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January 12th - Bond investors overall bets on the Federal Reserves policy path and the direction of the US Treasury market in 2026 appear to have room for further expansion. Last Fridays non-farm payroll report showed weaker-than-expected job growth, maintaining market expectations for further Fed rate cuts. This result confirms market expectations that short-term Treasury bonds (most sensitive to monetary policy) will outperform long-term Treasury bonds this year, widening the yield spread between the two. This strategy, known as the "steepening trade," was one of the most popular bond trades for most of last year and continues to work at the start of 2026. Pramod Atrouli, fixed-income portfolio manager at Capital Group, stated, "There are many scenarios over the next 12 to 24 months that are very favorable for the yield curve steepening trade." An analysis of 25 of the largest actively managed core bond funds by JPMorgan shows that, historically, these funds still have a high exposure to this trade.According to Iranian state media, Iran summoned the British ambassador after protesters tore down the Iranian flag from the Iranian embassy building in London.Market news: Home Depot and Google Cloud have jointly launched the Agentic AI tool to help customers and employees transform projects from "how to do it" to "completed".Domestic News: 1. The "Tianma-1000" unmanned transport aircraft successfully completed its maiden flight. 2. Shanxi Province issued consumption subsidies for home appliances and digital smart products in 2026. 3. Hong Kongs new budget will be announced on February 25. 4. China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC): Focusing on cracking down on major, malicious, and key illegal activities, and severely punishing all kinds of malicious illegal activities. 5. Chinese Embassy: Due to scheduling conflicts, Wang Yis planned visit to Somalia on January 9 has been postponed. 6. Wang Yi held a telephone conversation with the Somali Foreign Minister: Opposing Somalilands collusion with the Taiwan authorities to seek independence. 7. National Business Work Conference: In 2026, efforts will be accelerated to cultivate new growth points in service consumption and optimize the implementation of the trade-in policy for consumer goods. International News: 1. A curfew has been imposed in Narathiwat Province in southern Thailand. 2. Israeli forces are reportedly planning a new round of attacks on the Gaza Strip. 3. British officials: The possibility of Britain deploying troops to Greenland cannot be ruled out. 4. South Korean Presidential Office: Will investigate the truth behind North Koreas claim of a "drone intrusion" and release the results promptly. 5. Iranian President: The government endorses peaceful protests and is willing to meet with protest groups. 6. Danish Parliament Chief: It would be "foolish" to go to war over Greenland. 7. Israel demands the EU designate Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a "terrorist organization." 8. US Media: Trump received a briefing on options for striking Iran but has not yet made a final decision; the government is considering multiple options for intervention in Iran. 9. Trump again pressures Cuba, threatening that if Cuba does not reach an agreement soon, it will face a situation of "zero oil and zero funds" flowing into Cuba. 10. Iranian Parliament Speaker warns Trump that any attack would lead Iran to consider Israel and US bases in the region as "legitimate targets" and strike them.On January 11, Cuban Foreign Minister Rodriguez posted on social media that the United States’ behavior was like “criminal and out-of-control hegemony,” threatening not only the peace and security of Cuba and the Western Hemisphere, but also the entire world.

Bitcoin Must Maintain Support to Avoid Severe Selling Pressure

Alina Haynes

May 11, 2022 10:20

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Spot versus Futures Bitcoin Pricing

Bitcoin is trading nearly 3 percent higher on the day at $31,030 as of 4:45 PM EST (Coinbase). At $30,990, BTC futures trade below their spot counterparts, confirming the pessimistic market mood. When future pricing of a commodity or asset is lower than the spot or live pricing, it indicates that market participants anticipate the item or commodity's price will likely decline in the future.

Technical Analysis of BTC

If we perform a Fibonacci retracement from Bitcoin's price a week ago at around $40,000 to yesterday's lows at approximately $30,000, it is evident that Bitcoin failed to surpass the 23 percent retracement level, which is approximately $32,130, on its rebound higher today. This suggests further price prices are anticipated.

 

If Bitcoin fails to maintain support at $29,00, then $20,000 is a distinct possibility. Even in the worst-case situation, I believe Bitcoin will be able to maintain a value of $10,000. However, if we were to reach that price, it would necessitate a loss of over 60 percent. Bitcoin must therefore maintain its current support to prevent a further carnage and prices not seen since 2020.