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1. All three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.54% to 49,395.16 points, the S&P 500 fell 0.28% to 6,861.89 points, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.31% to 22,682.73 points. Boeing fell more than 2%, leading the decline in the Dow. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index fell 0.29%, with Apple falling more than 1%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell 0.35%, with LuKong falling more than 3% and BaWangChaJi falling more than 2%. 2. Most of the three major European stock indexes closed lower. The German DAX fell 0.93% to 25,043.57 points, the French CAC40 was flat at 8,429.03 points, and the UK FTSE 100 fell 0.55% to 10,627.04 points. 3. A report released by the U.S. Treasury Department shows that in December of last year, 14 major countries and regions reduced their holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds, with a total reduction of $88.4 billion. The total holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds by overseas "creditors" fell to $9.27 trillion. The top three overseas "creditors" of the U.S.—Japan, the UK, and China—all chose to reduce their holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds. Among them, Japans holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds decreased by $17.2 billion to $1.1855 trillion, while the UK significantly reduced its holdings by $23 billion, with its holdings falling to $866 billion. 4. The U.S. crude oil futures contract closed up 2.49% at $66.67 per barrel; the Brent crude oil futures contract rose 2.25% to $71.93 per barrel. 5. International precious metals futures generally closed higher. COMEX gold futures rose 0.12% to $5015.50 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures rose 1.09% to $78.44 per ounce.The yield on Japans 5-year government bond fell 1.0 basis point to 1.620%.Japans preliminary services PMI for February was 53.8, down from 53.7 in the previous month.Japans preliminary manufacturing PMI for February was 52.8, down from 51.5 in the previous month.Japans preliminary composite PMI for February was 53.8, compared to 53.1 in the previous month.

Stock Markets Take a Break Ahead of Non-Farm Payroll

Cory Russell

Aug 05, 2022 15:46

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As we swing back and forth between the Friday news, the S&P 500 has been trading a little sideways throughout the day.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 fluctuated throughout the session on Thursday since we are barely below the 200 day moving average and, of course, we have to be concerned about the employment report on Friday.


Given that circumstance, I believe an explosive move is most likely only a matter of time. If everything remained the same, one may believe that this barrier should hold, but the S&P 500 might really take off if we were to break over the 4200 mark. Although that is not my worst-case situation, I must have it in the back of my mind when I trade this.


The 4100 level, in my opinion, is critical. A far deeper correction may be seen if we were to drop below that level. We drop another 100 points or so at that moment and start looking at the 50 Day EMA.


Unfortunately, whether or not the Federal Reserve will tighten monetary policy any more forcefully depends entirely on perception. While the Fed adamantly maintains its capacity to do so, the market does not believe it. It's highly likely that the stock markets will see a little decline if the American employment report on Friday is hotter than expected. Traders will view this as yet more justification for the Federal Reserve to closely monitor its monetary policy, perhaps leading it to tighten further. In any case, I believe we are a bit overdone in the near future, but always keep an eye out for the opposite side.

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