• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On May 31, the China Automobile Dealers Association released its latest "China Automobile Dealer Inventory Warning Index Survey" (VIA), showing that the inventory warning index for Chinas automobile dealers in May 2026 was 57.9%, up 5.2 percentage points year-on-year and down 4.2 percentage points month-on-month. The inventory warning index is above the boom-bust line.According to Fox News, Trump stated that a deal with Iran is very close, and that military means will be used again if the deal is unfair to the United States.① Iran 1. Iran is preparing a grand funeral for Ali Khamenei. 2. According to the Iranian Students News Agency: Iran has begun supplying liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) to Pakistan via its railway network, with goods arriving via specialized tanker trucks. 3. Sources: Irans attack on a US military base in Kuwait resulted in minor injuries to several Americans. ② Strait of Hormuz 1. The UK Maritime Trade and Operations Authority stated that the maritime security threat level in the Strait of Hormuz remains extremely high due to the blockade. 2. According to Irans Fars News Agency: In the past 24 hours, 20 ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz under the coordination of the Iranian Navy. 3. A suspected mine has been discovered in Omani territorial waters within the Strait of Hormuz; Oman has issued a navigation warning. 4. The US military confirmed that it struck a cargo ship attempting to reach an Iranian port. ③ Ceasefire Negotiations 1. US media: Trump tightened the terms of the Iran agreement; proposed amendments have been submitted to Iran. 2. Iranian negotiators: The Iran-US agreement has not been finalized; the proposed agreement allows Iran to set up an exit mechanism. ④ Other Situations: 1. Pakistans Foreign Minister coldly rejects the "Abraham Accords." 2. The Israeli Prime Minister orders control of 70% of the Gaza Strip; Hamas condemns the attack. 3. According to Alerta News 24, the latest Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon have killed 11 people, including a rescue worker. 4. Northern Israel suffers intensive attacks; Hezbollah claims to have launched 22 military operations; Israel tightens its northern civil defense policy to counter Hezbollah attacks. 5. According to Bloomberg, citing a source with direct knowledge of the situation, an Iranian ballistic missile attack on an airbase in Kuwait has slightly injured several Americans and severely damaged two US MQ-9 Reaper drones.On May 31, according to the New York Times, three officials revealed that US President Trump has tightened the terms of a potential agreement aimed at ending the war with Iran and sent these proposed modifications back to Iran for consideration. It is unclear what specific changes Trump made to the text of the agreement. Two officials said Trump was concerned about the parts of the potential agreement that involved unfreezing Iranian funds. He has been a vocal critic of former President Obamas approach in an agreement signed more than a decade ago to curb Irans nuclear program. One official said Trump was also disappointed by Irans slow response to the US proposals, which were reached through repeated consultations involving intermediaries including Pakistan. The official added that Trumps proposed modifications—a more stringent new proposal—may be aimed at accelerating the process by pressuring Iran to accept the framework agreement already submitted to its Supreme Leader Mojtaba for approval.On May 31, a meeting was held in Shanxi Province to deploy a special campaign to address safety risks and hidden dangers in coal mines. The meeting, held on May 30, was attended and addressed by Lu Dongliang, Deputy Secretary of the Provincial Party Committee and Governor of Shanxi Province. The meeting emphasized that the lessons learned must be heeded and the consequences of past mistakes must be absorbed. All levels of government and departments across the province must learn from these cases, be inspired by past mistakes, and remain vigilant regarding safety. They must strengthen their sense of urgency, responsibility, and mission in ensuring safety. The meeting stressed the need to always prioritize the people and their lives, and to thoroughly investigate and address safety risks and hidden dangers in the provinces coal mines with a firm resolve, ensuring the effective implementation of the "eight hard measures" for mine safety. The meeting also emphasized focusing on the coal mines with the most prominent problems and concentrated risks, adopting a "zero-tolerance" attitude to accurately investigate and severely crack down on illegal and irregular activities such as hidden working faces, falsified safety monitoring, unauthorized mining beyond permitted layers or boundaries, illegal subcontracting, and failure to implement major disaster management measures. We must fully cooperate with the State Councils accident investigation to thoroughly investigate the cause of the accident, as well as the responsibilities of local management, industry supervision, and enterprises. We must also focus on rectifying prominent problems such as the weak establishment of the concept of safe development, a lack of awareness of the rule of law, failure to implement the responsibilities of "key personnel," insufficient penetration of safety supervision, and lax and lenient law enforcement inspections at the grassroots level.

S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Weekly Forecasts – Bond Yields Hammer Equity Sentiment

Skylar Shaw

Apr 25, 2022 10:31

It's going to be a busy week for US firms reporting first-quarter profits, with familiar names like General Electric (GE), Microsoft (MSFT), Ford (F), Twitter (TWTR), Amazon (AMZN), and Apple (APPL) all due to release their latest quarterly financial reports. Netflix (NFLX) and Tesla (TSLA) had drastically contrasting results this week, with Netflix (NFLX) falling over 35% on very low membership numbers and Tesla (TSLA) rising approximately 8% on strong sales and profitability. 


The fact that famed hedge fund billionaire Bill Ackman sold his newly acquired Netflix position for a $400 million loss after the results does not bode well for other stay-at-home tech businesses. The earnings schedule for the next week might be full of surprises.

 

While the small print of firms' balance sheets will be scrutinized next week, the 800-pound monster in the room — US interest rates and government bond yields – will need even greater scrutiny. 


Market expectations for US rate rises have risen to the point that the market is now pricing in the Federal Reserve aggressively front-loading rate hikes, with four 50 basis point raises expected at the next four FOMC meetings. 


The last time the Fed raised interest rates by 50 basis points was in May of 2000. While increased interest rates may help banks make more money, the IT industry, particularly the big names like Apple and Amazon, becomes less tempting as interest rates rise.


After Thursday's bearish engulfing candle erased the preceding three days' gains, the S&P 500 is expected to close the week flat. The 200-day simple moving average behaved as resistance, and the indices are currently trading below all three moving averages (20, 50, and 200), which is still another bad indicator. If support at 4,361 is firmly broken, 4,270 seems to be the next target.