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June 20th - Market analysts predict gold will remain volatile next week as investors await the release of the US core personal consumption expenditures (core PCE) price index for clues about the Federal Reserves interest rate path. Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, stated, "With the Fed now appearing more accustomed to changing circumstances and increasingly sensitive to upcoming inflation data, every major economic data release will have an impact, but the core PCE will be a key event for both gold and interest rate markets, and next week will be highly data-dependent." Innes also noted that stronger-than-expected inflation readings could boost the dollar, push up yields, and increase the risk of gold prices testing the $4,000 per ounce level. Gold investors should prepare for increased volatility and be wary of potential further sell-offs.June 20th - According to the China Railway Shanghai Group Co., Ltd., during the recent Dragon Boat Festival holiday, the group transported 4.031 million passengers, setting a new record for single-day passenger volume during the holiday. Today, the group expects to transport 2.49 million passengers and plans to add 93 passenger trains. Since the start of the Dragon Boat Festival holiday transport on June 18th, the group has transported a total of 7.584 million passengers, averaging approximately 3.792 million passengers per day, indicating strong holiday travel demand.According to Al Arabiya satellite television, Pakistans Interior Minister will travel to Tehran to meet with Iranian officials.Conflict Status: 1. Ukraine claims Russian military attacks on civilian boats and buses resulted in 1 death and 9 injuries. 2. The Ukrainian military claims to have attacked railway bridges in Russian-controlled Crimea. 3. The Kremlin: Russian airstrikes against Ukraine will continue; Ukraines policy is not aimed at negotiations. 4. Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister: A Russian drone strike resulted in the death of a Panamanian crew member in the Black Sea. 5. Moscow Mayor Sobyanin reports that air defense forces shot down three drones heading towards Moscow. 6. Kyiv Electric Power Company DTEK: Russian attacks over the past two days have severely damaged DTEK energy facilities in Ukraines Dnipropetrovsk region. Peace Negotiations: 1. Zelenskyy stated that Ukrainian-Russian negotiations may resume, allowing Russia to finalize specific forms. 2. The Kremlin stated that Russia is willing to engage in dialogue with Europe but will not accept ultimatums. 3. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: When Russia comes to the negotiating table, we need a united European message. 4. European Council President Costa: We need to support Ukraine through diplomatic means, including establishing direct communication channels with Russia. Other developments: 1. The Central Bank of Russia cut interest rates by 25 basis points, compared to market expectations of a 50 basis point cut. 2. The International Atomic Energy Agency: Repairs have begun on the main transmission lines of the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant. 3. According to sources, Russias daily gasoline production this week has decreased by a quarter compared to the average daily level in June last year.US President Trump: US Secretary of Defense Hergsay is a born fighter. He has never known what it means to admit defeat. He has an extremely tough personality and is a person who loves the military from the bottom of his heart.

Oil costs increase as supply restrictions trump economic worries

Charlie Brooks

Jul 05, 2022 11:12


Oil prices climbed on Monday as supply worries spurred by a decrease in OPEC production, unrest in Libya, and sanctions against Russia trumped fears of a worldwide recession that would diminish demand.


In June, Euro zone inflation hit an all-time high, boosting the case for rapid rate rises by the European Central Bank, while consumer sentiment in the United States reached an all-time low.


Brent oil rose $2.26, or 2%, to $113.89 a barrel as of 12:47 p.m. ET (1648 GMT), after shedding more than $1 in early trading. The price of U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $2.20, or 2%, to $110.63 despite the lack of trading activity over the Fourth of July holiday.


According to a Reuters survey, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) failed to meet its June goal of increasing production.


Thursday, authorities in OPEC member Libya declared force majeure at the Es Sidr and Ras Lanuf ports and the El Feel oilfield, claiming a reduction of 865,000 barrels per day in oil output (bpd).


Meanwhile, more than two weeks of unrest have caused Ecuador to lose almost 2 million barrels of production, according to Petroecuador, the country's state-owned oil company.


This week, a strike in Norway may restrict supply from the biggest oil producer in Western Europe and reduce overall petroleum production by 8 percent.


"This background of rising supply interruptions clashes with a probable shortage of spare production capacity among Middle Eastern oil producers," said Stephen Brennock of oil trader PVM, referring to the producers' limited ability to pump more oil.


And prices will climb if new oil production does not reach the market shortly.


On Monday, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson asked OPEC+ to raise oil output to tackle the growing cost of living.


As a consequence of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, supply concerns have sent Brent oil prices close to 2008's record high of $147 a barrel.


As a consequence of restrictions on Russian oil and limited gas supplies, surging energy prices have driven inflation in certain countries to multi-decade highs and stoked fears of a recession.