Friday's inflation figures prompted speculators to anticipate that the Federal Reserve would hold off on large interest rate hikes. As a result, demand for gold remains strong.

 

In spite of a hawkish Federal Reserve meeting, in which Fed Chair Jerome Powell pushed back against the market's reaction to a dovish announcement by suggesting that the terminal rate could be higher than initially anticipated, commodities prices have been staging a rebound from their year-to-date lows. A number of factors contribute to the shift in opinion, including rumors that China will relax its zero-Covid restrictions. Due to a recent string of less inflationary US data outcomes, it had been speculated that a Fed policy shift was imminent.

 

US consumer prices grew 0.4% for the month of October and 7.7% year-over-year, as reported on Friday. This was down from 8.2% year-over-year in September and 0.2 percentage points below the consensus, with the ex-food and energy estimate coming in at 6.3%. This was a positive report, and the market's response included a 5.5% increase in the S&P 500 and a 26 basis point drop in the 2-year Treasury rate, which sent gold soaring and the dollar plummeting. Gold traders were already focused on the increase in money managers' short positions over the past few months, which led to significant short covering above the $1,720 resistance level.