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1. International precious metals futures generally closed higher. COMEX gold futures rose 1.30% to $4135.50 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures rose 1.54% to $61.44 per ounce. Cooling expectations of a Fed rate hike, coupled with weak non-farm payroll data, continued gold purchases by global central banks, and a correction in A-shares boosting safe-haven demand, all contributed to the rise in precious metal prices. 2. The WTI crude oil futures contract closed down 0.17% at $68.46 per barrel; the Brent crude oil futures contract fell 0.01% to $71.56 per barrel. Easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East led to a significant rebound in oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, increasing market supply expectations, and prompting several institutions to lower their oil price forecasts. 3. Most London base metals fell. LME aluminum rose 0.23% to $3083.0/ton, LME lead rose 0.16% to $1868.5/ton, LME copper fell 0.10% to $13285.5/ton, LME nickel fell 0.37% to $16295.0/ton, LME zinc fell 0.76% to $3472.5/ton, and LME tin fell 1.50% to $50855.0/ton. 4. The three major U.S. stock indexes closed mixed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.14% to 52900.07 points, setting a new record high; the S&P 500 was flat at 7483.24 points; and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.8% to 25832.67 points. Apple rose nearly 5%, and McDonalds rose more than 4%, leading the Dow Jones gains. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 5.44%, SanDisk dropped over 14%, and Micron Technology fell over 5%. The Wind US Tech Big Seven Index fell 0.11%, Tesla fell over 7%, and Facebook fell nearly 5%. SpaceX rose nearly 3%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell 1.77%, 21Vianet fell over 10%, and BaWangChaJi fell over 8%. European stock markets closed higher across the board: the German DAX rose 2.16% to 25,580.88 points; the French CAC40 rose 1.65% to 8,474.86 points; and the UK FTSE 100 rose 1.67% to 10,652.87 points. Stronger European stocks were driven by significantly weaker-than-expected US June non-farm payroll data, which led to a reduction in market bets on a Fed rate hike. A comprehensive reform package reached by the German ruling coalition boosted confidence.July 3 – On July 2, 2026, local time, Wang Yi, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Foreign Minister, held talks with Danish Foreign Minister Rasmussen in Copenhagen. Wang Yi stated that current bilateral relations are maintaining healthy and stable development. China is Denmarks largest trading partner in Asia, and bilateral economic and trade cooperation has yielded fruitful results over the years. China is willing to further expand trade and investment cooperation with Denmark, launch negotiations on a new version of the Green Joint Working Program, and, guided by green cooperation, deepen cooperation in scientific research and innovation, green shipping, and healthcare, while expanding exchanges in education, culture, tourism, youth, and sports, thereby enhancing mutual understanding and friendship between the two peoples and adding new contemporary significance to the China-Denmark comprehensive strategic partnership. Rasmussen stated that Denmark looks forward to maintaining exchanges at all levels with China, continuing open and candid dialogue, exploring the formulation of a new version of the Green Joint Working Program, and promoting exchanges and cooperation in trade, culture, health, education, and other fields.July 3rd - According to CNBC, US President Trump stated on Thursday that AI investment is "larger" than the internet construction of the late 1990s, and total capital expenditure matches this assertion. Goldman Sachs estimated in 2025 that AI capital expenditure would need to reach $700 billion by 2026 to match the peak spending levels of the telecommunications construction boom in the late 1990s. The investment bank predicted in May that AI capital expenditure would reach $765 billion this year and is expected to grow to $1.6 trillion annually by 2031. Regarding chips, Trump stated that he predicts 40% to 60% of chip manufacturing will be located in the United States by the time he leaves office.US President Trump: Micron Technology (MU.O) is a "hot company" run by a "great person".US President Trump: I think Musk will donate SpaceX (SPCX.O) stock to the "Trump account".

Gold Price Prediction: The XAU/USD pair stabilizes around $1,850 as the DXY flounders ahead of steady US inflation

Alina Haynes

Jun 08, 2022 14:56

 截屏2022-06-07 下午5.14.47.png

 

During the Asian session, the gold price (XAU/USD) is exhibiting choppy movement. The precious gold is fluctuating within a $2 range following a retreat from Tuesday's $1,855.64 high. This week's US inflation numbers will have a big influence on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) attitude to be taken the following week, hence causing considerable volatility in the foreign exchange market.

 

Fed chair Jerome Powell may implement an aggressive interest rate strategy in light of the optimistic US Nonfarm Payrolls report and annual inflation rate above 8 percent. Undoubtedly, rising pricing pressures are eroding household incomes in the United States, a situation that requires the Fed's sole attention. Fed Powell's declaration of a 50 basis point (bps) consecutive rate rise would be the ideal approach to continue the battle against inflation.

 

In the meantime, the US dollar index (DXY) is encountering obstacles at its important resistance level of 102.48. Tuesday's rise in positive market mood diminished the DXY's attractiveness and supported risk-perceived currencies. To go higher, the DXY must surpass Tuesday's high of 102.84.

Technical Analysis of Gold

XAU/USD is exhibiting an ascending triangle pattern on a four-hour time frame. The ascending trendline is drawn from the low of May 16 at $1,786.94, while the horizontal resistance is drawn from the high of May 24 at $1,866.89. At $1,850, the 21-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) intersects with gold prices, indicating an impending consolidation. In the meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) oscillates between 40.00 and 60.00, indicating that forthcoming trading sessions will be volatile.