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February 15th - The World Health Organization (WHO) issued a statement on the 14th saying that it has received reports of recombinant monkeypox virus strains in recent months, with two patients infected with a new strain resulting from the recombination of branch Ib and branch IIb strains. However, the risk of monkeypox infection in the general population without specific risk factors remains "low".February 15th - The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has tightened lending rules for companies engaged in proprietary trading of stocks and commodities and providing leveraged services to clients, in the latest move aimed at curbing speculation. In a statement released on its website on Friday, the RBI said all credit to securities firms must be secured by collateral, and loans to clients proprietary trading or brokerage investment businesses will be prohibited. The RBI stated that the so-called prudential rules for capital market intermediaries such as stock and commodity brokers will take effect on April 1st. These stricter measures will increase financing costs for proprietary trading firms and squeeze their profit margins.February 15th - According to reports on the 13th local time, US chocolate prices continue to rise due to factors such as supply shortages in major global cocoa-producing regions, with a year-on-year increase exceeding 14%. Data from the US market research company DataCollection shows that from January 1st to early February this year, US chocolate retail prices rose 14.4% year-on-year. Specifically, chocolate prices in cities like Denver and Los Angeles rose by approximately 17% year-on-year, while the Dallas-Fort Worth area saw a surge of 19%. The rise in US chocolate prices is mainly due to the global shortage of cocoa beans, the core ingredient. West Africa accounts for about 70% of global cocoa bean production, and extreme weather led to poor harvests, pushing cocoa futures prices to historical highs. Although international cocoa prices have recently fallen significantly, the US chocolate market is still digesting previously purchased high-priced raw material inventory, and the upward trend in chocolate prices may continue in the short term.February 15th - According to foreign media reports, the Vietnamese government approved SpaceXs Starlink satellite internet service launch in Vietnam on February 14th. The Vietnamese Ministry of Science and Technology has issued a license to Starlinks local subsidiary, allowing it to provide fixed and mobile satellite internet services. The company has also been granted permission to use radio frequencies and wireless equipment.February 15th – Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po delivered a Lunar New Year message: "In the past year, with the strong support of the nation and the joint efforts of the SAR government and citizens, we have overcome many challenges. Exports performed well, visitor numbers increased, local consumption stabilized, and the international financial center developed steadily, resulting in overall economic stability and progress. Looking ahead to the new year, the external environment is challenging, but it will also present many new opportunities. We will actively strive for economic development, consolidate and enhance traditional advantageous industries, while exploring new markets and developing emerging industries. We will vigorously attract businesses and gather talent, ensuring that the fruits of diversified development better benefit the citizens. This year marks the beginning of the 15th Five-Year Plan, and we will more actively integrate into and serve the overall development of the nation, leveraging our strengths to serve the countrys needs."

Stock Markets Take a Break Ahead of Non-Farm Payroll

Cory Russell

Aug 05, 2022 15:46

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As we swing back and forth between the Friday news, the S&P 500 has been trading a little sideways throughout the day.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 fluctuated throughout the session on Thursday since we are barely below the 200 day moving average and, of course, we have to be concerned about the employment report on Friday.


Given that circumstance, I believe an explosive move is most likely only a matter of time. If everything remained the same, one may believe that this barrier should hold, but the S&P 500 might really take off if we were to break over the 4200 mark. Although that is not my worst-case situation, I must have it in the back of my mind when I trade this.


The 4100 level, in my opinion, is critical. A far deeper correction may be seen if we were to drop below that level. We drop another 100 points or so at that moment and start looking at the 50 Day EMA.


Unfortunately, whether or not the Federal Reserve will tighten monetary policy any more forcefully depends entirely on perception. While the Fed adamantly maintains its capacity to do so, the market does not believe it. It's highly likely that the stock markets will see a little decline if the American employment report on Friday is hotter than expected. Traders will view this as yet more justification for the Federal Reserve to closely monitor its monetary policy, perhaps leading it to tighten further. In any case, I believe we are a bit overdone in the near future, but always keep an eye out for the opposite side.

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