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September 7th - According to the latest memory industry research from TrendForce, the overall DRAM industry revenue is projected to increase by 59.5% quarter-on-quarter to nearly US$154.73 billion in the second quarter of 2026, driven by a significant rise in Conventional DRAM contract prices. As LLM model training and AI inference stimulate demand for AI Servers, shipments of HBM3e, LPDDR5X, and high-capacity RDIMMs all grew simultaneously. Agentic AI applications are driving demand for RDIMMs of various capacity specifications. On the supply side, manufacturer inventories are at a low point, and new supply is prioritized for Server applications, resulting in a slight increase in overall DRAM bit shipments in the second quarter.On September 7th, Haitong International released a report stating that NIO (09866.HK)s third-quarter delivery guidance is 108,000 to 111,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 24.0% to 27.5%, and a quarter-on-quarter increase of only 0.3% to 3.1%, basically flat compared to the second quarter; revenue guidance is RMB 33.29 billion to RMB 34.05 billion, implying an average selling price increase of approximately 2% to 3% quarter-on-quarter. Management expects the cost per vehicle in the second half of the year to increase by RMB 2,000 to 3,000 compared to the second quarter, and plans to maintain the gross margin of automobiles at approximately 18% in the third and fourth quarters, with a positive non-GAAP operating profit for the full year. However, considering the thin profit in the second quarter, the limited quarter-on-quarter sales growth in the third quarter, and the continued rise in costs, the visibility of continued profitability in the second half of the year remains low. Demand for the ES8 and ES9 is relatively stable, but the target of more than 40,000 vehicles per month in the fourth quarter still depends on the recovery of the Ledao and the increase in the Firefly model. The bank lowered its 2023 delivery forecast by 7% to 424,000 vehicles, and projected revenues of RMB 123.9 billion, RMB 155 billion, and RMB 155.2 billion for 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively, representing a 2% decrease, a 13% increase, and a 13% increase. The target price was lowered from HKD 46.22 to HKD 32.7, while maintaining a neutral rating.On September 7th, HSBC issued a report maintaining its target price of HK$58 and buy rating for Bank of China (Hong Kong) (02388.HK). The bank stated that Bank of China (Hong Kong)s shareholder return plan has attracted the attention of most investors, and the specific details of the returns for 2027-2028 need to be reviewed later. The companys management announced a shareholder return plan of at least HK$10.5 billion for fiscal years 2026-2028 in its 2026 interim results. The bank believes that share buybacks are unlikely to be carried out when valuations are high, especially given that Bank of China (Hong Kong) is a subsidiary of a mainland state-owned bank. Bank of China (Hong Kong)s net interest income growth is stable, its growth prospects appear stable, its RMB business has advantages, and its wealth and insurance businesses remain strong.Russian authorities in Belgorod say a Ukrainian drone strike in the region killed one person and injured another.A Qatari official said: "We need our partners and allies, but we cannot rely on them alone to ensure our security."

NZD/USD Increases close to 0.6240 as RBNZ Increases Ocr by 50 Basis Points to 4.75 Percent

Alina Haynes

Feb 22, 2023 15:23

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Demand for the NZD/USD pair has surged dramatically as a result of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) hawkish attitude on interest rates. Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Adrian Orr has raised the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points (bps) to 4.75 percent. It was widely anticipated that a decision to increase interest rates by 50 basis points would be made. The RBNZ hiked interest rates by 75 basis points during its November monetary policy meeting, something investors should be aware of.

 

As the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) failed to significantly cut the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the New Zealand economy, a significant rate increase was anticipated. Inflationary pressures in the New Zealand economy have not yet reached their pinnacle as a result of the RBNZ's continuous policy tightening, but the labor market has begun to manifest damage.

 

Even though New Zealand Prime Minister Chris Hipkins has committed a NZ$300 million ($187.08 million) disaster aid package, the recent release of helicopter money may boost inflationary pressures.

 

The statement of monetary policy will determine whether the RBNZ maintains its goal of an OCR peak of 5.5% by May.

 

Statistics January exports and imports data were released by New Zealand during the early Asian session. Compared to the previous report, exports declined to $5.47 billion from $6.72 billion, while imports grew. This indicates that domestic demand is extremely robust.

 

Indicative of their caution, investors have begun discounting Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rates to 5%. Yet, investors' appetite for risk is growing as risk-perceived assets gain momentum. The US Dollar Index (DXY) fails to surpass the important level of resistance at 103.90. In the future, the USD Index will be affected by the release of the Federal Open Market Committee's minutes (FOMC).