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February 8th - Danish officials stated on the 7th that despite the commencement of diplomatic dialogue with the United States, negotiations between Denmark and the US regarding Greenland have not met expectations. On the same day, Danish Foreign Minister Rasmussen, Greenlandic Foreign Minister Vivian Mozfeldt, and Canadian Foreign Minister Anita Anand held a joint press conference in Nuuk, the capital of Greenland, to celebrate the official opening of the Canadian Consulate in Nuuk on the 6th. Mozfeldt said that the current situation has "improved somewhat" compared to a month ago, mainly due to the establishment of direct diplomatic channels of dialogue with the United States, but Greenland has not achieved the expected results in the negotiations. She said, "There is still a long way to go, so it is too early to say what the outcome will be."On February 8th, Lu Zhe, chief economist at Dongwu Securities, pointed out that from a medium- to long-term price structure perspective, gold has been in a continuous upward trend since 2020, but the recent price movement has changed. The time it took for London gold to rise from $2,000/ounce to $3,000/ounce, from $3,000/ounce to $4,000/ounce, and from $4,000/ounce to $5,000/ounce has shortened, and the price increase slope shows an accelerating characteristic. He believes this phenomenon reflects that against the backdrop of rising macroeconomic uncertainty and increased risk premiums, the way funds price gold has gradually shifted from "trend-driven allocation" to "emotion and expectation-driven," and the price is reacting to positive factors faster than in previous periods. This accelerated price movement, while strengthening the medium- to long-term upward trend, also means increased sensitivity to external disturbances in the short term.Conflict Status: 1. Russian troops have captured the settlement of Chukyuevka in eastern Ukraine. 2. Ukrainian General Staff: Attacked an oil depot in Russias Saratov region. 3. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian forces launched a large-scale attack on Ukrainian military energy and transportation infrastructure. 4. Zelensky: Russia launched more than 400 drones and about 40 missiles to attack Ukraines energy sector. 5. The governor of the Kursk region of Russia stated that 47 Ukrainian drones were shot down in the region in the past 24 hours. 6. Ukrainian General Staff: Ukrainian forces are continuously wearing down Russian forces along the entire front and in the rear, repelling multiple Russian attacks in the Leman and Pokrovsk directions. Peace Negotiations: 1. Trump said the US-Russia-Ukraine talks "could go wrong." 2. Zelensky: Does not support a peace agreement that violates the Ukrainian constitution. 3. Zelensky: The US seeks to push for a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by June. 4. Zelensky: The possibility of holding a trilateral summit to discuss thorny issues has been proposed. 5. Zelensky: The US proposed a meeting between Russian and Ukrainian delegations in Miami in a week, and Ukraine has agreed. Other developments: 1. Energy facilities attacked; Ukraine says it has requested emergency electricity assistance from Poland. 2. Two suspects arrested in the attack on the Russian lieutenant general; the Ukrainian Foreign Minister denies any Ukrainian involvement in the attack. 3. International Atomic Energy Agency: Following a new round of military activity affecting power substations, Ukrainian nuclear power plants again reduced power output this morning. 4. Ukrainian Foreign Minister: Ukraine supports calls for a truce with Russia during the Winter Olympics, following proposals from Italy and the Pope. 5. Polish Army Operations Command: Polish air operations related to Russian airstrikes on Ukraine have ended. No violations of Polish airspace occurred. Southeastern Polish airspace was briefly closed previously.On February 8th, Fujian Province issued the "Implementation Opinions on Promoting High-Quality Urban Development," which proposes to systematically advance the construction of "good houses." This includes accelerating the construction of a new real estate development model and improving the "market + guarantee" housing supply system. The document also calls for implementing a housing quality improvement project to enhance the entire housing chain, from design and construction to maintenance and services, and vigorously promoting the construction of safe, comfortable, green, and smart "good houses." Furthermore, it aims to build a modern industrial system for residential construction. The document also emphasizes steadily advancing the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated housing, supporting the independent renewal and reconstruction of old housing, continuously promoting the renovation of old urban residential communities, and implementing an action plan to improve the quality of property services.February 8th - Japanese voters will head to polling stations on Sunday (January 22nd) to cast their votes for Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis government. Takaichi hopes to consolidate her power and secure clear authorization for her spending and investment plans, which have unsettled some investors. Takaichi has stated she will stake her job on the election results and will resign if the ruling coalition fails to win a majority in the more powerful House of Representatives. Takaichi currently holds a slim majority of 233 of the 465 seats in the House of Representatives. Polls suggest she is poised for a landslide victory. The Nikkei reports that the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its smaller ruling coalition partner, the Japan Restoration Party, could win over 300 seats. The Mainichi Shimbun states that the LDP alone could win 300 seats, meaning the ruling coalition could secure two-thirds of the House of Representatives. Despite this, the Middle Way Reform Coalition appears to be struggling to win over voters. Some polls suggest the party may ultimately lose half of its seats. In a rare winter election, snowfall in the north could also reduce voter turnout and weaken support for Kaohsiung, especially given that she relies on personal popularity rather than organized voting to increase the Liberal Democratic Partys seats.

As BoJ Udea Mentions the Appropriateness of Current Monetary Policy, EUR/JPY Exhibits a V-Shaped Movement

Daniel Rogers

Feb 24, 2023 14:30

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When Kazuo Ueda, the nominee for Governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), addresses the Japanese parliament, the EUR/JPY currency pair exhibits a V-shaped movement. The commentary of Haruhiko Kuroda's successor as Governor of the Bank of Japan has increased the volatility of the Japanese Yen.

 

As he describes the current monetary policy as appropriate and necessary to sustain 2% inflation, BoJ Ueda's speech appears more diplomatic. Moreover, he stated that rising import prices are the cause of Japan's rising inflation. Domestic demand is still insufficient, but the central bank is attempting to achieve pre-pandemic growth rates. The neighborhood has descended into lunacy as a result of his speech's absence of Yield conversion control (YCC) discussions.

 

Despite current discussions about the expansion of the YCC, the economic outlook for the Japanese Yen is positive, as the Bank of Japan is working to increase labor costs, which will confidently support a revival in overall demand.

 

Nordea economists continue to be optimistic about the Japanese Yen: "We remain fairly sanguine on JPY due to our expectations of a change in Bank of Japan monetary policy later this year." According to a note from Nordea, the time is ripe for a normalization of the Bank of Japan's stimulative monetary policy, "with inflation reaching its highest level in decades and a prognosis for higher wage growth."

 

Despite the easing of inflationary pressures, investors are concerned that the normalization of the Eurozone economy will take a significant amount of time. In order to maintain a ceiling on the price index, the European Central Bank (ECB) is anticipated to continue raising interest rates.