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September 8th - Analyst Robert Howard stated that the US August CPI data could determine whether the Federal Reserve will favor raising or maintaining interest rates at next weeks decision, and will also impact the dollars performance. According to the median forecast in a Reuters poll, the overall CPI is expected to rise 0.4% month-on-month and 3.4% year-on-year; core CPI is expected to rise 0.2% month-on-month and 2.4% year-on-year. If the data is higher than expected, hawkish voices will rise, calling for a rate hike by the Fed in September, potentially boosting the dollar. Conversely, if the data is weak, doves will advocate for maintaining interest rates unchanged for the sixth consecutive time, which could be detrimental to the dollar. The market currently sees a 57% probability of a Fed rate hike this month, after strong non-farm payroll data last Friday led to a shift in expectations towards a hawkish stance. This shift occurred 24 hours after Fed Governor Waller made dovish comments, which had previously pressured the dollar; seven days earlier, Fed Chairman Warshs hawkish guidance at Jackson Hole had boosted the dollar.September 8 - The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen stated today (September 8) that Houthi rebels attacked civilian and economic facilities in Abha, Khamis Mushait, Najran, and Jizan in southwestern Saudi Arabia, injuring 73 people. The coalition stated that it will respond firmly to the Houthi attacks.The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen says the Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia have seriously escalated the situation.The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen said it would respond firmly to the Houthi attacks.The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen claims that Houthi rebels attacked civilian and economic entities in Saudi Abaha, Khamis Mushait, Najran, and Jazan.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD oscillates about $1,650 as DXY recovers recent losses

Alina Haynes

Oct 25, 2022 15:24

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Gold price (XAU/USD) is indecisive while rebounding from intraday lows to $1,650 ahead of Tuesday's European session.

 

Nevertheless, the yellow metal attracted purchasers earlier in the day due to a weaker U.S. dollar, but the currency's recent resurgence looks to have weighed on the price recently. It should be mentioned that unfavorable concerns regarding China, one of the world's largest gold consumers, have recently posed a threat to the pricing of precious metals.

 

In the absence of Fed-speak, the US Dollar Index (DXY) gains bids to reclaim the 112.00 mark while trimming its first weekly loss in three weeks. It should be emphasized that the Fed's aggressive rhetoric and weak US PMIs also support the DXY's safe-haven appeal.

 

China's efforts to protect its struggling economy and worldwide pessimism regarding Xi Jinping's third term, not to mention Hang Seng's decline to a 13-year low, impose downward pressure on market mood and the XAU/USD exchange rate.

 

US 10-year Treasury rates continue under pressure around 4.21 percent, down two basis points (bps), while US stock futures and Asia-Pacific markets are moderately bid.

 

Moving forward, second-tier US Housing data and Consumer Confidence indicators may delight gold speculators before Thursday's third-quarter US Gross Domestic Product report (Q3).