EUR/USD 1.15495
-0.303%
Gold 3432.27
1.346%
Oil 71.442
5.766%
USD/JPY 143.932
0.321%
GBP/USD 1.35700
-0.316%
GBP/JPY 195.320
0.034%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
Israeli Military: The Israeli Air Force is currently attacking surface-to-surface missile sites in central Iran.Market News: An official said that Iran told mediators Qatar and Oman that it was unwilling to negotiate a ceasefire with Israel during the Israeli attack.On June 16, Richard Bronzi, head of geopolitics at consulting firm Energy Aspects, said, "Now that Israel has crossed the threshold, the market will question whether it will further strike Irans energy infrastructure. We seem to be caught in a vicious cycle of escalating conflict." Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at Royal Bank of Canada Capital Markets and former CIA analyst, said, "If the supply is interrupted, Trump is likely to ask the Saudi-led OPEC+ alliance to use its considerable idle production capacity." Irans current daily output is about 3.4 million barrels, and it is uncertain whether OPEC can make up for its long-term large-scale shutdown gap. This move itself may make Saudi Arabia and the UAEs energy facilities a target of public criticism. Clay Siegel, a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, analyzed: "Although OPEC can use idle production capacity to replace Iranian crude oil, Saudi Arabia and the UAE will face huge political risks if they profit from it."Israels emergency organization "Red Shield of David": Irans latest round of ballistic missile attacks has injured 8 people in Israel.June 16th news, on June 15th local time, Mustafa Hayari, director of media affairs of the Jordanian Armed Forces, said that the current situation is an attempt by one party to the conflict to drag Jordan into the war, intending to undermine Jordans security and stability. But Jordans national position has been very clear from the beginning, that is, to avoid being involved in the conflict between Iran and Israel. Regarding the measures taken by the Jordanian Armed Forces to deal with this threat, Hayari emphasized that the military has increased the combat readiness level of various combat units and logistics units since the beginning of the conflict, and has placed all combat units and troops on the highest level of alert to ensure effective response to any potential threats. Hayari said that missiles and drones entering Jordanian airspace are extremely dangerous. As military weapons, these devices may have technical deviations for a variety of reasons, making Jordanian territory a potential landing point.

Forecast for the price of gold: Pre-NFP trade slowdown around $1,790 according to XAU/USD

Alina Haynes

Aug 05, 2022 15:08

 截屏2022-08-04 下午5.25.46_1024x576.png

 

As traders exhibit the normal concern ahead of the important US employment data on Friday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) seesaws near the monthly peak. Despite this, the price of yellow metal fluctuates between $1,788 and $1,791 as of the morning of the press in Europe.

 

The market's conflicting fears about the global recession and the most recent geopolitical stories affecting Taiwan, in addition to the pre-NFP caution, further contribute to the XAU/USD's movement. It's important to note that the options market sends conflicting signals and presents difficulties for gold purchasers.

 

The recent increase in US Treasury rates has helped to strengthen the US currency and put downward pressure on the price of gold, but it also seems to have lessened concerns about a global economic downturn.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses a two-day slump and registers modest gains at 106.00. The dollar index declined during the previous two days before consolidating recent losses by monitoring the yields. It's important to note that after falling during the previous two days, the US 10-year Treasury rates have stabilized at roughly 2.069 percent. The disparity between the coupons for 10-year and 2-year bonds is still the largest it has been since 2000, yet US Treasury rates have continued to show the possibility of a recession.

 

Geopolitical issues from the Taiwan Strait are also a problem for gold purchasers elsewhere, as China expresses its displeasure with Nancy Pelosi, the speaker of the US House of Representatives, visiting Taipei. According to West Official, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken recently stated at an East Asia meeting that China's response to US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan had been "flagrantly aggressive."

 

In terms of the options market's attitude, a one-month risk reversal (RR) of gold prices ends a three-week downturn when seen weekly, but if observed daily, it causes a third straight day of decline. It should be mentioned that the risk reversal term refers to the spread between bullish and bearish bets, namely the call options and put options (RR).

 

In conclusion, gold prices are still stable, but the bad news outweighs the good news, therefore today's US employment data for July will be important for the short-term outlook. The US dollar's recovery may continue and impact on gold prices if the employment numbers look to be higher than expected.


Suggestion