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Japanese Minister of Economic Revitalization Ryomasa Akazawa: Trade negotiations with the United States will be a top priority.Futures May 9, Friday morning, the Malaysian Derivatives Exchange (BMD) crude palm oil futures may open higher as the external vegetable oil market strengthens. Chicago soybean oil and international crude oil futures climbed strongly, which will help the early performance of Malaysian crude palm oil futures. After the recent continuous decline and hitting the lowest point in more than eight months, the technical oversold of the palm oil market also helped the market rebound. The current palm oil and soybean oil price discount is $180/ton, which will help attract price-sensitive buyers to repurchase palm oil. In fact, India and India are already actively purchasing palm oil. The Malaysian Palm Oil Board will release supply and demand data next week. A survey shows that Malaysian palm oil stocks will increase for the second consecutive month at the end of April, and Malaysias palm oil production may increase significantly in the second half of the year.On May 9, the U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill on the 8th to rename the "Gulf of Mexico" to the "U.S. Gulf". In the vote that day, 211 votes were in favor and 206 votes were against. The voting results were basically divided along party lines, and one Republican congressman joined the Democratic camp to vote against. The bill requires federal agencies to rename the "Gulf of Mexico" in all maps and documents to the "U.S. Gulf". Next, the Senate will review the bill. If the bill is passed by the Senate, it will officially become law after being signed by the President. Democrats believe that the House of Representatives has a lot of important work to do and Republicans should not waste time voting on this "stupid and embarrassing" bill.Japanese government officials: Some signs of consumption recovery were seen in household spending in March, with consumers remaining frugal on food spending.Japans foreign exchange reserves stood at US$1,298.2 billion in April, compared with US$1,272.5 billion in the previous month.

In anticipation of UK Retail Sales, the British Pound falls to a new monthly low near 1.1900

Daniel Rogers

Aug 19, 2022 12:01

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On Friday's Asian session, the pound to dollar exchange rate (GBP/USD) accepted offers to reaffirm its monthly bottom at 1.1905, falling for a third consecutive day on concerns about the UK economy, aggressive Fedspeak, and upbeat US data.

 

Bloomberg reports that Indonesian President Joko Widodo has invited Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin to the Group of 20 Summit in Bali later this year. Recent market movement in favor of the US dollar may have this explanation. This was the first time the leader of the world's fourth-most populous nation had announced that both of them will be attending the November conference, according to the news.

 

August's record low for the GfK Consumer Sentiment Index in the United Kingdom was even lower than July's record low of -41. Following the release of the data, Reuters said, "British consumers are experiencing a'sense of aggravation' about the growing cost of living, according to the country's longest-running research of household finances.

 

British employment and inflation figures were reported earlier in the week, but this did not help the GBP/USD as the strong US economy and aggressive Fed talk encouraged pair bears.

 

Weekly Initial Jobless Claims declined to 250K from 265K market consensus and 254K correction, whilst the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey for August rose to 6.2 from -5 expected and -12.3 before.

 

The Fed will keep raising interest rates to "right-size" the economy, according to Mary Daly, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. The policymaker indicated that a move of 50 basis points or 75 basis points would be acceptable for the September rate decision. But Neel Kashkari of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve reportedly does not think a recession is happening in the country at the moment. President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and self-proclaimed "lifelong hawk" James Bullard is considering a further rate hike of 75 basis points in September. According to Reuters, investors expect a hike to a range of 3.50–3.75 percent by March of next year, based on trade in futures contracts related to the Fed's policy rate. As a result, the Federal Reserve target rate is between 2.25 and 2.50 percent as of right now.

 

Finally, Wall Street ended with a lackluster performance, putting pressure on S&P 500 Futures, while US 10-year Treasury rates rebounded from their previous day's drop from the monthly high to 2.891% as of press time.

 

For new guidance, GBP/USD traders will focus on August UK Retail Sales, which are predicted to be -3.3% YoY compared to -5.8% in July.