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French Prime Minister Le Corny: The conflict with Iran is destined to continue.Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi: As tensions with the United States continue to escalate, Tehran is prepared to negotiate and fight simultaneously, if necessary.1. Four sources say the seven major OPEC+ oil-producing countries are likely to agree to a slight increase in their July production targets when they meet on June 7, despite supply disruptions in several countries due to the war with Iran. The sources say the monthly production targets set by these seven core OPEC+ members are expected to be increased by approximately 188,000 barrels per day. 2. EIA Natural Gas Report: As of the week ending May 15, total U.S. natural gas inventories stood at 2.391 trillion cubic feet, an increase of 101 billion cubic feet from the previous week and 33 billion cubic feet from the same period last year, a year-on-year increase of 1.4%, while being 149 billion cubic feet higher than the 5-year average, an increase of 6.6%. 3. According to Al Jazeera, a senior Iranian official denied reports that Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei had issued a new order requiring enriched uranium to remain within Iran, calling it "propaganda by the enemies of the agreement." The official added, "No new orders have been issued, and Tehrans position remains consistent—Iran will dilute these materials itself, which will also be the topic of the next phase of negotiations." 4. This week, Mysteels Coal and Coke Division surveyed the profit per ton of coke at 30 independent coking plants nationwide. The national average profit per ton of coke was 72 yuan/ton; the average profit for first-grade coke in Shanxi was 106 yuan/ton, in Shandong it was 111 yuan/ton, in Inner Mongolia it was 58 yuan/ton, and in Hebei it was 124 yuan/ton. 5. According to a survey by the Silicon Industry Association, the overall operating rate of the industry this week did not change significantly from last week. The operating rates of two leading companies were 42% and 44% respectively, the operating rate of integrated companies was between 50% and 60%, and the operating rate of other companies was between 50% and 68%. 6. The latest monthly report from the International Grains Council (IGC) shows that global soybean production in 2026/27 is projected to increase by 1 million tons to 442 million tons compared to the previous year, trade volume is expected to decrease by 1 million tons to 190 million tons, and consumption is expected to increase by 1 million tons to 445 million tons; carryover stocks are projected to increase by 1 million tons to 76 million tons. 7. The Party Leadership Group of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a meeting, chaired by Zhang Zhu, Secretary of the Party Leadership Group and Minister. The meeting emphasized the need to strengthen responsibilities and missions, take initiative, and focus on key tasks related to agriculture, rural areas, and farmers. It stressed the importance of ensuring a successful summer harvest, continuously strengthening comprehensive regulation of hog production capacity, and stabilizing prices of hogs and other major agricultural products. 8. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture: As of the week ending May 14, U.S. net export sales of soybeans for the 2025/2026 marketing year totaled 351,400 tons, compared to 102,100 tons the previous week. U.S. soybean oil net export sales for 2025/2026 were 0.1 million tons, compared to -0.06 million tons the previous week. U.S. corn net export sales for 2025/2026 were 2,125,300 tons, compared to 684,800 tons the previous week. 9. Iranian Ambassador to France, Mohammad Amin-Nejad, recently stated: “Iran is discussing with Oman how to establish some kind of permanent toll system to formalize its control over maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran and Oman must mobilize all resources to provide security services and manage navigation in the most appropriate way. This will incur costs, so those countries that hope to benefit from this navigation must also bear their share of the responsibility (i.e., reopening the strait requires paying a fee).The Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Composite Index for May was 8, below the expected 9 and the previous reading of 10.The Atlanta Feds GDPNow model projects U.S. GDP growth of 4.3% in the second quarter, down from its previous forecast of 4.0%.

NZD/USD finds support near 0.6220; a decline appears more probable due to China's Covid concerns

Alina Haynes

Nov 28, 2022 15:04

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China's anti-Covid shutdown protests have weakened commodity-linked currencies, resulting in a gap-down start of roughly 0.6220 for the NZD/USD pair. During the previous week, the New Zealand dollar dropped after failing to surpass the round-level barrier of 0.6300.

 

Individuals have taken to the streets in China to demonstrate their opposition against the zero-tolerance policy, leading to a rise in civil unrest. Due to Chinese leader Xi Jinping's conservative posture and authoritarian framework, global markets have become more risk-averse. This has created an economic expansion risk and may worsen the already shaky housing market. Increasing apprehensions about societal risks may also result in political instability, which may have long-lasting detrimental effects on economic structure.

 

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's most important trading partners, and instability in China could damage the New Zealand Dollar.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is profiting from investors' liquidity as the demand for safe-haven assets surges. The USD Index is hovering around 106.20 and attempting to reduce volatility as China's anti-locking protests restrict the upside and predictions of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's larger rate hike cycle limit the downside (Fed).

 

S&P500 futures are under heavy pressure from market players due to a risk-averse market mentality. In anticipation of Fed chief Jerome Powell's address on Wednesday, yields on 10-year US Treasuries have decreased to approximately 3.68 percent. The Fed Chair's speech could dispel suspicions about a pause to the Fed's current rate-hiking program.