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June 2nd - Eurozone inflation surpassed 3% for the first time in two and a half years, further reinforcing expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will raise interest rates at its meeting next week. Eurostat reported on Tuesday that the CPI rose 3.2% year-on-year in May, up from 3% in the previous month and in line with the median forecast. Core inflation, excluding volatile items such as food and energy, rose sharply to 2.5%, exceeding expectations, while the closely watched services index jumped to 3.5%. Markets expect the ECB to raise interest rates in June for the first time since September 2023. Officials appear to have concluded that they can no longer wait and must respond immediately to the impact of the Middle East conflict.On June 2nd, the State Council issued the "15th Five-Year Plan for Accelerating the Modernization of Agriculture and Rural Areas." The plan mentions promoting the research and application of high-end, intelligent agricultural machinery and equipment suitable for hilly and mountainous areas. It also calls for the categorized cultivation of leading enterprises in the agricultural machinery and equipment sector, manufacturing single-item champion enterprises, and specialized and innovative SMEs, supporting enterprises in strengthening production line technological transformation and accelerating digital transformation, and building strong advanced manufacturing clusters and SME characteristic industrial clusters in the agricultural machinery and equipment sector. The plan systematically promotes the research and development of new energy agricultural machinery and equipment technologies, industrial collaboration, and infrastructure construction. It also calls for the orderly development of the low-altitude economy in the agricultural and rural sectors. Furthermore, it emphasizes strengthening independent research and development of modern facility agriculture equipment and the categorized and orderly upgrading and renovation of old facilities. Finally, it implements a "preferential subsidy for superior machinery" and "entry and exit" system for agricultural machinery purchase and application subsidies, as well as the scrapping and replacement of old agricultural machinery.The UK government has unveiled its proposed seventh carbon budget, setting a target of reducing emissions by 87% between 2038 and 2042.Scotiabank raised its price target for Oracle (ORCL.N) from $215 to $290.On June 2nd, the State Council issued the "15th Five-Year Plan for Accelerating Agricultural and Rural Modernization," clarifying the guiding principles, objectives, key tasks, and policy measures for accelerating agricultural and rural modernization during the 15th Five-Year Plan period. The plan emphasizes using accelerated agricultural and rural modernization to better advance Chinas modernization drive. The plan proposes that by 2030, the foundation of food security will be continuously strengthened, the quality, efficiency, and competitiveness of agriculture will be continuously improved, the achievements in poverty alleviation will be further consolidated and expanded, the level of self-reliance in agricultural science and technology will be significantly enhanced, significant progress will be made in building agriculture into a modern large-scale industry, farmers income will continue to grow rapidly, the construction of livable, workable, and beautiful villages will be accelerated, new breakthroughs will be achieved in urban-rural integration, and remarkable results will be achieved in high-quality agricultural and rural development. The plan also provides an outlook for 2035.

NZD/USD finds support near 0.6220; a decline appears more probable due to China's Covid concerns

Alina Haynes

Nov 28, 2022 15:04

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China's anti-Covid shutdown protests have weakened commodity-linked currencies, resulting in a gap-down start of roughly 0.6220 for the NZD/USD pair. During the previous week, the New Zealand dollar dropped after failing to surpass the round-level barrier of 0.6300.

 

Individuals have taken to the streets in China to demonstrate their opposition against the zero-tolerance policy, leading to a rise in civil unrest. Due to Chinese leader Xi Jinping's conservative posture and authoritarian framework, global markets have become more risk-averse. This has created an economic expansion risk and may worsen the already shaky housing market. Increasing apprehensions about societal risks may also result in political instability, which may have long-lasting detrimental effects on economic structure.

 

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's most important trading partners, and instability in China could damage the New Zealand Dollar.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is profiting from investors' liquidity as the demand for safe-haven assets surges. The USD Index is hovering around 106.20 and attempting to reduce volatility as China's anti-locking protests restrict the upside and predictions of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's larger rate hike cycle limit the downside (Fed).

 

S&P500 futures are under heavy pressure from market players due to a risk-averse market mentality. In anticipation of Fed chief Jerome Powell's address on Wednesday, yields on 10-year US Treasuries have decreased to approximately 3.68 percent. The Fed Chair's speech could dispel suspicions about a pause to the Fed's current rate-hiking program.