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Japans foreign exchange reserves stood at $1,207.5 billion in August, compared with $1,287.1 billion in the previous month.1. Monday: ① Data: Germanys July seasonally adjusted industrial production month-on-month; UKs August Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index month-on-month; Switzerlands August seasonally adjusted unemployment rate; Eurozones September Sentix investor confidence index, Eurozones final Q2 GDP annual rate, Eurozones final Q2 seasonally adjusted employment quarter-on-quarter rate; Chinas August foreign exchange reserves. ② Holiday: US and Canadian stock markets are closed on Monday for Labor Day; gold, silver, and oil trading ends early. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Japans July trade balance; Germanys July seasonally adjusted trade balance; Frances July trade balance; US August NFIB small business confidence index, US August New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations; Chinas August trade balance in US dollars, Chinas August trade balance. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: Chinas August CPI year-on-year; Frances July industrial production month-on-month; US ADP employment change week-on-week for the week ending August 22. 4. Thursday: ① Data: US 10-year Treasury auction (to September 9) - winning yield, US 10-year Treasury auction (to September 9) - bid-to-cover ratio, US API crude oil inventories for the week ending September 4; Germanys final August CPI month-on-month rate; Eurozone ECB deposit facility rate (to September 10), Eurozone ECB main refinancing rate (to September 10); US initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, US August PPI year-on-year rate, US August PPI month-on-month rate, US August existing home sales (annualized), US July wholesale sales month-on-month rate, US EIA natural gas inventories for the week ending September 4; Chinas August M2 money supply year-on-year rate. ② Events: EIA releases monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report; OPEC releases monthly oil market report; Apple holds fall product launch event with the theme "Shine New Chapter"; ECB President Lagarde delivers a speech at the Bundesbank official dinner; TSMC releases August 2026 revenue report; ECB President Lagarde holds monetary policy press conference [simultaneous interpretation]. 5. Friday: ① Data: US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending September 4, US EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories for the week ending September 4, US EIA strategic petroleum reserves for the week ending September 4; UK July three-month GDP month-on-month rate, UK July manufacturing output month-on-month rate, UK July seasonally adjusted goods trade balance, UK July industrial production month-on-month rate; Swiss August consumer confidence index; US August unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate, US August seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month rate, US August seasonally adjusted core CPI month-on-month rate, US August unadjusted core CPI year-on-year rate, US September one-year inflation rate expectations preliminary value, US September University of Michigan consumer sentiment index preliminary value. ② Events: A new round of domestic refined oil price adjustments will begin; IEA releases monthly oil market report. 6. Saturday: ① Data: US total number of oil rigs for the week ending September 11. ② Events: ECB President Lagarde delivers a speech. On September 7th, US President Trump tweeted: "Many people have suggested changing the name of New Mexico. New Mexico has historically been one of the most fraudulent states in election history, so why not rename it NEW AMERICA? Its a much nobler and better name for this state with so much potential. Wow, I love that idea!"September 7th - British Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healy will deliver his first major speech on Monday, expected to place regional growth at the heart of his economic vision while pledging to maintain fiscal discipline. Speaking at a British manufacturing company, Healy is expected to announce a £150 million ($203 million) fund to support businesses in northern England and unveil plans to leverage public financial institutions to attract private investment across the UK. According to excerpts from his speech provided by Healys office, he will call these measures "the next chapter in the UK growth story."1. Xiaomis cumulative car deliveries exceed 800,000 units. 2. Rental prices for most Nvidia GPUs have increased. 3. Jensen Huang praises GPT-6 Astra: AGI has arrived. 4. SK Hynix accelerates its 1c DRAM transformation, leading the HBM4E competition in South Korea. 5. The "National Anti-Fraud AI" app is launched. 6. Gurman: Cook will not appear in Apples fall event video; its the era of Tenus. 7. Samsung Electronics DX division union, dissatisfied with the pay gap with other departments, will hold a protest rally in front of Chairman Lee Jae-yongs residence. 8. AI related to OpenAI "hijacked" a German website in May and June this year, with intelligent agents exchanging task answers on the website.

S&P 500 Choppy Ahead of the FOMC Press Conference

Skylar Shaw

May 05, 2022 10:37

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 first attempted to advance during Wednesday's futures market trading session, and it seems that the 4200 level above will continue to act as a bit of barrier. If we can break through the 4200 mark, we'll most likely target the 4300 level. 


The 4300 level is a big, round number with psychological significance. That is a major barrier, and breaching over it would impact the market's general attitude, as it would continue to confirm the enormous hammer that we established throughout the trading session on Monday.


If we break below the bottom of the hammer from Monday's session, we'll most likely target the 4000 handle. Because of the headline noise, the 4000 level underneath it will get a lot of attention, but I believe we will begin to accelerate to the downside at that point. Whatever the case may be, I believe a lot of it boils down to what the Federal Reserve says, and maybe more significantly, how the market interprets it.


Because we will have just completed what is expected to be the largest event for the market this month, the market is likely to experience a strong and impulsive move at this moment. Regardless, there are clearly many fears out there, and unless Jerome Powell can soothe the market jitters, things might become nasty very quickly.