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USD/CHF Remains Low in the Mid-0.9300s Advance of the Swiss GDP

Alina Haynes

Feb 28, 2023 11:44

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The USD/CHF pair on Tuesday morning shows the pre-data nervousness as it nears 0.9350. However, the market's cautious optimism and wide US Dollar volatility allow the Swiss currency pair to consolidate its first monthly gain in four months.

 

US Treasury bond yields fell, lending credence to the White House's pro-trade narrative.

 

Despite its political differences with the nation of the dragon, the United States offers an olive branch to China's business community, enabling the S&P 500 Futures to track Wall Street's gains at the time of publication. Politico reported late on Monday that, "despite fraying relations with Beijing, US President Joe Biden is expected to forgo broad new restrictions on American investment in China," rejecting a drive by some "hawks" in his administration and Congress.

 

It's essential to remember that while the S&P 500 Futures print modest gains by mirroring Wall Street's upbeat closing, US Treasury bond yields continue to be subpar during the quiet hours of Tuesday's trading.

 

US Durable Goods Purchases dropped -4.5% in January, below the -4.0% forecast and 5.1% lower than in December, according to data released on Monday. However, the Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft rose by 0.8% compared to analysts' predictions of 0.0% growth and -0.3% in previous readings. In a similar manner, US Pending Home Purchases increased 8.0% MoM, exceeding expectations of 1.0% and prior levels of 1.1%.

 

On the other hand, Federal Reserve Governor Philip Jefferson said on Monday that a return to 2% inflation is crucial if such sustained economic development is to be possible. According to Reuters, "Economic data this month showed still tight labor markets and sticky inflation, leading Fed funds futures traders to wager on higher rates, which in the US are now seen peaking in September at 5.4%, up from presently 4.58%."

 

The GNP for Switzerland's fourth quarter (Q4) will be crucial for the future. According to projections, quarterly GDP grew by 0.3% from the previous quarter's 0.2%, but annualized GDP declined by 1.2% from the previous quarter's 0.5% growth.

 

The early US trade figures for January, consumer confidence from the Conference Board, the Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index, and the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for February will all be important for USD/CHF traders to monitor alongside the Swiss GDP.


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