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On March 28, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that although US Secretary of State Marco Rubio denied claims that the US was pressuring Ukraine to hand over the Donbas region in exchange for security guarantees, all the signals he received during negotiations indicated that Ukraine would only receive US security guarantees after withdrawing its troops from the Donbas region. Previously, Zelenskyy had revealed in an interview that the US was pressuring Ukraine to hand over the Donbas region in exchange for security guarantees. Secretary Rubio refuted Zelenskyys remarks, calling them a "lie."March 28 – According to the Wall Street Journal, Israel has begun limiting the use of its most advanced missile interceptors due to depleted stockpiles caused by ongoing Iranian attacks, forcing the IDF to increasingly rely on upgraded but less capable interceptor systems. Recently, two Iranian missiles struck the southern cities of Dimona and Arad after a failed interception attempt using a modified, lower-level system. Israels air defense system has long been considered one of the most advanced in the world, but has so far relied heavily on the Arrow system to counter long-range ballistic missile threats. However, officials are now limiting the use of these high-end interceptors, turning instead to upgraded versions of the Davids Sling (Israels medium- and long-range air defense system) and even the Iron Dome system, which were not originally designed to deal with such threats.On March 28, Iraqi Electricity Ministry spokesman Ahmed Abadi stated that Iran had halted natural gas supplies to southern Iraq since the evening of March 27, after a previous daily supply of 10 million cubic meters. Abadi added that Iran is also currently limiting its natural gas supplies to central Iraq to 10 million cubic meters per day. He noted that the ongoing instability in the region is impacting oil extraction, production, and exports within Iraq. The Iraqi Electricity Ministry is closely monitoring the situation to ensure that Irans restrictions do not affect the fuel supply needed by power plants in Iraq.On March 28, the Yemeni government issued a statement condemning Iran for dragging Yemen into the regional conflict through its supported armed forces. The statement pointed out that Iran, with the help of the Houthi rebels and other forces, is interfering in regional affairs, undermining national sovereignty, and threatening regional security. The Yemeni government believes that the Houthi actions serve Irans regional strategy. The statement warned that such actions will exacerbate Yemens humanitarian crisis and impact food and energy supplies. The government emphasized that the right to decide on war and peace belongs to the state, and any illegal military action must bear the consequences. The Yemeni government called on the people to refuse mobilization for war and urged the international community to increase pressure on the Houthi rebels and support the restoration of national power, stability, and development. Iran has not yet responded to this statement.On March 28, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) issued a statement saying that, as part of Operation Honest Commitment 4, the IRGC Navy and Space Force conducted strikes against multiple heavy industrial targets in the United States and Israel using missiles and drones in the 85th wave of attacks. The statement indicated that this operation was in retaliation for previous attacks by US and Israeli forces against Iranian civilian industrial facilities. During the operation, Iranian armed forces launched saturation attacks on heavy industrial centers in Israel and other regions, destroying some targets. The IRGC emphasized that if the US and Israel continue to attack Iranian industrial systems, the scale of Irans subsequent retaliation will "exceed their expectations." In addition, during the interception and counterattack operations, Iranian air defense systems shot down a US-made MQ-9 drone over Shiraz. A US F-16 fighter jet was hit in southern Fars province and subsequently crashed while en route to an emergency landing at a base in Saudi Arabia.

E-mini S&P 500 Trying to Build on Monday’s Reversal Bottom

Cory Russell

May 05, 2022 10:40


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After a bumpy day in which the benchmark index swung between gains and losses as the Federal Reserve began a major meeting, June E-mini S&P 500 Index futures finished higher on Tuesday.


Investors were purchasing shares of financial and technology businesses ahead of the Fed's anticipated decision on Wednesday, according to the price action.


June E-mini S&P 500 Index futures closed at 4169.25 on Tuesday, up 18.25 points or 0.44 percent. The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) closed at $416.39, up $1.91 or 0.46%.


Energy and financials both rose 2.9 percent and 1.3 percent, respectively, among the 11 major S&P 500 sectors. The S&P 500 banks index increased by 2%, with Citigroup Inc up 2.9 percent.


The Federal Reserve is the focus of attention.


When the Federal Reserve finishes its two-day meeting on Wednesday, it is expected to raise interest rates by 50 basis points and reveal plans to shrink its $9 trillion balance sheet.


The focus, however, will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference, which will include remarks on the future course of interest rates and the decrease of the Fed's balance sheet.

Swing Chart for the Day Analysis of the Technical

According to the daily swing chart, the major trend is down. Since the confirmation of Monday's closing price reversal bottom, however, momentum has been heading upward.


The chart pattern will be negated by a trade through 4056.00, signaling a return of the decline. The major trend will turn to up if the price breaks through 4509.00.


The minor trend is similarly in the negative direction. The minor trend will be changed to up if a transaction is made through 4303.50. This will validate the momentum change.


4303.50 through 4056.00 is the first minor range. The pivot point is 4179.75.


4509.00 to 4056.00 is the second minor range. The pivot point is 4282.50.


4631.00 to 4056.00 is the short-term range. The pivot at 4343.50 will become the next objective if the minor trend swings to up.

Short-Term Prospects

Trader reaction to 4179.75 is likely to determine the direction of the June E-mini S&P 500 Index early Wednesday.

Possibilities for Growth

The presence of buyers will be shown by a prolonged advance over 4179.75. Look for a potential push through the resistance cluster around 4282.50 - 4303.50 if this move generates enough upward momentum.

Scenario that is bearish

The presence of selling will be signaled by a prolonged move below 4179.75. A slight pivot at 4197.75 is the initial downward objective. Look for a retest of the reversal bottom at 4056.00 if this fails.