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White House official: Trump has discussed with oil companies plans to extend the blockade of Iran for several months if necessary.1. Wells Fargo: Still expects the Fed to cut rates twice this year, by 25 basis points, in September and December respectively. 2. ANZ: The Fed is very likely to restart its rate-cutting cycle in the third quarter of this year, most likely at the September meeting. 3. Goldman Sachs: Expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points each in September and December, and believes the possibility of a rate hike this year is very small. 4. Bank of America: Downside risks to economic growth lead us to continue to predict a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed later this year. 5. TD Securities: By the September decision, the market will have accumulated enough evidence to support the Feds gradual return to an easing cycle. 6. Standard Chartered: Once Warshs nomination is confirmed, the Fed will likely shift its focus to reviving the weak job market and resuming rate cuts. 7. Commerzbank: In the medium to long term, the Fed will be unable to resist pressure from the US president and may cut rates for the first time by the end of the year, followed by two more rate cuts in 2027. 8. Danske Bank: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged throughout the summer and eventually resume rate cuts in September and December. 9. Barclays: If inflation falls as expected, the Fed is expected to gain sufficient confidence to begin easing policy around September. 10. ING: Maintains its forecast that the Fed will cut rates twice this year, in September and December. 11. BNY Mellon: Assuming the Strait of Hormuz reopens, the Fed will cut rates twice in the fourth quarter.April 29 - International crude oil futures continued to climb as the standoff in the Middle East is expected to drag on, with the US and Iran continuing their respective blockades of the Strait of Hormuz. "The continued stalemate in negotiations between the US and Iran makes it increasingly unlikely that supplies through the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal in the short term," said Linh Tran, an analyst at XS.com, in a report. She added, "The market is no longer just anticipating risk, but a prolonged period of supply disruption."With the 60-day deadline approaching, US Republicans are discussing whether to authorize a war against Iran.According to Saudi media outlet alhadath, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has not received an invitation to travel to Washington.

Stock Markets Continue to Pressure the Upside

Cory Russell

Aug 02, 2022 15:08

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Due to the market noise that has continued throughout the trading day on Monday, the S&P 500 has slightly declined. In the end, I think this market will need to make a more significant choice given enough time. As it stands, we are getting close to the pivotal 200 day EMA, which normally indicates that we may encounter some longer-term resistance. Given this situation, I believe we have a chance to present, but for the time being we may want to take a little step back.


Right now, the 4200 level represents the true reward, and if we can break through it, the markets are quite likely to undergo a significant shift. Despite the fact that one of the governors said over the weekend that the market had gotten a little ahead of itself, they now feel that the Federal Reserve is preparing to ease its monetary policy. Markets may not always take the Federal Reserve's statements seriously since, unfortunately, they have completely lost all credibility over the last 13 years.

 

As a result, it is quite probable that the markets will attempt to rise in the future; nevertheless, you must pay special attention to the 10-year yield. It is presently declining very quickly, which has increased pressure on risk taking generally. Given this, it does make some sense that we would break out, but you need to have the bond market on your side rather than against it.