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Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD Volatility Decreasing Above $1,860 Prior to US Inflation

Alina Haynes

Feb 13, 2023 14:32

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Gold price (XAU/USD) volatility is decreasing ahead of U.S. inflation data that could provide fresh momentum. The price of the precious metal is fluctuating above $1,860.00. Nonetheless, the downside appears to be preferred as market players' risk appetite plummets.

 

During the Asian session, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is battling to break above the crucial resistance level of 103.35. S&P500 futures have suffered more losses as quarterly earnings have dampened expectations for risk-perceived assets. In addition, the repeated destruction of unexplained flying objects by the Pentagon's radar has impacted market sentiment. The alpha generated by 10-year US government bonds has fallen below 3.74 percent.

 

The Federal Reserve (Fed) has reignited concerns about future interest rate hikes, which has frightened market sentiment. Patrick Harker, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, anticipates that interest rates will exceed 5% this year, as inflation remains elevated. He believes that higher interest rates should be maintained for a longer period of time to attain price stability.

 

The announcement of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) will provide reassuring information for interest rates. According to a Reuters survey, both the headline and core CPI are anticipated to increase by 0.4% on a monthly basis.