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On April 16, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jiakun held a regular press conference. A Reuters reporter asked, "US President Trump said yesterday that he believes China will not stop buying Iranian oil. He also said he would impose sanctions on countries that buy Iranian oil. What is Chinas comment on this?" Guo Jiakun stated that China has consistently opposed illegal unilateral sanctions that have no basis in international law and are not authorized by the UN Security Council.On April 16th, Suren Thiru, an economist at the Institute of Chartered Accountants, stated that the unexpectedly strong growth in the UK in February would soon be overshadowed by the impact of the war with Iran. GDP grew by 0.5% that month, higher than the expected 0.2%. He said, "Given that the unexpectedly strong growth in February has been far outpaced by new energy and supply chain shocks, these figures are unlikely to alleviate stagflation concerns." This is expected to affect investment and consumer spending over the next year, thus dampening economic growth. Thiru indicated that the Bank of England is likely to keep interest rates unchanged for the time being, as the squeeze on growth will suppress inflation.The Bank of Japan announced that it will hold a meeting of bond market participants from May 21 to 22.April 16th - According to the BBC, Bank of England Governor Bailey stated that the central bank is "not in a hurry" to make a decision on interest rate hikes in the face of the energy price shock caused by the war with Iran. He pointed out that rising oil and gas prices will certainly affect prices, but other factors make interest rate decisions "very, very difficult." Bailey said, "We are not in a hurry to make judgments on these things because there is a lot of uncertainty in this area, not only about how things will develop, but also how it will be transmitted to the UK economy." The IMF lowered its economic growth forecast on Tuesday, warning that if the war escalates and oil prices remain above $100 until 2027, the global economy may face the risk of recession, with the UK receiving the largest downward revision among large, wealthy economies.Ukrainian President Zelensky: Aid supplies to Ukraine should be delivered on time.

Natural Gas Production Increases, but Prices Are Excessively High

Larissa Barlow

Apr 19, 2022 09:34

Natural gas prices have increased significantly. Deliveries of natural gas to LNG export facilities continued to increase. European sanctions against Russia increase the attractiveness of US gas.

 

Natural gas prices surged above $8 per MMBtu on Monday, capturing the attention of business channels. Prices of natural gas hit a 13-year high and closed near the day's highs. LNG demand continues to be high, as natural gas arrivals at LNG terminals increased to 12.74 billion cubic feet per day.

 

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the weather on the East Coast is forecast to be warmer than typical. The temperature will then begin to fall over the next 8-14 days.

Technical Evaluation

Prices of natural gas jumped beyond $8 and were up 10% intraday, reaching a 13-year high. Prices increased by roughly 16% last week. Near the July 2008 highs of 13.68, the target resistance is visible. At 6.37, support is located near the 10-day moving average. The entire curve through 2022 is presently approaching $8 per MMBtu.

 

The short-term momentum has shifted to the upside after the fast stochastic generated a crossing buy signal. Prices are excessively high. The fast stochastic is printing a reading of 95, over the overbought threshold of 80. Additionally, the RSI is reading 87, which is higher than the overbought trigger threshold of 70.

 

The medium-term trend has shifted to the positive. The MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is in positive territory with an upward sloping trend, indicating that the underlying price of natural gas is accelerating.

 

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