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ECB President Christine Lagarde: I am confident that the practice of basing policy on data should be maintained.European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: We have not seen artificial intelligence causing redundancy in the labor market.European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: We are monitoring exchange rates, not setting exchange rate targets.On February 26th, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde reiterated that the ECB has successfully controlled consumer prices, but cautioned that policymakers must closely monitor perceived high inflation. She stated, "Officials will achieve the 2% growth target in the medium term. However, despite the decline in inflation, surveys show that many people still feel prices are rising faster than official data suggests." While ECB policymakers emphasized that their next interest rate adjustment will have "full flexibility," they have not indicated any intention to make any adjustments in the near term. They expect inflation to stabilize at the 2% target level in the medium term, with economic growth accelerating. However, some believe there is a possibility of inflation remaining below target for an extended period. According to the latest consumer expectations survey, perceived inflation is higher than actual data suggests. This could negatively impact private consumption and lead to higher wage demands, making the central banks task of maintaining price stability and promoting economic growth even more challenging.Gold prices fell slightly in early trading on February 26, but remained above $5,100 an ounce as investors focused on progress in US-Iran negotiations. New York gold futures edged lower as investors worried that US interest rates might remain unchanged for some time, limiting gains. However, prices still rose more than 3.5% this week, benefiting from uncertainty surrounding US trade policy and ongoing geopolitical tensions with Iran. "Any escalation of tensions involving Iran could provide further support for gold and strengthen its role as a hedge against shocks," said analysts at ING. "Meanwhile, the structural drivers behind golds previous gains remain solid."

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Fell Sharply as Yields Increased

Alina Haynes

May 10, 2022 11:13

Despite soaring inflation and falling economic growth, gold prices declined. The dollar strengthened against other major currencies. As a result of the Fed's rate tightening, benchmark yields continue to rise, as the ten-year Treasury yield rose to 3.185 percent.

 

In accordance with forecasts, wholesale inventories in the United States increased by 2.3% in March compared to the previous month. Year-over-year, wholesale inventories climbed by 22%. The calculation of the gross domestic product includes inventories.

 

Wednesday's inflation figures will likely indicate the magnitude of the Fed's next action.

Analytical Techniques

Gold prices experienced negative pressure and are on course to break below the 200-day moving average of $1,836. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,882 is observed resistance.

 

Short-term momentum is negative as the Fast Stochastic generated a sell crossing signal. With a value of 13.5 below the oversold threshold of 20, the fast stochastic indicates that prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average passes beneath the 9-day moving average of the MACD line. The MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram shows a negative trajectory, indicating falling prices.

 

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