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March 11 – Due to persistent inflationary pressures, two major Australian banks expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to raise interest rates for the second consecutive week. National Australia Bank (NAB) and Westpac predicted on Wednesday that the RBA will raise rates by 25 basis points to 4.1% next week, in line with expectations from UBS and Deutsche Bank. NAB Chief Economist Sally Auld stated, “Given Australia’s relatively unfavorable inflation starting point and recent data confirming that the economy is running well above trend growth, the rationale for a rate hike in the near term is clear.” Westpac Chief Economist Luci Ellis said that the RBA’s belief that demand continues to exceed economic capacity and its willingness to address surging overall inflation to prevent a sustained rise in price expectations prompted her to change her forecast. Ellis stated, “There could be disagreements at next week’s meeting. Market participants should consider the possibility that the RBA might choose to wait until May to raise rates, but this is no longer our base case scenario.”March 11 (Kyodo News) – Japanese Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Ryosuke Akazawa stated on Wednesday during a parliamentary committee meeting, in response to questions from lawmakers, that the Japanese government has not ruled out the possibility of releasing national oil reserves "on its own initiative," rather than as part of a coordinated action. He added, "We will take all possible measures to ensure a stable energy supply." As of the end of December, Japans total oil reserves were sufficient to meet domestic consumption needs for 254 days, of which 146 days worth were held by the government, 101 days worth were held by the private sector, and the remainder were stored jointly with oil-producing countries.March 11th - This years government work report further clarified the need to "expand market access with a focus on the service sector," accelerating Beijings new round of opening up. In the first batch of pilot programs nationwide to expand opening up in areas such as value-added telecommunications and healthcare, Beijing became the first city in China to establish a foreign-invested enterprise specializing in human gene diagnosis and treatment technology. To date, more than 60 foreign-invested enterprises have participated in the pilot programs. Last year, Beijing saw over 2,400 new foreign-invested enterprises, a record high. According to the Beijing Municipal Bureau of Commerce, this year will see the release of the 3.0 plan for the comprehensive demonstration zone for expanding opening up in the service sector, the implementation of actions to enhance the opening-up level of key industrial parks, the promotion of differentiated development of comprehensive bonded zones, and proactive alignment with high-standard international trade and economic rules, injecting new momentum into a higher level of opening up.Market news: The Saudi Foreign Minister spoke with the US Secretary of State to discuss Irans regional aggression.Piper Jaffray: Lowered its target price for Oracle (ORCL.N) from $240 to $210.

The silver market remains vulnerable, according to the silver price forecast

Daniel Rogers

Aug 05, 2022 15:11

 截屏2022-08-04 下午5.12.51_1024x576.png

 

The 50 Day EMA proved to be a little difficult to climb above despite the early-session rally in silver prices, which was pretty considerable. The $20.50 level is also a concern, so there is a significant degree of resistance in all of this. I believe that we now have a number of issues to resolve, not the least of which will be the release of the non-farm payroll figures during the Friday session.

 

I believe that the silver market will begin to decline pretty quickly if we go below the bottom of the Wednesday session. In that case, it is probable that the Federal Reserve will make the final decision about what should take place. The bond markets and rates will continue to alarm traders, and this will have a significant impact on their behavior with precious metals. In the end, this market is susceptible to greater yields and, naturally, a stronger US currency. That may very well be the case if the jobs figure is hotter than expected.

 

On the other hand, it's feasible that we may witness a significantly greater rise if the market were to break over the $20.50 threshold. The 200 Day EMA, which is now just below the $22.50 level, as well as the $22 level are likely to come into play if that were to happen. In either case, I believe we are going to witness a shocking action. Having said that, bear in mind that we have been in a decline for some time, making it seem like the simpler course to follow.