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November 7th - The recent sell-off in longer-term US Treasuries indicates that fiscal issues will be investors primary concern if Trumps tariff policies are rejected, as they worry that rising debt levels will exacerbate the budget deficit. Thomas Mathews, Head of Asia Pacific Markets at Capital Economics, pointed out that the longest end of the US Treasury yield curve has seen the greatest volatility, suggesting that concerns about the fiscal situation are no less significant than those about the Federal Reserves interest rate path. The loss of tariff revenue will reignite the deficit problem. Wednesdays market reaction was more moderate than when the tariffs were introduced at the beginning of the year, as the market anticipated that the government might introduce alternative tariffs. This would limit the size of fiscal stimulus and is unlikely to fully offset the revenue loss. Furthermore, while the direct inflation-boosting effect of tariffs is limited, the recent slight decline in inflation swap rates suggests that investors believe that removing tariffs will still have some effect on curbing inflation.On November 7th, the topic of a Pop Mart livestream incident became the top trending topic. During a Pop Mart livestream, when staff were showcasing a DIMOO keychain blind box priced at 79 yuan, one person blurted out, "Wow, 79 yuan is a bit expensive," to which another responded, "Its okay, someone will buy it." Pop Mart responded to the incident, stating that they are investigating and will not dismiss the employee involved.On November 7th, the Russian Ministry of Defense released a battle report on November 6th, stating that in the "Red Army City" (Pokrovsk in Ukrainian) of the Donetsk region, Russian forces continued their attacks on besieged Ukrainian troops, seizing control of 64 buildings within a 24-hour period and repelling more than ten Ukrainian attempts to break the siege. Furthermore, Russian forces struck Ukrainian targets in 149 areas, including energy and transportation infrastructure, drone storage and launch sites, and temporary deployment points for Ukrainian troops and foreign mercenaries. In one day, they shot down two guided-missile bombs and more than 200 drones, and destroyed more than 10 armored vehicles.Citigroup raised its target price for Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) from HK$45.00 to HK$105.00.Citigroup upgraded Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) from Neutral to Buy.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD oscillates about $1,650 as DXY recovers recent losses

Alina Haynes

Oct 25, 2022 15:24

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Gold price (XAU/USD) is indecisive while rebounding from intraday lows to $1,650 ahead of Tuesday's European session.

 

Nevertheless, the yellow metal attracted purchasers earlier in the day due to a weaker U.S. dollar, but the currency's recent resurgence looks to have weighed on the price recently. It should be mentioned that unfavorable concerns regarding China, one of the world's largest gold consumers, have recently posed a threat to the pricing of precious metals.

 

In the absence of Fed-speak, the US Dollar Index (DXY) gains bids to reclaim the 112.00 mark while trimming its first weekly loss in three weeks. It should be emphasized that the Fed's aggressive rhetoric and weak US PMIs also support the DXY's safe-haven appeal.

 

China's efforts to protect its struggling economy and worldwide pessimism regarding Xi Jinping's third term, not to mention Hang Seng's decline to a 13-year low, impose downward pressure on market mood and the XAU/USD exchange rate.

 

US 10-year Treasury rates continue under pressure around 4.21 percent, down two basis points (bps), while US stock futures and Asia-Pacific markets are moderately bid.

 

Moving forward, second-tier US Housing data and Consumer Confidence indicators may delight gold speculators before Thursday's third-quarter US Gross Domestic Product report (Q3).