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Conflict Situation: 1. Russia – ① Russian officials stated that a Ukrainian drone attack damaged apartment buildings and oil depots in the Russian Black Sea port of Novorossiysk. ② Russian Ministry of Defense: Air defense forces shot down or intercepted 216 Ukrainian drones overnight. 66 drones were shot down in the Krasnodar region of southern Russia. ③ Russian Federal Security Service: A Ukrainian plot to assassinate a senior Russian government official was foiled while the official was visiting a cemetery in Moscow. ④ Governor of Volgograd Oblast: Air defense systems repelled a nighttime drone attack targeting energy infrastructure. ⑤ Sources: Oil exports from the Russian Black Sea port of Novorossiysk have been suspended following the drone attack. ⑥ Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian forces conducted large-scale strikes against Ukrainian military and energy facilities. ⑦ Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian forces continued to attack besieged Ukrainian troops in the Krasnodar region. Russian forces successfully repelled seven Ukrainian attempts to relieve besieged troops from the northwest of Krasnodar. Russian forces also completed the clearing of Ukrainian personnel from the Rog settlement east of Krasnodar. 2. Ukraine – ① Numerous explosions were heard in the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv, with the mayor claiming a large-scale Russian attack. ② The mayor of Kyiv stated that the Russian attack injured 11 people. ③ The Ukrainian Ministry of Energy reported that Russia attacked energy facilities last night, causing power outages in parts of Kyiv, Odessa, and Donetsk. ④ The attack on Kyiv has resulted in 6 deaths. ⑤ Ukraine launched a major drone attack on Novorossiysk, a key Black Sea port handling oil cargo from Russia and Kazakhstan. ⑥ The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported that Russian forces launched 64 attacks in multiple locations in the Pokrovsk direction, of which Ukrainian forces repelled 41; the remaining battles are ongoing. Other developments: 1. Denmark delivered €830 million in military aid to Ukraine. 2. German Chancellor Merz stated that the EU is preparing new sanctions against Russia. 3. Russia consulted with the International Atomic Energy Agency regarding the power supply security of the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant. 4. Two industry sources said that the Saratov oil refinery in Russia halted oil processing on November 11 following the drone attack. 5. The deputy head of the Ukrainian military intelligence service stated that the number of artillery shells North Korea supplied to Russia in 2025 has decreased by about half compared to 2024. 6. The deputy head of the Ukrainian military intelligence service stated that Russia plans to produce approximately 500 new glide bombs with a range of 200 kilometers this year and is working to extend the range to 400 kilometers.On November 15th, the Russian Ministry of Defense stated that on the 14th local time, Russian forces continued their operations against besieged Ukrainian troops in the Krasnoyarsk region. Russian forces successfully repelled seven Ukrainian attempts to relieve besieged troops from the northwest of Krasnoyarsk, and also completed the clearing of Ukrainian personnel from the Rog settlement east of Krasnoyarsk. Furthermore, Russian forces continued their aggressive advance in the Dimitrov (Mirnokhlad) region adjacent to Krasnoyarsk, expanding their control. On the same day, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces stated that Russian forces launched 64 attacks in multiple locations in the Pokrovsk direction, repelling 41 of them, with the remaining battles ongoing.On November 15th, Denmark, holding the rotating presidency of the European Union, announced on social media that it had completed the delivery of weapons and military equipment worth nearly €830 million to Ukraine. The funds came from "unexpected proceeds" generated by the EU using frozen Russian assets. This marks the second time the EU has used "unexpected proceeds" to provide military support to Ukraine. The equipment will reportedly be used to strengthen the combat capabilities of the Ukrainian armed forces. Denmark stated that the delivery is complete and that it will continue to support Ukraine alongside its EU partners.On November 15th, the State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) drafted the "Guidelines for Anti-Monopoly Compliance of Internet Platforms (Draft for Public Comment)," which was released for public comment. To help platform operators better identify anti-monopoly compliance risks and enhance the readability and vividness of the provisions, the "Guidelines," drawing on anti-monopoly regulatory enforcement experience, lists eight risks for platform operators using examples: algorithmic collusion between platforms, organizing and assisting platform operators in reaching monopoly agreements, unfair pricing by platforms, selling below cost by platforms, account blocking, "choose one of two" practices, "lowest price across the entire network," and platform discrimination. These eight risk examples provide clear indications of monopoly risks in specific scenarios for internet platforms, covering various platform operations such as data transmission, algorithm application, service pricing, search ranking, recommendation display, traffic allocation, and subsidies. Platform operators are encouraged to proactively conduct risk assessments and self-checks based on the risk examples listed in the "Guidelines" to avoid the anti-monopoly compliance risks mentioned in the examples. However, determining whether an act constitutes a monopolistic act prohibited by the Anti-Monopoly Law requires investigation, evidence collection, analysis, and argumentation based on the Anti-Monopoly Law and related regulations before a conclusion can be reached.The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 309.74 points, or 0.65%, at 47,147.48 on Friday, November 14; the S&P 500 closed down 3.38 points, or 0.05%, at 6,734.11; and the Nasdaq Composite closed up 30.23 points, or 0.13%, at 22,900.59.

NFP and Forex: What is NFP and How Does It Work?

Larissa Barlow

Mar 25, 2022 14:57

Nfp And Forex Trading: Key Points of Discussion 

  • The announcement of Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) creates volatility in the FX market.

  • The NFP calculates the net change in employment jobs.

  • Forex traders utilize an economic calendar to anticipate the publication of the NFP.

  • What is a non-governmental organization (nfp)?

 

Non-farm payrolls (NFP) are a critical economic indicator for the US economy. It is the amount of new employment created, excluding agricultural workers, government employees, private home employees, and nonprofit organization employees.

 

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In general, NFP announcements produce significant volatility in the FX market. Typically, the NFP data is provided on the first Friday of each month at 8:30 a.m. ET. This article will discuss the importance of non-farm payrolls in economics and how to use them into a forex trading strategy.

 

What Effect Does The NFP Have On Forex?

 

NFP data is significant since it is issued monthly, giving it an excellent predictor of the economy's present status. The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the statistics, and the next release may be found on an economic calendar.

 

The Federal Reserve Bank views employment as a critical indicator. When unemployment is elevated, policymakers frequently pursue an expansionary monetary policy (stimulatory, with low interest rates). An expansionary monetary policy seeks to boost economic production and employment.

 

Thus, if the unemployment rate is greater than usual, policymakers will attempt to stimulate the economy. Stimulatory monetary policy means lowering interest rates and decreasing demand for the Dollar (money flows out of a low yielding currency). To understand how this works in detail, please read our article on how interest rates affect FX.

 

The chart below illustrates how volatile FX can be following the announcement of the NFP. The projected NFP result for March 8, 2019 was 180k (job additions), however the actual result was only 20k. As a result, the value of the Dollar Index (DXY) decreased and volatility rose.

 

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Forex traders must exercise caution when it comes to data releases such as the NFP. Traders may be stopped out as a result of the abrupt surge in volatility. Spreads rise in lockstep with volatility, and larger spreads might result in margin calls.

Which Currency Pairs Are Affected the Most by the NFP

Because the NFP data is a leading predictor of American employment, it has the greatest impact on currency pairs that contain the US Dollar (EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, and USD/CHF, among others).

 

Other currency pairings also see an uptick in volatility following the release of the NFP, and traders must be mindful of this risk of being stopped out. The chart below illustrates the CAD/JPY exchange rate during the publication of the NFP data. As you can see, even if a trader is not trading a currency pair tied to the US Dollar, a rise in volatility might force a trader out of their position.

 

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Dates for the Release of Non-Farm Payroll

NFP figures are typically released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on the first Friday of each month at 8:30 a.m. ET. On the Bureau of Labor Statistics' website, you may see the release dates.

 

We propose adopting a pull-back strategy rather than a breakthrough approach because to the volatility nature of the NFP announcement. Before entering a trade using a pullback technique, traders should wait for the currency pair to retrace.

 

Using the same scenario as earlier (NFP findings of 20,000 vs. 180,000 predicted), we anticipate a depreciation of the US Dollar. In the example below, we will use the EUR/USD currency pair. We predict the EUR/USD will rise as a result of the worse-than-expected NFP report.

 

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Trading Nfp Data Releases: Best Practices & Additional Reading

The following are some pointers to keep in mind while utilizing NFP data releases to guide your forex trading:

 

  1. Each month, the NFP data is provided on the first Friday.

  2. Increased volatility and widening spreads are accompanying the announcement of the NFP data.

  3. Currency pairings that are not tied to the US Dollar may also see greater volatility and spread widening.

  4. Trading the NFP data release can be risky owing to increased volatility and potential spread widening. To avoid being stopped out, we recommend applying the right leverage, or none at all.

 

Other significant data releases to keep an eye on include the following:

 

While the NFP often influences the market, other major data releases include the CPI (inflation), Fed funds rates, and GDP growth.

 

If you're interested in learning more about trading the news and data releases, check out our beginner's guide to trading the news. Additionally, we recommend reading our tutorial on the characteristics of great traders to avoid the number one error traders make while trading forex.

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