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On December 17th, Kunal Shah, Head of Research at Nirmal Bang Commodities, stated, "The silver market is experiencing a severe short squeeze... We havent seen the supply side respond appropriately after the US added silver to its list of critical minerals. Every country planning to enter the data center—artificial intelligence—needs more silver. The current trend could push silver towards $70 in the short term."Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi: We will boost tax revenue through economic reflation, increasing corporate profits, and raising household income through wage growth, thereby achieving a sustainable fiscal policy and social welfare system.Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi: What Japan needs right now is to strengthen itself through proactive fiscal policies, rather than excessively tightening fiscal policy.December 17th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Spot gold prices have resumed their upward trend in recent intraday trading, thanks to a firm hold above the key support level of $4300, which has laid a solid foundation for this rebound. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is releasing positive signals, further strengthening the markets positive momentum. This rise occurred while prices were trading above the 50-day EMA, indicating that although some dynamic pressure remains, this moving average is providing support and helping to stabilize and continue the main upward trend in the short term, especially as prices move along the support trendline of this ascending channel.December 17th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures have continued their strong rebound in recent intraday trading, benefiting from the solid support level of $55.00, which was also a potential target mentioned in our previous analysis. Currently, WTI crude oil futures are attempting to recover some of their previous losses, supported by positive signals from the Relative Strength Index (RSI), while also trying to shake off their clearly oversold condition.

Fears of a recession continue to weigh on oil prices, although a tightened supply mitigates losses

Aria Thomas

Jul 04, 2022 11:37


Oil prices dipped in early Asian trade on Monday, erasing the previous session's gains, as fears of a global recession weighed on the market despite the fact that supply remains tight due to lower OPEC output, unrest in Libya, and sanctions against Russia.


Brent crude futures declined 35 cents, or 0.3%, to $111.28 a barrel at 00:16 GMT on Saturday, following a Friday increase of 2.4%.


Futures for U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude dropped 32 cents, or 0.3%, to $108.11 a barrel on Monday, after gaining 2.5% on Friday.


Fears of a recession have weighed on the market during the past two weeks, although supply concerns have prevented further price drops.


Tobin Gorey, a commodities analyst at Commonwealth Bank, observed, "Energy markets continue to be plagued by distinct supply risks, making shorting a nerve-racking exercise."


In June, the production of the 10 members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) declined by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 28.52 million barrels per day (bpd), a far cry from the 275,000 bpd increase they had expected.


Increases in Saudi Arabia and other major producers were offset by losses in Nigeria and Libya, and Libya faces additional supply disruptions as a result of rising political unrest.


Analysts at ANZ Research noted in a note, "This makes it even less likely that (OPEC) will be able to meet its newly increased output limits."


Last week, the National Oil Corp estimated that Libya's exports have reduced to between 365,000 and 409,000 bpd, a decrease of around 865,000 bpd compared to normal levels.


This week, a planned strike by Norwegian oil and gas workers may lower the nation's oil and condensate production by 130,000 barrels per day (bpd).


Traders will closely follow official oil prices for August from the world's largest oil supplier, Saudi Arabia, for signals of market tightness, with refiners anticipating another high increase close to the record established in May.


According to nine refinery sources evaluated by Reuters, the official selling price of Saudi Arabia's flagship Arab Light oil may rise by around $2.40 per barrel compared to the previous month.