• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
German government bonds continued to fall, with the two-year yield rising 5 basis points to 3%.Copper prices surged to a record high on the London Metal Exchange on September 7, boosted by weeks of gains fueled by market expectations that President Trump would extend US tariffs to refined metal imports. LME benchmark three-month copper futures rose as much as 0.8% to $14,533 per tonne, a new record set in January. Copper prices have risen 17% over the past year, supported by a long-standing supply-demand mismatch – a backdrop against which aging large mines worldwide are struggling to keep up with demand from data centers, renewable energy, and the power grid, a backdrop that has bullish investors for years. However, short-term factors are in focus, particularly the hundreds of thousands of tons of copper shipped to the US this year by traders seeking to profit from higher prices. About two months after the US Commerce Department submitted its recommendations to the White House, the market is still pricing in the possibility of tariffs.1. Shipping authorities and commodity traders said on Monday that the Rhine River in Germany has seen its water level drop again due to the ongoing drought, forcing cargo ships to reduce their loads once more. However, the current level remains well above the record low reached in August. The Rhine is a vital transport route for grains, minerals, coal, and refined petroleum products. 2. Consulting firm AgRural reported that with the end of the soybean planting ban and favorable rainfall, some areas in Paraná state, Brazil, have begun planting, marking the official start of the 2026/27 soybean planting season. As of last Thursday, the planted soybean area in Brazil accounted for 0.05% of the estimated total area, compared to 0.02% at the same time last year. In Brazils south-central region, the first quarterly corn planting area for the 2026/27 season reached 17% of the estimated total area, up from 11% the previous week and 12% at the same time last year. 3. Thailands sugar production for the 2026/27 season is expected to decline significantly due to drought. Executives at Thai sugar mills stated that sugar production in Thailand may fall below 10 million tons in the 2026/27 crushing season, which begins in October, a decrease of at least 17% compared to the approximately 12 million tons produced in the previous season. The El Niño phenomenon continues to intensify, and Thailand is facing insufficient rainfall in some major producing areas. The northeastern region, which accounts for about 45% of the countrys total sugar production, has received significantly less rainfall this year than other producing areas. 4. According to Mysteels survey of 15 sample projects in Indonesia, Indonesias nickel matte production in August 2026 was 28,600 tons, a decrease of 8.62% month-on-month and 2.31% year-on-year; of which 23,300 tons were high-grade nickel matte and 5,300 tons were low-grade nickel matte (excluding those that have already increased in quality). 5. Ukraine stated that it launched overnight attacks on oil processing facilities in Russias Perm region and Tatarstan, resuming attacks after a US special envoy visited Moscow last weekend. Ukrainian President Zelensky stated that long-range forces were used to strike refineries in the Perm region and Tatarstan, but did not provide further details. 6. The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) fell, ending a three-day winning streak, due to weaker freight rates for Capesize and Panamax vessels. The BDI dropped 53 points, or 1.4%, to 3575 points.According to Iranian media Fars News, Iran has warned that ships near Hassab, Oman, face the risk of attack.Turkish President: The bill for Israels wars in the region is not only paid by Iran and the Gulf states, but shared by everyone.

Gold Price Forecast: Bear Flag, Powell Teases XAU/USD Sellers, $1,750 in Focus

Daniel Rogers

Aug 26, 2022 15:08

截屏2022-07-29 上午11.06.12.png 

 

Early Friday morning in Europe, gold price (XAU/USD) recovers off intraday low as sellers retreat from $1,750 support. Gold posts its first daily loss in three around the week's high.

 

The bullion's latest downturn may be due to market pessimism ahead of the Fed's favored inflation announcement and Jackson Hole address. China, Iran, and Taiwan may add to the negative mood.

 

China's county near Beijing declared lockdown due to covid, joining the US suspension of 26 Chinese carrier flights in response to Beijing's action. An expanded defense budget, a rise in US diplomats visiting Taipei, and US President Joe Biden's stern stance on Iran's position in Syria appear to have weighed on market sentiment.

 

Mixed US data, Fedspeak, and a drop in US Treasury yields supported gold's recent run-up. The second estimate of US GDP Annualized improved to -0.6% in Q2 from -0.9% flash estimates and -0.8% market projections. US Initial Jobless Claims declined to 243K for the week ended August 19, compared to 253K predicted and 245K revised.

 

Kansas City Fed President Esther George stated Thursday, "For the near term, higher rates appear appropriate." The policymaker also said it's too early to determine what to expect in September due to upcoming critical data. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said he wants to see the next inflation number before deciding on the September rate decision, but a 50 basis point boost would still be big. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic told the WSJ, "I'd toss a coin between 50 bps and 75 bps," adding, "If data remains solid and inflation doesn't fall, it may create a case for another 75 bps."

 

China's over $1 trillion stimulus and a holistic strategy by local institutions helped metal prices.

 

S&P 500 Futures deviate from Wall Street's advances and fall to 4,195. US 10-year Treasury rates rose two basis points (bps) to 3.045% at press time, illustrating the risk-off mood.

 

Before Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole speech, XAU/USD traders may see an idle session. The Fed's chosen inflation gauge, the US Core PCE Price Index, may interest speculators. Forecasts predict YoY growth of 4.7%, down from 4.8%, and monthly growth of 0.3%, down from 0.6%.