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Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara: I hope the Bank of Japan will work closely with the government to formulate appropriate monetary policies to achieve the 2% inflation target in a stable and sustainable manner, and that inflation should not be driven by cost-push factors but by wage growth.The US dollar was last up 1.2% against the South Korean won, trading at 1501.25.On March 19th, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) warned on Thursday that the Middle East conflict could trigger a severe international shock, but that Australian banks are well-positioned to support the economy should a significant downturn occur. In its semi-annual Financial Stability Review, the RBA listed a range of global vulnerabilities, including a potential collapse in financial markets, cyberattacks, and the spread of unconventional policies. This implies that the risk of a significant adverse shock to the domestic economy has increased in recent weeks. The RBA stated, "The Middle East conflict could trigger a larger shock, thereby disrupting the global economy, particularly given the continued supply disruptions in oil and other commodity markets… Given the significant increase in leverage and concentration in key global asset markets in recent years under low-risk premiums, this increases the likelihood of disorderly asset repricing in the event of further adverse developments." The RBA also stated that investments related to artificial intelligence could face a significant sell-off risk if productivity fails to improve as expected.On March 19, the Russian Ministry of Defense reported that on March 18, Russian forces conducted strikes in 145 regions against targets serving Ukrainian energy and transportation infrastructure, as well as temporary deployments of Ukrainian troops and foreign mercenaries, shooting down three precision-guided bombs and 316 drones. Additionally, Russian forces seized control of a settlement in the Donetsk region. On the same day, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces reported that Ukrainian forces were thwarting Russian attempts to advance deeper into Ukraine, inflicting significant personnel and equipment losses in multiple locations. The Ukrainian Air Force, missile units, and artillery attacked three Russian personnel assembly areas and three drone control points, shooting down over 1,100 Russian drones.March 19th, Futures News: Positive news in the oil market boosted bullish sentiment in the fuel oil market. Some downstream users moderately replenished their inventories at lower prices, while refineries were reluctant to sell at low prices, significantly pushing up the negotiation point. With major refineries in northern China about to shut down, the tightening supply of low-sulfur residue oil/asphalt is expected to further support the market. Fuel oil negotiations are expected to maintain a slight upward trend today.

Oil costs increase as supply restrictions trump economic worries

Charlie Brooks

Jul 05, 2022 11:12


Oil prices climbed on Monday as supply worries spurred by a decrease in OPEC production, unrest in Libya, and sanctions against Russia trumped fears of a worldwide recession that would diminish demand.


In June, Euro zone inflation hit an all-time high, boosting the case for rapid rate rises by the European Central Bank, while consumer sentiment in the United States reached an all-time low.


Brent oil rose $2.26, or 2%, to $113.89 a barrel as of 12:47 p.m. ET (1648 GMT), after shedding more than $1 in early trading. The price of U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $2.20, or 2%, to $110.63 despite the lack of trading activity over the Fourth of July holiday.


According to a Reuters survey, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) failed to meet its June goal of increasing production.


Thursday, authorities in OPEC member Libya declared force majeure at the Es Sidr and Ras Lanuf ports and the El Feel oilfield, claiming a reduction of 865,000 barrels per day in oil output (bpd).


Meanwhile, more than two weeks of unrest have caused Ecuador to lose almost 2 million barrels of production, according to Petroecuador, the country's state-owned oil company.


This week, a strike in Norway may restrict supply from the biggest oil producer in Western Europe and reduce overall petroleum production by 8 percent.


"This background of rising supply interruptions clashes with a probable shortage of spare production capacity among Middle Eastern oil producers," said Stephen Brennock of oil trader PVM, referring to the producers' limited ability to pump more oil.


And prices will climb if new oil production does not reach the market shortly.


On Monday, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson asked OPEC+ to raise oil output to tackle the growing cost of living.


As a consequence of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, supply concerns have sent Brent oil prices close to 2008's record high of $147 a barrel.


As a consequence of restrictions on Russian oil and limited gas supplies, surging energy prices have driven inflation in certain countries to multi-decade highs and stoked fears of a recession.