• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
OpenAI plans to begin deploying Jalapeno chips in its computing infrastructure by the end of 2026.August 25th - While Nvidias upcoming earnings report and Federal Reserve Chairman Warshs speech at the Jackson Hole symposium are the main events investors are watching this week, traders in the equity derivatives market have already begun preparing for a potential increase in volatility around the time of the US midterm elections in November. Volatility traders closely monitoring the futures market linked to the VIX volatility index have noted signs of increased demand for hedging S&P 500 volatility before and after the election. The September-expiring VIX futures contract is currently trading around 17.4, but the October contract has risen to 19, and the November contract has further increased to 19.7. Matthew Thompson, co-portfolio manager at Little Harbor Advisors, stated, "With the US election approaching, youre entering a window where the election will impact the VIX. You can already see this spiking in the term structure of the VIX futures." A study by analysts at the Chicago Board Options Exchange Global Markets shows that since 1945, 80% of midterm election years have seen actual volatility higher than the previous year, with an average increase of 3.5 volatility points. In years when both the White House and Congress are controlled by the same party, actual volatility increases by an average of 6 volatility points.August 25th - According to the Financial Times, citing sources familiar with the matter, Trump administration officials last week requested Kyiv not to use long-range missiles and drones to attack Moscow, St. Petersburg, and northern Russia during Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday, while a U.S. plane carrying senior officials was en route to the Russian capital. The sources said Ukraine agreed to this request. Today, a U.S. Air Force C-17 transport plane landed in Moscow. Russia previously stated it was unaware of the specific circumstances of the planes arrival; the Kremlin also stated that no meetings with U.S. government representatives were scheduled for this week.U.S. new home sales fell to their lowest level in six months in July, indicating that even with builders lowering prices and offering incentives, high mortgage rates are still suppressing homebuying demand. According to data released by the government on Tuesday, pending sales of new single-family homes in the U.S. fell 10.5% in July to an annualized rate of 607,000 units. Economists median forecast was 620,000 units. The median price of new homes fell 0.9% year-over-year to $393,800. New home sales have declined in three of the past four months, further indicating that the housing market is under pressure from both high financing costs and high home prices. While builders have achieved some success in boosting demand through free upgrades, subsidized mortgage rates, and price reductions, the entry-level housing market remains constrained by insufficient affordability.On August 25th, US President Trump posted: "I have just been informed by the US Navy that all mines in international waters of the Strait of Hormuz have been cleared and/or detonated. The United States has notified Iran that any ships or vessels laying new mines will be systematically destroyed immediately. We monitor every inch of the Strait through the US Space Force, as well as Pickaxe Mountain and three other destroyed nuclear facilities. We have a zero-tolerance policy for mine-laying, and that policy is in full effect."

Gold Price Prediction: XAUUSD pulls back toward $1,750 ahead of Biden-Xi talks, and the Fed's pivot is anticipated

Daniel Rogers

Nov 14, 2022 18:42

 181.png

 

During Monday's Asian session, the gold price (XAUUSD) consolidates the largest weekly gains since March 2020 near $1,762. In doing so, the precious metal records modest losses within a bullish chart pattern that is one week old.

 

Notably, the light schedule appears to have prompted the XAUUSD retreat near the highest levels in three months. Anxiety ahead of a meeting between US President Joe Biden and China's Prime Minister Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the Group of 20 Nations (G20) summit in Bali is also likely to have prompted the gold buyers to be questioned.

 

Christopher Waller, governor of the Federal Reserve, attempted to defend the bulls by stating, "Rates will not fall until there is 'clear, strong evidence' that inflation is falling."

 

Against this backdrop, S&P 500 Futures retreat from a one-month high, falling 0.30 percent intraday near 3,990, while US 10-year Treasury yields rise six basis points (bps) to 3.89%, recording their first daily gain in four days.

 

As the market attitude deteriorates, updates from Bali can provide amusement for XAUUSD traders. Any spark in China's relations with its global counterpart, as a result of China's support for Russia, should exert additional downward pressure on gold. However, the previous week's discussions of the Fed's easy rate hikes in December, coupled with the disappointing US consumer-centric data, appear to keep gold buyers optimistic.