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Germanys DAX30 index closed down 397.68 points, or 1.68%, at 23,336.07 points on Tuesday, September 16; Britains FTSE 100 index closed down 86.48 points, or 0.93%, at 9,190.55 points on Tuesday, September 16; Frances CAC40 index closed down 78.71 points, or 1.00%, at 7,818.22 points on Tuesday, September 16; Europes The STOXX 50 index closed at 5,373.25 points on Tuesday, September 16, down 67.15 points, or 1.23%; the Spanish IBEX 35 index closed at 15,158.19 points on Tuesday, September 16, down 230.31 points, or 1.50%; and the Italian FTSE MIB index closed at 42,513.00 points on Tuesday, September 16, down 540.72 points, or 1.26%.EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Kallas: Israels ground military operation in Gaza will worsen an already desperate situation. This will mean more death, destruction and displacement.The Atlanta Feds GDPNow model expects U.S. GDP growth to be 3.4% in the third quarter, compared with the previous forecast of 3.1%.On September 16th, Nick Timiraos, the "Federal Reserves voice," wrote in his latest article: "With a Fed rate cut virtually certain this week, investors will be focused on whether Powell will further his recent shift in stance. Investors will be closely watching for a key piece of information: Will Powell and his colleagues set a total of three rate cuts this year, or stick with their June forecast (when a minority of officials expected two cuts, given the seemingly more robust job market)?" Last month, in a highly anticipated speech, Powells concern about the job market outweighed the concerns of some of his colleagues about inflation. The question now is: Will Powell further intensify this concern after the weak August non-farm payroll report? Doing so would confirm market expectations of further rate cuts in the coming meetings, but would also likely require overcoming the concerns of some colleagues who are hesitant to commit to such a rapid policy shift due to concerns about the neutral interest rate level and whether it should be brought there.According to the Financial Times: Britain has abandoned its plan to impose zero tariffs on steel exports to the United States.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD falls below the $1,670 barrier before the Fed's chosen inflation gauge

Alina Haynes

Oct 28, 2022 15:18

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Gold price (XAU/USD) consolidates its second consecutive weekly gain as bears test the $1,658 mark ahead of Friday's European session. In doing so, the yellow metal traces the recent decline in commodities and Antipodean currencies against the backdrop of the dollar's recovery.

 

In spite of this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) gains bids to extend yesterday's gains to 110.65 as 10-year US Treasury yields rise to 3.94 percent. In spite of this, benchmark bond coupon yields reverse a 10-week advance, which boosted equity and gold prices earlier in the week.

 

While seeking answers, the market's nervousness ahead of the US Core PCE Price Index for September, which is anticipated to jump to 5.2% from 4.9% previously, might be viewed as significant in light of the recent pullback in hawkish Fed wagers. As buzz surrounding the Fed's easy rate hike in December intensifies, the inflation number and market wagers on the Fed's next action become increasingly significant.

 

Other than the rebound in the DXY, economic concerns about China, one of the world's largest commodity consumers, and geopolitical concerns about Ukraine impose downward pressure on the XAU/USD exchange rate. "The International Monetary Fund (IMF) lowered its economic estimates for Asia on Friday due to global monetary tightening, increasing prices blamed on the war in Ukraine, and China's rapid slowdown," said Reuters.

 

In the midst of these plays, stock futures are red, mirroring Wall Street's poor performance, as bond markets pare recent gains.

 

In a probable lively session, the US inflation data and pre-Fed worries could provide XAU/USD bears some motivation.