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On December 23, Monex Europe analysts noted in a report that the pounds current rally may soon lose momentum due to persistent potential economic headwinds. With a lack of UK economic data and many market participants absent for the Christmas holidays, the pounds movements are more broadly driven by risk appetite. Looking further ahead, forecasts for 2026 include further policy easing by the Bank of England against the backdrop of a cooling UK economy, a factor that should limit the pounds gains in the new year.A Spanish government spokesperson said that the minimum pension will be increased by more than 7% next year.December 23 - According to Econostream, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Stournaras stated that the ECB is currently in a "good position," but must be prepared to adjust monetary policy settings in either direction as needed. "If the situation at the ECB is better or worse than expected, we will take appropriate action."The Bank of Spain expects fourth-quarter GDP growth to be 0.6%-0.7%, higher than the previous quarter; it also projects GDP growth of 2.9% for fiscal year 2025, higher than the previous forecast of 2.6%. Furthermore, it has revised its 2026 GDP growth forecast upward from 1.8% to 2.2%, and projects 2027 GDP growth of 1.9%, higher than the previous forecast of 1.7%.The Bank of Spain projects inflation at 2.7% in 2025 and 2.1% in 2026 (previously 1.7%). It has lowered its 2027 inflation forecast to 1.9%, from a previous estimate of 2.4%.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD declines near $1,750 as risk aversion anticipates NFP data release

Alina Haynes

Aug 02, 2022 15:03

 截屏2022-08-02 下午2.58.26.png

 

During Tuesday's opening European session, the gold price (XAU/USD) deepens its retreat from a nearly three-month-old resistance line, falling below $1,773. In spite of this, the precious metal exhibits a five-day rise around the greatest levels since July 5.

 

The metal's early-day rally may have been influenced by a broad dollar decline and Treasury rates. The XAU/USD exchange rate afterwards looked to have been influenced by China-related news and rising worries of an economic downturn.

 

Nonetheless, the visit of US House Secretary Nancy Pelosi to Taiwan and the probable difficulties for Chinese chipmakers as a result of the U.S. consideration of banning supplies of American chipmaking equipment further weigh on market mood. Similarly, a Chinese media story may indicate that the dragon country is prepared for a military exercise in Bohai, South China Sea.

 

In addition, Bloomberg's report that Beijing's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has no fixed limits tends to dampen the market's risk appetite. People acquainted with the situation were quoted in the press as saying, "China's top leaders instructed government officials last week that this year's economic growth objective of "about 5.5 percent" should serve as guideline rather than a mandatory aim."

 

It should be emphasized that China is one of the world's largest users of gold, and that bad news stories about the country might impact on gold prices.

 

Elsewhere, the recently poor US PMIs mirrored last week's US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the second quarter to illustrate economic anxiety. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's veiled warnings that the hawks are losing steam might also dampen sentiment.

 

As a reflection of market mood, equities in the Asia-Pacific region and US stock futures see modest losses. However, the US 10-year bond yield decreases 5.5 basis points (bps) to 2.55 percent at the latest, threatening the gold bears via the weakening US dollar. In spite of this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) reestablished the monthly minimum before rebounding from 105.00.

 

The news concerning China and the recession, as well as the remarks of Chicago Fed President Charles L. Evans and Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard, will be crucial for intraday gold dealers in the future.


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