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On November 17th, Morgan Stanley released a report stating that after high returns in 2025, 2026 will be a year of stabilization. Due to moderate earnings per share growth and valuations remaining at relatively high levels, the upside potential for the index is limited. Morgan Stanley gives the Hang Seng Index a baseline target of 27,500 points by the end of next year; a most optimistic target of 34,700 points; and a most pessimistic target of 18,700 points. For the H-share Index, the baseline target by the end of next year is 9,700 points; the most optimistic target is 12,190 points; and the most pessimistic target is 6,670 points.McDonalds (MCD.N) expects a record number of job seekers.Thailand’s Planning Department projects GDP growth of 2.0% in 2025 (compared to 1.8%-2.3% in August) and 1.2%-2.2% in 2026, with exports projected to grow by 11.2% in 2025 (compared to 5.5% in August).On November 17th, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) board member Mark McKibbin wrote in an op-ed in the Australian Financial Review that the RBA is taking a flexible approach to its dual mandate of maintaining employment and controlling inflation. McKibbin joined the Monetary Policy Committee in March this year, having previously led the RBAs independent review for 2022-2023. This review recommended a comprehensive overhaul of the RBAs operations, including reducing the number of monetary policy meetings, holding press conferences after each interest rate decision, and establishing a governance committee. McKibbin pointed out that recent comments have misinterpreted the reviews recommendations regarding the RBAs dual mandate, and that the positions attacked by critics were never supported by the review. "The claim that inflation and unemployment should be given equal weight is untrue." One recommendation in the review clearly states that "price stability and full employment should be given equal consideration," and the report also clarifies that this does not mean they are weighted equally. "This is not a matter of wording, but a fundamentally different policy framework. Equal consideration means that both objectives must be evaluated in decision-making; while equal weighting means that the two must be mechanically balanced in any situation. We recommend the former, while some criticisms are directed at the latter."On November 17th, Japanese self-driving technology startup Turing raised approximately 15.3 billion yen (about $99 million) from investors including Toyota supplier Denso, highlighting the growing market interest in its artificial intelligence technology. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that the companys valuation nearly quadrupled a year ago after its Series A funding round, reaching approximately $388 million. The company stated in a statement on Monday that the round included a 5.5 billion yen syndicated loan. Turing was co-founded by prominent Japanese AI developer Issei Yamamoto, who rose to fame for his algorithm defeating Japans top-ranked shogi player in 2017. Founded in 2021, the startup aims to build a fully autonomous vehicle system and currently employs approximately 85 people, mostly engineers. In an interview, Yamamoto stated, "The difficulty lies in the technology, not the business model. The message from companies like Denso is that they will actively support mass production once the technology matures."

E-mini S&P: Plenty of Room to Downside with 4129.50 Target

Cory Russell

Apr 26, 2022 11:00

Early Monday, June E-mini S&P 500 Index futures were substantially down as investors responded to a dramatic drop in Asian equities markets. Investors are also anticipating higher interest rates and a flood of earnings reports from key technology firms like Amazon and Apple this week.


June E-mini S&P 500 Index futures are trading at 4233.50, down 33.75 points, or -0.79%, at 08:15 GMT. The S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) closed at $426.09 on Friday, down $11.97 or -2.73 percent.

Stocks in Shenzhen, China, are down 6%.

Investors in the United States are keeping an eye on mainland Chinese indices, which are leading the Asia-Pacific region's losses.


The Shanghai composite fell 5.13 percent to 2,928.51, while the Shenzhen component fell 6.08 percent to 10,379.28.


Despite strict lockdowns in Shanghai, China has been trying to manage its deadliest outbreak of COVID-19.


Chinese authorities in Beijing, China's capital, are warning that the virus has been spreading unnoticed for almost a week, adding to the quickly growing sickness.

Looking Forward...

Investors in the S&P 500 are preparing for the busiest week of corporate earnings season yet. This week, over 160 S&P 500 firms are set to report profits, with all attention on reports from large tech giants including Amazon, Apple, Google parent Alphabet, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft.

Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the major trend is down. The resumption of the decline will be signaled by a trade through the intraday low of 4218.50. The major trend will turn to up if the price breaks through 4509.00.


4094.25 to 4631.00 is the short-term range. The market is now trading on the weak side of its retracement zone, which is resistance around 4299.25 to 4362.75.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

Trader response to 4267.25 is expected to impact the direction of the June E-mini S&P 500 Index into Monday's closing.

Bearish Scenario

The presence of selling will be shown by a persistent move below 4267.25. Taking out 4218.50 indicates that the selling pressure is increasing. This might set the stage for a run to the major bottom at 4129.50, followed by a drop to the 2022 low at 4094.25.

Possibilities for Growth

The presence of buyers will be signaled by a prolonged advance over 4267.25. Look for a push into 4299.25 if this develops enough upward momentum. Overtaking this level would indicate that purchasing is becoming more active, with a 50% level at 4262.75 being a possible objective.