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1. According to Al Arabiya TV: Oman and Iran will soon issue a joint statement on the transit corridor in the Strait of Hormuz. 2. USDA data shows that for the week ending July 30, net soybean export sales for the 2025/2026 marketing year in the United States were 32,000 tons, significantly lower than the market expectation of 100,000-400,000 tons, compared to 302,000 tons the previous week; export shipments were 346,000 tons, compared to 490,000 tons the previous week. 3. According to USDA agricultural drought monitoring data, as of August 4, 2026, the drought rate in U.S. soybean producing areas was 26%, unchanged from the previous week; compared to 3% in the same period last year, an increase of 23 percentage points. 4. USDA data shows that private exporters reported selling 122,000 tons of soybeans to China for delivery in the 2026/2027 marketing year. 5. According to data released by the Malaysian Palm Oil Association (MPOA), Malaysian palm oil production is estimated to have increased by 7.54% from July 1-31. Production in Peninsular Malaysia increased by 12.63% month-on-month, Borneo by 1.48%, Sabah by 0.77%, and Sarawak by 7.78%. 6. The World Gold Council: Global gold ETFs attracted $3 billion in inflows in July, reversing two consecutive months of outflows, bringing total assets under management to $530 billion; holdings increased by 23 tons to 4,068 tons. 7. The CEO of Albemarle, a global lithium giant, stated that global lithium inventories are low, and the lithium spot market remains tight due to weak supply failing to meet the growing demand from electric vehicles and battery storage. The company raised its 2026 battery storage production forecast by 11% and its lower limit for the 2030 global lithium demand forecast by 100,000 metric tons. 8. Data from the Southern Peninsula Palm Oil Crushers Association (SPPOMA) shows that from August 1st to 5th, 2026, Malaysian palm oil yield per hectare decreased by 9.3% compared to the same period last month, oil extraction rate increased by 0.18% compared to the same period last month, and production decreased by 8.35% compared to the same period last month. 9. Data released by the Brazilian Sugarcane Industry Association (Unica) shows that in June, sugarcane crushing volume in Brazils central-southern region was 69.791 million tons, compared to 81.622 million tons in the same period last year, a year-on-year decrease of 14.5%; sugar production was 3.903 million tons, compared to 5.298 million tons in the same period last year, a year-on-year decrease of 26.33%. 10. EIA Natural Gas Report: As of the week ending July 31st, total U.S. natural gas inventories were 3.117 trillion cubic feet, an increase of 33 billion cubic feet from the previous week, a decrease of 12 billion cubic feet from the same period last year, a year-on-year decrease of 0.4%, and 195 billion cubic feet higher than the 5-year average, an increase of 6.7%. 11. The Houthi armed forces in Yemen warned Saudi Arabia against any aggressive actions against Yemen and its people, or they would face the consequences of any escalation.A Republican senator has proposed repealing Californias vehicle emissions regulations.The Houthi rebels in Yemen advised those who have been deceived or misled by Yemeni leaders to leave enemy camps in Saudi Arabia and return home before it is too late.U.S. EIA natural gas storage for the week ending July 31 was 33 billion cubic feet, compared with an expected 30 billion cubic feet and a previous reading of 28 billion cubic feet.The U.S. EIA natural gas storage data for the week ending July 31 will be released in ten minutes.

NZD/USD finds support near 0.6220; a decline appears more probable due to China's Covid concerns

Alina Haynes

Nov 28, 2022 15:04

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China's anti-Covid shutdown protests have weakened commodity-linked currencies, resulting in a gap-down start of roughly 0.6220 for the NZD/USD pair. During the previous week, the New Zealand dollar dropped after failing to surpass the round-level barrier of 0.6300.

 

Individuals have taken to the streets in China to demonstrate their opposition against the zero-tolerance policy, leading to a rise in civil unrest. Due to Chinese leader Xi Jinping's conservative posture and authoritarian framework, global markets have become more risk-averse. This has created an economic expansion risk and may worsen the already shaky housing market. Increasing apprehensions about societal risks may also result in political instability, which may have long-lasting detrimental effects on economic structure.

 

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's most important trading partners, and instability in China could damage the New Zealand Dollar.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is profiting from investors' liquidity as the demand for safe-haven assets surges. The USD Index is hovering around 106.20 and attempting to reduce volatility as China's anti-locking protests restrict the upside and predictions of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's larger rate hike cycle limit the downside (Fed).

 

S&P500 futures are under heavy pressure from market players due to a risk-averse market mentality. In anticipation of Fed chief Jerome Powell's address on Wednesday, yields on 10-year US Treasuries have decreased to approximately 3.68 percent. The Fed Chair's speech could dispel suspicions about a pause to the Fed's current rate-hiking program.