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1. Monday: ① Data: US March ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI; US March Global Supply Chain Stress Index. ② Holiday: Germany, Australia, France, Spain, New Zealand, Italy, UK, Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges and Beijing Stock Exchanges, domestic futures exchanges, Hong Kong Stock Exchange closed for one day, northbound and southbound trading closed, Taiwan Stock Exchange closed for one day. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: France, Germany, Eurozone, UK March Services PMI final readings; Eurozone April Sentix Investor Confidence Index; US March New York Fed 1-year Inflation Expectations; China March Foreign Exchange Reserves. ② Events: US President Trump holds a joint press conference with the military in the Oval Office; a new round of price adjustments for domestic refined oil products will begin. ③ Holiday: Hong Kong Stock Exchange closed for one day, northbound and southbound trading closed. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending April 3; Japans February trade balance; New Zealands Reserve Bank of New Zealand interest rate decision for the week ending April 8; UKs March Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index (MoM); Frances February trade balance; Switzerlands March seasonally adjusted unemployment rate; Eurozones February PPI (MoM); Eurozones February retail sales (MoM). ② Events: EIA releases its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report; Chicago Fed President Goolsby, a 2027 FOMC voting member, speaks on monetary policy; Reserve Bank of New Zealand announces its interest rate decision; Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Brehman holds a monetary policy press conference. 4. Thursday: ① Data: US 10-year Treasury auction (ending April 8); German February seasonally adjusted industrial production (month-on-month); German February seasonally adjusted trade balance; US initial jobless claims for the week ending April 4; US February core PCE price index (year-on-year); US February personal spending (month-on-month); US Q4 final annualized GDP growth rate; US Q4 final real personal consumption expenditure growth rate; US Q4 final annualized core PCE price index (month-on-month); US February core PCE price index (month-on-month); US February wholesale sales (month-on-month); US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending April 3. ② Events: Federal Reserve releases monetary policy meeting minutes; Swiss National Bank President Schlegel delivers a speech. 5. Friday: ① Data: Chinas March CPI year-on-year rate; Germanys final March CPI month-on-month rate; Switzerlands March consumer confidence index; Canadas March employment change; US March unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate, seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month rate, seasonally adjusted core CPI month-on-month rate, and unadjusted core CPI year-on-year rate; US April one-year inflation rate expectations (preliminary); US April University of Michigan consumer sentiment index (preliminary); US February factory orders month-on-month rate; Chinas March M2 money supply year-on-year rate (pending). 6. Saturday: ① Data: US total number of oil rigs for the week ending April 10. Saudi Ministry of Foreign Affairs: The Saudi Deputy Foreign Minister received the Chargé dAffaires ad interim of the French Embassy in Saudi Arabia.April 5 - According to a draft statement seen by Reuters, the OPEC+ committee meeting on Sunday expressed concern over attacks on energy assets during the US-Israel and Iran wars, stating that the cost and time required to repair such facilities would impact supply. The statement said, "The Committee emphasizes the critical importance of ensuring the safety of international maritime routes to guarantee the continuous and uninterrupted flow of energy." The statement also said, "The Committee is concerned about attacks on energy infrastructure, as restoring damaged energy assets to full capacity is both costly and time-consuming, thus affecting overall supply capacity."The draft statement said that the OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee pointed out that it would take a long time for damaged energy facilities to return to full capacity, thus affecting overall supply capacity.Iraqs state news agency: Iraq thanks Iran for allowing Iraqi oil tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.

Oil costs increase as supply restrictions trump economic worries

Charlie Brooks

Jul 05, 2022 11:12


Oil prices climbed on Monday as supply worries spurred by a decrease in OPEC production, unrest in Libya, and sanctions against Russia trumped fears of a worldwide recession that would diminish demand.


In June, Euro zone inflation hit an all-time high, boosting the case for rapid rate rises by the European Central Bank, while consumer sentiment in the United States reached an all-time low.


Brent oil rose $2.26, or 2%, to $113.89 a barrel as of 12:47 p.m. ET (1648 GMT), after shedding more than $1 in early trading. The price of U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $2.20, or 2%, to $110.63 despite the lack of trading activity over the Fourth of July holiday.


According to a Reuters survey, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) failed to meet its June goal of increasing production.


Thursday, authorities in OPEC member Libya declared force majeure at the Es Sidr and Ras Lanuf ports and the El Feel oilfield, claiming a reduction of 865,000 barrels per day in oil output (bpd).


Meanwhile, more than two weeks of unrest have caused Ecuador to lose almost 2 million barrels of production, according to Petroecuador, the country's state-owned oil company.


This week, a strike in Norway may restrict supply from the biggest oil producer in Western Europe and reduce overall petroleum production by 8 percent.


"This background of rising supply interruptions clashes with a probable shortage of spare production capacity among Middle Eastern oil producers," said Stephen Brennock of oil trader PVM, referring to the producers' limited ability to pump more oil.


And prices will climb if new oil production does not reach the market shortly.


On Monday, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson asked OPEC+ to raise oil output to tackle the growing cost of living.


As a consequence of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, supply concerns have sent Brent oil prices close to 2008's record high of $147 a barrel.


As a consequence of restrictions on Russian oil and limited gas supplies, surging energy prices have driven inflation in certain countries to multi-decade highs and stoked fears of a recession.