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Conflict Status 1. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard claims to have struck a US aircraft carrier and destroyer. 2. Israeli attacks in southern Lebanon have resulted in multiple casualties. 3. Clashes between Yemeni government forces and Houthi rebels have left at least 117 people dead. Strait of Hormuz 1. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard released video footage of its actions against vessels violating regulations, claiming that the US escort was a complete lie. 2. Iran says it will declare the Strait of Hormuz a "no-go zone" in the coming days. 3. Secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council: The navigational route map for the Strait of Hormuz agreed upon with Oman will be signed in the coming days. 4. Secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council: Iran will only commit to keeping the Strait of Hormuz open if the US ceases its threats or attacks. 5. UK Maritime Trade Operations Office: 59 vessels passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 48 hours. Other Matters 1. Iranian military: Has demonstrated a new mode of resistance and will not surrender to the US. 2. Lebanese President: Israels attacks have exceeded the scope of the ceasefire agreement and the framework agreement for national institutions. 3. Iranian Parliament Speaker: Any future actions targeting Iranian interests and security will be met with a "faster, fiercer, and more painful" response. 4. The UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and eight other countries issued a joint statement condemning Israels statements regarding the expulsion of Palestinians from the Gaza Strip. 5. Iranian Foreign Ministry: The US waged war but made the whole world pay the price. 6. Iran will raise gasoline prices for heavy users.September 7th - Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Baghae stated: "The Strait of Hormuz was completely unobstructed until February 28th, when the US and Israel invaded Iran. Washington launched an illegal and barbaric war, disrupting normal commercial shipping; oil tankers stopped sailing, trade was interrupted, and energy prices soared. The US started the war, yet expects the whole world to pay for it, while portraying Iran as the instigator of this chaos. This is utterly absurd."September 7th - According to the Financial Times, citing multiple Western defense and intelligence officials, Europe has failed to effectively deter Russias "hybrid warfare" against the continent and must quickly develop new methods to curb Moscows actions against NATO member states, or risk escalating conflict with the Kremlin. Western officials stated that last months thwarted drone strike on Leipzig/Halle airport, carrying military-grade explosives, highlighted Russias brazenness in its aggressive practices against NATO and the ineffectiveness of existing deterrents. They added that a collective action from European countries is needed to address the issue. A senior Western defense official stated, "It is clear that we are doing far too little to deter provocations that do not violate NATOs Article 5." They added, "The deterrent force we provide is sufficient to prevent Russia from escalating conventional and nuclear warfare. But we really need to rethink our strategy for dealing with hybrid warfare."Ukrainian President Zelensky: We may prefer certain forms of negotiation, but worse is that there are no forms of negotiation at all. I want to thank U.S. Special Envoy for the Middle East, Witkov, and Trumps son-in-law, Kushner, for their roles in restarting the negotiation process today. It is very important that the U.S. team met with the Russian leaders and then with me today to discuss all possibilities. We held trilateral talks with European representatives, as well as a meeting of national security advisors, and I believe we will do everything we can to resume negotiations.Alternative for Germany (AfD) leader Johann Sebastian Weidel: We need to maintain good relations with Russia, and especially with the United States. We are now seeing the US sending representatives to Moscow to mediate between Moscow and Kyiv. This was a role that Germany could have played.

NZD/USD finds support near 0.6220; a decline appears more probable due to China's Covid concerns

Alina Haynes

Nov 28, 2022 15:04

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China's anti-Covid shutdown protests have weakened commodity-linked currencies, resulting in a gap-down start of roughly 0.6220 for the NZD/USD pair. During the previous week, the New Zealand dollar dropped after failing to surpass the round-level barrier of 0.6300.

Individuals have taken to the streets in China to demonstrate their opposition against the zero-tolerance policy, leading to a rise in civil unrest. Due to Chinese leader Xi Jinping's conservative posture and authoritarian framework, global markets have become more risk-averse. This has created an economic expansion risk and may worsen the already shaky housing market. Increasing apprehensions about societal risks may also result in political instability, which may have long-lasting detrimental effects on economic structure.

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's most important trading partners, and instability in China could damage the New Zealand Dollar.

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is profiting from investors' liquidity as the demand for safe-haven assets surges. The USD Index is hovering around 106.20 and attempting to reduce volatility as China's anti-locking protests restrict the upside and predictions of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's larger rate hike cycle limit the downside (Fed).

S&P500 futures are under heavy pressure from market players due to a risk-averse market mentality. In anticipation of Fed chief Jerome Powell's address on Wednesday, yields on 10-year US Treasuries have decreased to approximately 3.68 percent. The Fed Chair's speech could dispel suspicions about a pause to the Fed's current rate-hiking program.