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On July 21st, ByteDances XR (Extended Reality) business, PICO, recently completed a change in its head: due to personal planning reasons, founder Zhou Hongwei will no longer serve as the head of PICO, and Li Xiaokai will take over as head, fully responsible for PICOs business. It is understood that this management handover will not affect PICOs established strategic direction, R&D work, or product plans. This year, PICO will launch a brand-new Mixed Reality (MR) product as planned. As the founder of PICO, Zhou Hongwei has made significant contributions to PICOs growth over the past 11 years. PICO has internally issued a notice confirming Zhou Hongweis departure from the company and expressing gratitude for his long-term dedication and contributions.In a report, Magdalene Teo, Asia fixed income analyst at Julius Baer, noted that with renewed escalation of tensions between the US and Iran, most Asian central banks are likely to maintain their current interest rates and remain hawkish. The report stated that economic growth in Asia is expected to slow this year due to supply chain disruptions and the ongoing impact of global energy price shocks, with both consumers and traditional industries facing pressure. Teo anticipates that the central banks of Japan, South Korea, Indonesia, and the Philippines will maintain a hawkish stance. She added, "However, if US economic data continues to weaken, a weaker dollar could provide some room for Asian central banks to support economic growth."Sanjay Raja of Deutsche Bank stated that the latest UK employment data shows the labor market remains fragile, but initial signs of stabilization have emerged. The data shows the UK unemployment rate remains relatively high at 4.9%, and wage earners have declined again. However, job vacancy data has improved, with the number of job advertisements increasing for the first time since December last year; in the three months to May, layoffs fell to 108,000, the lowest level since July last year. Raja said that the Bank of Englands survey suggests the job market may be turning around, with employers now planning to maintain largely stable staff sizes. Slower wage growth will also be reassuring for the Bank of England as it pushes inflation back to its target level.Kremlin: Russia will continue to crack down on ships involved in supplying the Ukrainian military.Uganda Aviation will purchase four 737-8 aircraft and four 787-9 aircraft from Boeing (BA.N).

Before the US PMI is released, the gold price is expected to rise beyond $1,740 per ounce

Daniel Rogers

Aug 23, 2022 14:48

 截屏2022-08-22 下午5.31.01_1024x576.png

 

On the back of conflicting forecasts for US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data, the gold price (XAU/USD) is trying to break above $1,740.00. A new monthly low of $1,727.85 was recorded for the precious metal on Monday, but it has since rallied strongly. Given the lack of impetus in the upward trend, the gold price is likely to stay volatile. However, a pullback may be less profitable.

 

The consensus for the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is 51.5, which is down from the prior reading of 52.2. When compared to its previous reading of 47.3, the Services PMI has room to grow.

 

The yellow metal has been supported by the disappointing early estimates of US Durable Goods Orders. From a previous release of 2%, the market expects the economic figures to sharply decrease to 0.5%. It's important to note that the most recent reading showed no change in underlying pricing pressures, which stood at 5.9%. So, we expect to see little change, if any, in the Durable Goods Orders numbers. Unfortunately, a precipitous drop in economic statistics portends a precipitous drop in demand.

 

The other thing that will be in the spotlight is Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell's remarks from the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. US economic conditions and Fed Powell's direction on inflationary pressures and interest rates will be determined by him.

 

Gold prices on an hourly scale are looking to continue their recovery after breaking above the $1,729.44 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (set from the low of $1,680.91 on July 21 to the high of $1,807.93 on August 10). Gold has been testing the resistance of the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $1,738.00; a sustained move above this level would signal a change in trend toward the bullish side.

 

Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (14), which had been negative in the 20.00-40.00 range, has moved into the bullish 40.00-60.00 zone, indicating that gold prices are currently not bearish.

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