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On July 14, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement on social media saying that it had attacked multiple weapons support warehouses, a satellite communications center, and a U.S. military base in Bahrain with missiles and drones.The yield on Japans two-year government bonds fell 1.0 basis point to 1.435%. The yield on Japans 20-year government bonds fell 4 basis points to 3.705%.July 14th Futures News Commentary by Guangda Futures: On July 13th, COMEX gold prices plummeted during the session, closing at $4008.7 per ounce, a drop of 2.55%. Domestic SHFE gold prices fluctuated and declined in the night session, closing at 873.26 yuan per gram, a drop of 2.12%. 1. The market refocused on Middle East geopolitics. With the resumption of hostilities between the US and Iran and no signs of cessation, the risk of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz is increasing. Oil prices rebounded rapidly, and the market returned to trading based on the simultaneous rise in inflation stickiness and interest rate expectations, further suppressing precious metals. According to a report in the New York Times on the 13th, Trump stated on Monday that he had notified Congress of the renewed outbreak of hostilities with Iran and that the US would resume its naval blockade against Iran. Market risk appetite was suppressed, and gold prices continued to fall. Furthermore, the weakening AI narrative further compressed market liquidity, suppressing gold price movements. 2. Regarding the Federal Reserve, Fed Governor Waller stated that if core inflation remains high, the Fed may need to raise interest rates, with the probability of a July rate hike slightly increasing. This week will see the release of US June CPI and PPI data, coinciding with Warshs first congressional appearance. The market is concerned that stronger-than-expected data could reinforce Warshs hawkish rhetoric. Overall, golds price action has been characterized by a weak decline and subsequent correction, indicating that its current bottoming-out consolidation is not stable. With geopolitical factors and Fed policy repeatedly intertwined, there is significant divergence between bulls and bears, requiring continued caution.The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference in ten minutes on the import and export situation in the first half of 2026.Noor News: Parts of Bushehr province in southern Iran have been hit by a new round of attacks by the United States.

Oil costs increase as supply restrictions trump economic worries

Charlie Brooks

Jul 05, 2022 11:12


Oil prices climbed on Monday as supply worries spurred by a decrease in OPEC production, unrest in Libya, and sanctions against Russia trumped fears of a worldwide recession that would diminish demand.


In June, Euro zone inflation hit an all-time high, boosting the case for rapid rate rises by the European Central Bank, while consumer sentiment in the United States reached an all-time low.


Brent oil rose $2.26, or 2%, to $113.89 a barrel as of 12:47 p.m. ET (1648 GMT), after shedding more than $1 in early trading. The price of U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $2.20, or 2%, to $110.63 despite the lack of trading activity over the Fourth of July holiday.


According to a Reuters survey, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) failed to meet its June goal of increasing production.


Thursday, authorities in OPEC member Libya declared force majeure at the Es Sidr and Ras Lanuf ports and the El Feel oilfield, claiming a reduction of 865,000 barrels per day in oil output (bpd).


Meanwhile, more than two weeks of unrest have caused Ecuador to lose almost 2 million barrels of production, according to Petroecuador, the country's state-owned oil company.


This week, a strike in Norway may restrict supply from the biggest oil producer in Western Europe and reduce overall petroleum production by 8 percent.


"This background of rising supply interruptions clashes with a probable shortage of spare production capacity among Middle Eastern oil producers," said Stephen Brennock of oil trader PVM, referring to the producers' limited ability to pump more oil.


And prices will climb if new oil production does not reach the market shortly.


On Monday, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson asked OPEC+ to raise oil output to tackle the growing cost of living.


As a consequence of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, supply concerns have sent Brent oil prices close to 2008's record high of $147 a barrel.


As a consequence of restrictions on Russian oil and limited gas supplies, surging energy prices have driven inflation in certain countries to multi-decade highs and stoked fears of a recession.


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