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On May 5th, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen responded to US President Donald Trumps recent threat of tariffs on automobiles, stating that the US cannot unilaterally raise tariffs and the EU is prepared for "all scenarios." On May 1st, Trump posted on social media that the US would raise tariffs on EU cars imported into the US because the EU had not complied with its bilateral trade agreement. Trump said tariffs on EU cars would increase to 25%. He added that cars manufactured in the US would not be subject to tariffs. In response, a European Commission spokesperson stated that the EU would "reserve all options" and assess possible follow-up measures. The spokesperson also stated that the EU is implementing the relevant trade agreement according to normal legislative procedures and is continuously informing the US of its progress.On May 5th, following the Reserve Bank of Australias (RBA) third consecutive interest rate hike and raising its cash rate target to 4.35%, the rate remains below Societe Generales year-end forecast of 4.7%. Societe Generale economists stated in a report, "The RBA still has room to maneuver and may raise rates at least one more time." Economists expect the RBA to maintain interest rates at 4.7% throughout 2027 and the first half of 2028, predicting core inflation will peak at 3.8% in the second quarter, before falling to 3.1% by the end of 2026. They added, "A pause in rate hikes in June seems inevitable," noting that RBA Governor Bullocks more neutral tone prompted demand for short-term rates, simultaneously pushing the yield curve for Australian 2-year and 10-year government bonds into a "bull market steepening."The World Health Organization says it plans to medically evacuate the two people on board who are infected with Hantavirus, and the cruise ship will continue its journey to the Canary Islands.World Health Organization: Our hypothesis is that the Hantavirus cases were contracted outside the cruise ship where the incident occurred.Iranian border police commander: Five smuggling vessels carrying 200,000 liters of smuggled fuel were seized in Khuzestan province.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD aims to hold over $1,800 as market sentiment surges

Daniel Rogers

Dec 27, 2022 10:53

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Gold price (XAU/USD) has surpassed Friday's peak around $1,804.00 and is anticipated to change its auction profile over the psychological resistance of $1,800.00 during the Tokyo session. The precious metal is anticipated to maintain its upward pace as market players' risk appetite improves.

 

The risk profile has turned positive as investors anticipate a future fall in U.S. inflation, driven by a reduction in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. A fall in consumption expenditure represents a reduction in household demand, which will be compensated by a decline in the pricing of products and services. This resulted in the S&P 500's rebound on Friday. In addition, a decrease in the demand for durable goods has bolstered prospects of a future reduction in inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has dropped abruptly to about 103.75 after struggling to surpass the immediate resistance level of 104.00 as a slowdown in family spending may compel the Federal Reserve (Fed) to reduce the upcoming peak in interest rates. Yields on 10-year US Treasuries have decreased to about 3.73 percent.

 

The gold price has rallied after testing the lower boundary of the four-hour Rising Channel chart pattern. The upper section of the aforementioned chart pattern is drawn from the high of around $1,786.55 on November 15, while the lower portion is drawn from the low of approximately $1,740.00 on November 29. The 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at approximately $1,791.00 has served as a significant support for the Gold price.