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May 5th - Markets widely expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to raise interest rates again after its May 5th meeting. However, ANZ analysts believe that after the May rate hike, the RBA will shift to a more neutral stance, providing more room to wait and observe the full impact of the Middle East conflict on inflation. The wording in the banks post-meeting statement will be more skewed, opening the door to extending the pause in rate hikes. Even if the RBA raises rates as expected in May, it still believes the cash rate will remain at 4.35% (future). Although RBA Governor Bullock did not explicitly hint at further rate hikes, she maintained a generally hawkish tone regarding keeping policy restrained. Recent signs of continued tightness in the Australian labor market also provide the RBA with more room to raise rates.May 5th - According to a report by the Iranian Students News Agency on May 4th, in response to US President Trumps plan to "guide" ships stranded in the Strait of Hormuz to leave, Ibrahim Rezaei, spokesperson for the Iranian Parliaments National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, stated that if Iran wants to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, it must either accept defeat and reach an agreement recognizing Irans dominance over the strait, or return to the battlefield and bear further consequences.May 5th - According to China Railway Shanghai Bureau Group Co., Ltd., May 5th is the last day of the May Day holiday, and the Yangtze River Delta railway is experiencing its peak return passenger flow, with an estimated 4.28 million passengers transported that day. In addition to implementing the peak-hour train schedule, the railway department plans to add 469 passenger trains, double-unitize 289 high-speed trains, and add 89 carriages to regular passenger trains to fully meet the travel needs of passengers returning home.On its first day of trading, Hong Kong-listed Tianxing Medical (01609.HK) opened at HK$288, a surge of over 192%, compared to its offering price of HK$98.5.On Tuesday, May 5, the Hang Seng Index opened down 150.13 points, or 0.58%, at 25,945.75; the Hang Seng Tech Index opened down 27.58 points, or 0.55%, at 4,949.12; the H-share Index opened down 38.04 points, or 0.43%, at 8,736.35; and the Red Chip Index opened down 8.68 points, or 0.2%, at 4,402.56.

NZD/USD retests three-month lows below 0.6150 as US consumer spending bolsters hawkish Fed wagers

Daniel Rogers

Feb 27, 2023 14:39

 NZD:USD.png

 

During the Asian trading session, the NZD/USD retested its three-month trough below 0.6148. The kiwi asset has been dumped by market participants amid weak New Zealand Retail Sales data and increasing stakes for the Federal Reserve's policy tightening to continue (Fed).

 

The term "ecosystem" refers to a group of people who work in the construction industry. S&P500 futures have shown some recovery on Monday morning after reporting significant losses last week, reflecting a caution in the overall theme of risk aversion. The likelihood that the Federal Reserve will announce additional rate hikes to combat persistent inflation has increased, which has had a detrimental effect on U.S. stocks.

 

The demand for U.S. government bonds has decreased due to the Federal Reserve's increased support for additional policy restrictions. The 10-year US Treasury yield has risen above 3.94% as a result of a decline in bond demand.

 

Despite the dovish People's Bank of China (PBOC) report, the New Zealand Dollar has struggled to gain ground. The report predicts a revival in the Chinese economy in 2023 as a result of a relaxation in epidemic prevention and an increase in consumption. The PBoC's vision extends beyond the expansion of domestic demand to include economic growth and price stability over the extended term.

 

Notably, New Zealand is one of China's primary trading partners, and an expansionary monetary policy from the People's Bank of China will strengthen the New Zealand Dollar.