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February 16th - Some staunch gold bulls are unfazed by the historic pullback in the precious metal, still anticipating a renewed surge to unprecedented levels. In late January, New York gold futures prices briefly broke a record high of $5,600 per ounce, only to suffer an unprecedented plunge the following day. During this period, one or more investors began buying December-expiring call option spread contracts with strike prices of $15,000/$20,000 on the COMEX division of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Even after gold prices consolidated around $5,000, this position continued to grow, now reaching approximately 11,000 contracts. "Its truly surprising to see so many deep out-of-the-money call option spread open interest after a technical pullback," said Akash Doshi, global head of gold and metals strategy at State Street Investment Management. "Some traders may see this as a cheap lottery opportunity."Country Garden (02007.HK): The High Court dismissed the winding-up petition for Country Garden.Market news: According to Bank of Americas latest foreign exchange and interest rate sentiment survey, market sentiment towards the US dollar in February was at its most negative level in 14 years. Currently, short positions in the US dollar have reached their highest level since January 2012.February 16 – Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov stated on February 16 local time that the Russian delegation will travel to Geneva on the evening of the 16th (Moscow time) to participate in the Geneva negotiations on the Ukraine issue, in accordance with the consensus reached during the meeting between Russian and US leaders Anchorage. Russia believes that any agreement reached on the Ukraine issue must be lasting and guarantee the elimination of the root causes of the conflict. He also pointed out that the main security threat to Russia at this stage comes from European countries holding a confrontational stance.February 16th - With the Federal Reserve poised to release a highly anticipated bank capital proposal related to Basel III, U.S. lending institutions may face new mortgage requirements. Michelle Bowman, the Federal Reserves chief banking regulator, stated that this new measure related to residential real estate will consider increasing the "risk sensitivity" of mortgage capital requirements on banks books. One approach is to use loan-to-value ratios to determine the applicable risk weights for residential real estate exposures, rather than using a uniform risk weight. "This change could better align capital requirements with actual risk, support on-balance-sheet lending by banks, and potentially reverse the trend of mortgage activity shifting to non-bank institutions over the past 15 years," Bowman said.

Oil costs increase as supply restrictions trump economic worries

Charlie Brooks

Jul 05, 2022 11:12


Oil prices climbed on Monday as supply worries spurred by a decrease in OPEC production, unrest in Libya, and sanctions against Russia trumped fears of a worldwide recession that would diminish demand.


In June, Euro zone inflation hit an all-time high, boosting the case for rapid rate rises by the European Central Bank, while consumer sentiment in the United States reached an all-time low.


Brent oil rose $2.26, or 2%, to $113.89 a barrel as of 12:47 p.m. ET (1648 GMT), after shedding more than $1 in early trading. The price of U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $2.20, or 2%, to $110.63 despite the lack of trading activity over the Fourth of July holiday.


According to a Reuters survey, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) failed to meet its June goal of increasing production.


Thursday, authorities in OPEC member Libya declared force majeure at the Es Sidr and Ras Lanuf ports and the El Feel oilfield, claiming a reduction of 865,000 barrels per day in oil output (bpd).


Meanwhile, more than two weeks of unrest have caused Ecuador to lose almost 2 million barrels of production, according to Petroecuador, the country's state-owned oil company.


This week, a strike in Norway may restrict supply from the biggest oil producer in Western Europe and reduce overall petroleum production by 8 percent.


"This background of rising supply interruptions clashes with a probable shortage of spare production capacity among Middle Eastern oil producers," said Stephen Brennock of oil trader PVM, referring to the producers' limited ability to pump more oil.


And prices will climb if new oil production does not reach the market shortly.


On Monday, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson asked OPEC+ to raise oil output to tackle the growing cost of living.


As a consequence of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, supply concerns have sent Brent oil prices close to 2008's record high of $147 a barrel.


As a consequence of restrictions on Russian oil and limited gas supplies, surging energy prices have driven inflation in certain countries to multi-decade highs and stoked fears of a recession.