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July 12 – As part of a “political strategy” adjustment, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is considering replacing the country’s prime minister. With Ukraine preparing for winter amid ongoing threats of Russian attacks, he may nominate a state-owned energy company executive or a former prime minister to succeed him. According to sources, Zelensky is considering appointing Sergei Koletsky, head of the state-owned oil and gas company, or former prime minister and current energy minister Denis Shmyhal for the position. Zelensky met separately with Koletsky and Shmyhal on Sunday and received briefings. He has invited current prime minister Yulia Sviridenko to “take charge of new and important areas with key partners” and thanked her for her “clear, robust, and efficient work” over the past year. Zelensky also met with officials including the mayor of Kharkiv and the defense minister. Zelensky stated that winter preparations are of paramount importance, Ukraine needs to be prepared for any threat, and the transformation of state-owned enterprises must be accelerated.On July 12, 2026, the head of the Asian Department of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement regarding the Japanese Foreign Ministers hype surrounding the tenth anniversary of the "South China Sea arbitration ruling" and Japans joint statement with other countries. The Chinese side urgently summoned the chief minister of the Japanese Embassy in China to lodge a solemn representation, expressing strong dissatisfaction and protest. China pointed out that Japan bears historical responsibility for the South China Sea issue and has not yet settled accounts, and has no right to make irresponsible remarks. Japans egregious words and actions challenge the post-war international order and international rule of law, adhere to double standards, distort facts, undermine peace and stability in the South China Sea, and violate the common interests and wishes of regional countries. This has aroused historical vigilance and strong indignation from the international community, including China, regarding Japans aggression and colonial atrocities since modern times. China will resolutely and forcefully counter Japans provocations and firmly defend its territorial sovereignty and maritime rights. China also lodged a strong protest regarding the Taiwan issue, Japans abandoned chemical weapons, Japanese parliamentarians unwarranted comments on Chinas ethnic policies, and a series of negative developments in Japans military and security.The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 3.1 occurred at 22:01 on July 12 near Xinghua City, Taizhou City, Jiangsu Province (32.69 degrees north latitude, 120.10 degrees east longitude). The final result is subject to the official rapid report.Israeli forces: Killed two Hamas members in northern Gaza Strip.On July 12, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced that Russian forces launched a large-scale attack and destroyed multiple Ukrainian military facilities from the night of July 11 to the early morning of July 12. The Ministry stated that Russian forces attacked and destroyed Ukrainian fuel, energy, and transportation facilities, long-range drone storage points, ammunition depots, and temporary deployment points of Ukrainian forces and foreign mercenaries in 158 regions. In the past 24 hours, Russian forces destroyed 585 drones and 11 aerial bombs launched by Ukrainian forces. The acting governor of Belgorod Oblast, Shuvaev, posted on social media on July 12 that in the past 24 hours, Ukrainian forces launched more than 100 attacks on 11 regions of the oblast, resulting in one death and seven injuries. Russian forces intercepted 111 drones. According to Russian media reports, due to the drone attacks, several Russian cities temporarily restricted civilian aircraft takeoffs and landings from the night of July 11 to the early morning of July 12, causing delays to dozens of flights.

NZD/USD finds support near 0.6220; a decline appears more probable due to China's Covid concerns

Alina Haynes

Nov 28, 2022 15:04

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China's anti-Covid shutdown protests have weakened commodity-linked currencies, resulting in a gap-down start of roughly 0.6220 for the NZD/USD pair. During the previous week, the New Zealand dollar dropped after failing to surpass the round-level barrier of 0.6300.

 

Individuals have taken to the streets in China to demonstrate their opposition against the zero-tolerance policy, leading to a rise in civil unrest. Due to Chinese leader Xi Jinping's conservative posture and authoritarian framework, global markets have become more risk-averse. This has created an economic expansion risk and may worsen the already shaky housing market. Increasing apprehensions about societal risks may also result in political instability, which may have long-lasting detrimental effects on economic structure.

 

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's most important trading partners, and instability in China could damage the New Zealand Dollar.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is profiting from investors' liquidity as the demand for safe-haven assets surges. The USD Index is hovering around 106.20 and attempting to reduce volatility as China's anti-locking protests restrict the upside and predictions of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's larger rate hike cycle limit the downside (Fed).

 

S&P500 futures are under heavy pressure from market players due to a risk-averse market mentality. In anticipation of Fed chief Jerome Powell's address on Wednesday, yields on 10-year US Treasuries have decreased to approximately 3.68 percent. The Fed Chair's speech could dispel suspicions about a pause to the Fed's current rate-hiking program.