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Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Leveled Off as the Dollar Rally Stopped

Alina Haynes

May 11, 2022 10:31

Investors continue to purchase gold in anticipation of tomorrow's inflation report, which could affect Fed monetary policy. In comparison to other major currencies, the dollar declined.

 

Today, benchmark rates declined in response to the Federal Reserve's less aggressive strategy. Today, the ten-year yield fell below 3 percent, after gaining 23 basis points yesterday.

 

The NFIB Small Business Economic Trends index remained unchanged from the prior month at 93.2. This indicator of small company confidence in the United States was below the 48-year average of 98.

 

This information indicates that small enterprises are struggling to combat rising inflationary pressures. Small enterprises face increased labor expenses and a labor scarcity, which exacerbates their economic difficulties.

 

The Fed's policy decision at the next meeting will likely be affected by tomorrow's inflation data.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices are approaching the 200-day moving average of 1836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to 1800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average in the vicinity of 1,874, there is observed resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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