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Gold prices retreated sharply on January 30th after surging to a record high, as traders took profits and a stronger dollar increased the cost of the precious metal for overseas buyers. Market focus has now shifted to President Trumps expected decision on his nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, to be announced later Friday. Trumps advisors have hinted that he may nominate Kevin Warsh. Saxo Bank analysts noted that Warsh is considered less controversial and less clearly dovish compared to other candidates circulating before the nomination announcement.The Q4 earnings season for US stocks remains intense, with Amazon (AMZN.O), Google (GOOGL.O), Qualcomm (QCOM.O), Arm (ARM.O), and PepsiCo (PEP.O) among those releasing their results next week. On the economic data front, key figures to watch include Chinas January foreign exchange reserves, the January RatingDog Manufacturing PMI, the US January ADP employment figures, and the January seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls. For a complete earnings calendar of individual stocks, please check the calendar section of the US-Hong Kong Telecom APP. Click to view...Germanys seasonally adjusted unemployment figures and unemployment rate for January, as well as the preliminary value of the unadjusted annual GDP growth rate for the fourth quarter, will be released in ten minutes.On January 30th, the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) issued an announcement regarding adjustments to the rules for its Ruyi Gold Accumulation business and the sale of certain branded physical gold products, as well as revisions to the Ruyi Gold Accumulation business agreement. Starting February 7th, 2026, on weekends and public holidays (excluding Shanghai Gold Exchange trading days), ICBC will implement quota management for the Ruyi Gold Accumulation business. These quotas will include daily accumulation/redemption limits for the entire amount or a single customer, and limits on the total amount accumulated or redeemed in a single transaction, and will be dynamically set. Gold withdrawals will not be affected.January 30 - From January 29 to 30, Liu Haixing, Special Envoy of General Secretary Xi Jinping and Minister of the International Department of the CPC Central Committee, visited Vietnam to congratulate the successful convening of the 14th CPC National Congress and the election of To Lam as General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee.

Price Prediction for Silver - Silver prices are scarcely altered prior to the important inflation measurement

Alina Haynes

May 11, 2022 10:25

As the currency weakened and rates plummeted, silver prices remained constant. Against other major currencies, the U.S. dollar declined somewhat. In the wake of the FOMC meeting, benchmark rates decreased because the Fed was less aggressive than the market had anticipated. After yesterday's 23-basis-point increase, the ten-year yield dropped below 3 percent.

 

Gold prices rose as the currency weakened. Given that tomorrow's US inflation report could affect the Fed's monetary policy, investors bought gold. Oil prices remain under pressure due to China's restrictions and a rising dollar, which has made oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.

 

As a result of Eastern European requests for exemptions and concessions, the oil embargo against Russia has been delayed.

 

The NFIB Small Business Economic Trends index remained unchanged from the prior month at 93.2. This indicator of small company confidence in the United States was below the 48-year average of 98.

 

This information indicates that small enterprises are struggling to combat rising inflationary pressures. Small enterprises face increased labor expenses and a labor scarcity, which exacerbates their economic difficulties.

 

Wednesday's announcement of inflation data will certainly influence the Fed's policy decision at the next meeting.

Technical Evaluation

The price of silver remains below $22. A sustained breach below the $22 level will indicate further fall and favor bearish traders in the AG/USD market. Additional selling might cause silver to hit the December bottom around $21.40.

 

The metal is likely to experience further declines near the $21 level and approach the $20 psychological threshold.

 

Near the December 15th low of 21.49 is support. Near the 10-day moving average near the 10-day moving average of 22.57, there is observed resistance. The short-term momentum is negative as the fast stochastic signaled a sell crossover.

 

The medium-term momentum has become negative as the histogram and MACD both print in a negative direction (moving average convergence divergence). The MACD histogram is moving in a negative direction, reflecting the downward trend in price movement.

 

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