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Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD recovers within the weekly bearish trend, Covid; Treasury yields in focus

Daniel Rogers

Nov 22, 2022 14:56



Early Tuesday morning, the gold price (XAU/USD) reaches $1,745 for the first daily increase in four. In doing so, the precious metal applauds the wide US Dollar decline during a likely sluggish day preceding Wednesday's crucial data/events.


Consequently, the US Dollar Index (DXY) falls intraday by 0.25 percent to 107.55, halting a three-day rally. Recent challenges to the hawkish concerns surrounding the US Federal Reserve are reflected in the dollar's metric, which tracks US Treasury yields (Fed).


The US 10-year Treasury yields decline for the first time in four days, falling one basis point to around 3.81% as of press time, as the most recent remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) members fail to buttress the previously hawkish attitude.


In a CNBC interview, Loretta Mester, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, stated, "I think we can ease down from 75 in the December meeting." Previously, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic rejected the 75 basis point move and challenged the DXY bulls. In addition, October readings of -0.05 for the Chicago Fed National Activity Index, compared to the prior reading of 0.17, posed a challenge to US Dollar bulls.


On the other hand, a seven-month high in daily coronavirus cases from China rekindled fears of a supply bottleneck and gave US Dollar purchasers optimism ahead of tomorrow's preliminary monthly activity data and Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes.


In addition, the most recent articles from Nikkei Asia imply that China is likely hoarding the metal while selling US Treasury bonds, which gives buyers of gold reason for optimism.