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Japans core machinery orders month-on-month rate in July was -4.6%, in line with expectations of -1.70% and the previous value of 3.00%.Japans core machinery orders in July were 4.9% year-on-year, in line with expectations of 5.4% and the previous value of 7.60%.On September 18, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, in response to questions about the central banks statutory requirement to achieve "moderate long-term interest rates" at a press conference following the interest rate decision on Wednesday, explained why the three missions given to the Federal Reserve by Congress can be reduced to two major tasks in practice. Central bank officials have long positioned their mission as a dual task, with monetary policy focusing on keeping inflation low and stable and ensuring a continued strong job market, with little emphasis on the third task. Powell told reporters that the third task is real, but in the eyes of central bankers, it is a derivative of the two more well-known goals stipulated by law. He said: "We believe that moderate long-term interest rates are the result of achieving low and stable inflation and maximum employment." For some time, Federal Reserve officials did not believe that the third task required "independent action."1. The three major U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.57%, the S&P 500 down 0.1%, and the Nasdaq down 0.33%. American Express and Caterpillar rose over 2%, leading the Dow higher. The Wind US Tech 7 Index fell 0.66%, with Nvidia down over 2% and Amazon down over 1%. Chinese concept stocks generally rose, with Baidu Group up over 11% and ACM Semiconductor up over 9%. The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut as expected. The markets positive reaction to the policy shift provided support for U.S. stocks, but the divergent performance of technology stocks curbed overall gains. 2. U.S. Treasury yields rose across the board, with the 2-year Treasury yield up 4.99 basis points to 3.545%, the 3-year Treasury yield up 6.40 basis points to 3.533%, the 5-year Treasury yield up 6.77 basis points to 3.652%, the 10-year Treasury yield up 6.12 basis points to 4.089%, and the 30-year Treasury yield up 3.86 basis points to 4.690%. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell emphasized that inflation remains high and stated that future rate cuts will be data-dependent, prompting the market to reassess tightening risks. 3. International precious metals futures generally closed lower, with COMEX gold futures down 0.82% to $3,694.60 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 2.15% to $41.99 per ounce. 4. International oil prices fell slightly, with the main US crude oil contract closing down 0.85% at $63.97 per barrel; the main Brent crude oil contract fell 0.82% to $67.91 per barrel. 5. Most base metals prices in London fell, with LME zinc down 1.64% to $2,943 per ton, LME copper down 1.51% to $9,974 per ton, LME tin down 1.41% to $34,390 per ton, LME aluminum down 1.01% to $2,689.50 per ton, LME lead down 0.25% to $2,005 per ton, and LME nickel up 0.11% to $15,445 per ton. Expectations of loose monetary policy pushed the US dollar index to a yearly low, providing support for dollar-denominated base metals from a cost perspective.On September 18, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority lowered the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.50%, and the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points overnight.

GBP/JPY Rises Above 160.0 Prior To BoJ Ueda's Speech

Alina Haynes

Mar 27, 2023 14:46

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During the Asian session, the GBP/JPY pair's recovery above 160.00 has continued. Following the release of better-than-expected United Kingdom Retail Sales data, the cross has strengthened. Monthly Retail Sales (Feb) data increased by 1.2%, exceeding both the consensus estimate of 0.2% and the most recent reading of 0.9%. The annual Retail Sales data for the United Kingdom decreased by 3.5%, whereas analysts had predicted a 4.0% decline.

 

A rise in consumer expenditure in the United Kingdom could be the cause of an increase in the Producer Price Index (PPI), which could increase the financial burden on households. In contrast, Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey stated in a BBC interview on Friday, "There are signs of encouraging inflationary progress, but we must remain vigilant."

 

Last week, the BoE increased interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.25 percent despite global banking turmoil. Due to an increase in food price inflation and a labor shortage, inflationary pressures in the UK zone are extremely elevated. The inflation rate remains in double digits, so the Bank of England was compelled to raise interest rates further.

 

Catherine Mann, a member of the Bank of Canada, stated on Friday that she voted for a 25bp rate increase instead of a larger increase at this week's meeting, in part because inflation expectations have begun to moderate, indicating that monetary policy is having an effect.

 

The Japanese Yen will remain active in Tokyo prior to Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's speech. As the central bank strives to maintain an inflation rate above 2%, it is anticipated that the BoJ will adopt a dovish stance. The majority of Japan's inflation increase is attributable to higher import prices. Consequently, monetary instruments must exert a stronger influence on inflation.