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On January 31st, Peter Cardillo, Chief Market Strategist at Spartan Capital Securities, stated, "I dont want to say that Warshs nomination as the new Federal Reserve Chairman was entirely unexpected. He has always been considered hawkish, but recently he seems to be converging with Trumps position, making it a bit difficult to assess how the market will accept this nomination. We just need to see if he will be influenced by the White House. My guess is that he wont; he will examine issues very carefully and maintain a certain balance on inflation and the labor market. He may not be as decisive as Powell, but he wont be too far off."On January 31, the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee held its 24th collective study session on the afternoon of January 30, focusing on forward-looking planning and the development of future industries. Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee, emphasized during the session that a new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation is accelerating, with cutting-edge technologies constantly emerging, leading and supporting the rapid rise of future industries. He stressed the need to approach this from a strategic perspective of building a strong nation and achieving the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation, leveraging objective conditions and comparative advantages, adhering to the principle of seeking progress while maintaining stability and cultivating industries in a phased manner, to continuously achieve new breakthroughs in the development of my countrys future industries.On January 31, NASA announced that the Perseverance rover had successfully completed its first maneuver on the Martian surface using an AI-planned route. According to NASAs website, the demonstration mission, led by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, took place on December 8 and 10, 2025. The mission team used generative artificial intelligence with visual understanding capabilities to analyze high-resolution images taken by the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter (MRO) and data on terrain and slope, identifying key terrain features such as rocks, sand ripples, and boulder deposits. This generated a continuous route with multiple path nodes, helping Perseverance safely traverse complex terrain. Previously, this work was primarily done by ground engineers. Perseverance stored the AI-generated path nodes in its memory and traveled approximately 210 meters on December 8 and another 246 meters two days later.According to Interfax news agency, production at Kazakhstans Tengiz oil field has resumed.On January 31st, the Institute of Finance and Banking of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences released its "China Macroeconomic and Financial Analysis" report for the fourth quarter of 2025, which pointed out that in 2026, my countrys economic policy orientation will shift from "strengthening unconventional counter-cyclical adjustments" to "increasing the intensity of counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments." The macroeconomic and financial analysis team of the Institute of Finance and Banking of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences believes that in 2026, it is necessary to adhere to both policy support and reform and innovation, and to coordinate short-term macroeconomic control with medium- and long-term reform and governance. To this end, they propose three suggestions: First, fiscal and financial efforts should be coordinated to effectively unleash the potential of domestic demand; second, high-quality urban renewal should be used as a lever to stabilize investment; and third, innovative approaches to macroeconomic governance should be adopted to accelerate the repair of the balance sheets of micro-entities.

Fears of a recession continue to weigh on oil prices, although a tightened supply mitigates losses

Aria Thomas

Jul 04, 2022 11:37


Oil prices dipped in early Asian trade on Monday, erasing the previous session's gains, as fears of a global recession weighed on the market despite the fact that supply remains tight due to lower OPEC output, unrest in Libya, and sanctions against Russia.


Brent crude futures declined 35 cents, or 0.3%, to $111.28 a barrel at 00:16 GMT on Saturday, following a Friday increase of 2.4%.


Futures for U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude dropped 32 cents, or 0.3%, to $108.11 a barrel on Monday, after gaining 2.5% on Friday.


Fears of a recession have weighed on the market during the past two weeks, although supply concerns have prevented further price drops.


Tobin Gorey, a commodities analyst at Commonwealth Bank, observed, "Energy markets continue to be plagued by distinct supply risks, making shorting a nerve-racking exercise."


In June, the production of the 10 members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) declined by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 28.52 million barrels per day (bpd), a far cry from the 275,000 bpd increase they had expected.


Increases in Saudi Arabia and other major producers were offset by losses in Nigeria and Libya, and Libya faces additional supply disruptions as a result of rising political unrest.


Analysts at ANZ Research noted in a note, "This makes it even less likely that (OPEC) will be able to meet its newly increased output limits."


Last week, the National Oil Corp estimated that Libya's exports have reduced to between 365,000 and 409,000 bpd, a decrease of around 865,000 bpd compared to normal levels.


This week, a planned strike by Norwegian oil and gas workers may lower the nation's oil and condensate production by 130,000 barrels per day (bpd).


Traders will closely follow official oil prices for August from the world's largest oil supplier, Saudi Arabia, for signals of market tightness, with refiners anticipating another high increase close to the record established in May.


According to nine refinery sources evaluated by Reuters, the official selling price of Saudi Arabia's flagship Arab Light oil may rise by around $2.40 per barrel compared to the previous month.