Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD bulls want confirmation from $1,905

Gold price (XAU/USD) recovers from monthly low, grinding higher at intraday highs near $1,878 as the European session begins on Monday. In doing so, the yellow metal reverses a two-day slump in the face of a sluggish US Dollar, negative sentiment, and aggressive Fed sentiment.

The positive US jobs report and ISM Services PMI on Friday rekindled speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) had leeway to raise interest rates. However, the US shooting of a Chinese balloon and the cancellation of US Secretary of State Antony Blinken's visit to Beijing weigh on the market's risk profile. In the same vein, China warned not to exacerbate the delicate situation and described the incident as a "obvious overreaction."

The US Dollar Index (DXY) stays passive despite a comeback in US Treasury bond yields and slight losses in stock futures. The cause may be the DXY bull's hesitation ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech on Tuesday.