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September 10th - The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to raise interest rates for the second time since the energy price surge caused by the Iran war, as inflation continues to exceed its target while the regions economy remains surprisingly strong. In a survey, all but one analyst expected the deposit rate to rise 25 basis points to 2.5% on Thursday. New quarterly forecasts will reinforce the case for a rate hike, pointing to rising inflationary pressures and faster economic growth in the eurozone. Policymakers are dealing with consumer price increases that surpassed 3% last month, a level near a three-year high, and unlikely to fall significantly in the coming months. Unlike the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, the ECB raised rates in June and there is little disagreement about taking action again this week.Market news: The U.S. Department of Justice is investigating whether the $20 billion licensing deal between Nvidia (NVDA.O) and AI chip startup Groq was deliberately designed to circumvent antitrust scrutiny.September 10th - According to reports, TSMCs (TSM.N) Phase II expansion of its 1.4nm fab in the Central Taiwan Science Park is accelerating, with the first (P1) fab expected to begin trial operations in April next year. Mass production is anticipated to begin in the second half of 2027, earlier than the originally planned 2028. The report, citing unnamed sources, states that TSMC is building two temporary offices at the site, expected to be completed simultaneously in April next year. Initially, over 5,400 operations and outsourced personnel will be stationed there.On September 10th, 2026, at 9:00 AM, options for hot-rolled coil, stainless steel, and low-sulfur fuel oil were listed on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE). All three options were simultaneously opened to Qualified Foreign Institutional Investors (QFIIs). The low-sulfur fuel oil option, as a specific domestic product, directly allows overseas traders to participate in trading. All three options are American-style options. A total of 236 contracts were listed for trading on the first day, including 48 hot-rolled coil options, 50 stainless steel options, and 138 low-sulfur fuel oil options. Following the listing of these three options, the total number of options listed on the SHFE has increased to 23, covering major sectors such as non-ferrous metals, precious metals, ferrous metals, and energy chemicals. A relevant SHFE official stated that hot-rolled coil, stainless steel, and low-sulfur fuel oil futures have been listed for many years and have operated steadily, becoming important tools for risk management for enterprises in related industries. The listing of these three options is an important measure for the SHFE to expand and improve its business, further enhancing the breadth and depth of services offered for these products. 2. Going forward, the Shanghai Futures Exchange will continue to maintain stable market operations, improve its product system, optimize rules and regulations, strengthen market cultivation and investor education, focus on improving market operation quality and service efficiency, better meet the diversified and refined risk management needs of industrial enterprises, and better serve the high-quality development of the real economy.On September 10th, the Copernicus Climate Change Service, the EUs climate monitoring agency, released a statement saying that August 2026 will be the hottest month since records began in 1940. Data shows that the global average surface temperature in August this year was approximately 16.96 degrees Celsius, slightly higher than the record of approximately 16.95 degrees Celsius set in July 2023, making it the hottest month globally. The global average surface temperature in August was 0.85 degrees Celsius higher than the average for the same period from 1991 to 2020, and 1.65 degrees Celsius higher than the pre-industrial average (1850 to 1900). This marks the first time since November 2025 that the global monthly average temperature has exceeded pre-industrial levels by more than 1.5 degrees Celsius.

NZD/USD finds support near 0.6220; a decline appears more probable due to China's Covid concerns

Alina Haynes

Nov 28, 2022 15:04

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China's anti-Covid shutdown protests have weakened commodity-linked currencies, resulting in a gap-down start of roughly 0.6220 for the NZD/USD pair. During the previous week, the New Zealand dollar dropped after failing to surpass the round-level barrier of 0.6300.

Individuals have taken to the streets in China to demonstrate their opposition against the zero-tolerance policy, leading to a rise in civil unrest. Due to Chinese leader Xi Jinping's conservative posture and authoritarian framework, global markets have become more risk-averse. This has created an economic expansion risk and may worsen the already shaky housing market. Increasing apprehensions about societal risks may also result in political instability, which may have long-lasting detrimental effects on economic structure.

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's most important trading partners, and instability in China could damage the New Zealand Dollar.

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is profiting from investors' liquidity as the demand for safe-haven assets surges. The USD Index is hovering around 106.20 and attempting to reduce volatility as China's anti-locking protests restrict the upside and predictions of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's larger rate hike cycle limit the downside (Fed).

S&P500 futures are under heavy pressure from market players due to a risk-averse market mentality. In anticipation of Fed chief Jerome Powell's address on Wednesday, yields on 10-year US Treasuries have decreased to approximately 3.68 percent. The Fed Chair's speech could dispel suspicions about a pause to the Fed's current rate-hiking program.