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On September 11, it was reported that on the afternoon of September 10, Ling Ji, Vice Minister of Commerce and Deputy Representative for International Trade Negotiations, and Hilstad, State Secretary of the Norwegian Ministry of Industry, Commerce and Fisheries, co-chaired the 22nd meeting of the China-Norway Joint Committee on Economic Cooperation in Beijing. Ling Ji stated that in recent years, under the strategic guidance of the leaders of both countries, China-Norway economic and trade relations have continued to develop positively, with strong growth in bilateral trade and more diversified two-way investment. China welcomes Norways role as the guest of honor at the 2026 China International Fair for Trade in Services and is willing to strengthen cooperation in the service sector and deepen practical cooperation with Norway in areas such as green environmental protection, energy transition, shipbuilding, and maritime shipping. Both China and Norway firmly support free trade and market openness, welcome Norwegian companies to invest in China, and hope that Norway will create a fair, transparent, and non-discriminatory business environment for Chinese companies investing and operating in Norway.On September 11, local time, US President Trump stated on a Fox News program on September 10 that although the war against Iran might affect the upcoming US midterm elections, he does not regret launching the war. Trump said he "doesnt agree with the word regret," adding, "If I could do it all over again, I would do it exactly the same way." Trump also refuted speculation among some of his supporters that they were "dissatisfied and demoralized because of the war." He said, "I dont think theyre demoralized. I think theyre very proud because I didnt let Iran have nuclear weapons." Trump also reiterated that the war would end immediately after the midterm elections.Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: Overnight, London spot precious metals weakened significantly, falling 1.91%. COMEX December gold futures closed at $4358.5, down 1.99%. On one hand, the US August PPI was higher than expected, further raising expectations for a Fed rate hike in September, causing a sharp rise in US Treasury yields. On the other hand, the ECBs 25bp rate hike resonated with global tightening expectations, while crude oil prices surged, further shifting inflation expectations upward. Attention should be paid to tonights US CPI data, which could further exacerbate gold price volatility. 1. On the macro front, US August pending home sales fell 2% month-on-month, higher than the expected 1.6%, with the annualized rate dropping to 3.98 million units, the lowest level in over a year. At the current sales rate, existing inventory is equivalent to 4.9 months of supply, the highest in over a decade. More importantly, the US August PPI rose 5.4% year-on-year, higher than the market expectation of 5.3% and the previous value of 4.7%; core PPI rose to 4.6% year-on-year, the highest since June. 2. Regarding central banks, the European Central Bank raised interest rates by 25 basis points yesterday, its second rate hike this year, and revised its inflation forecasts for the next two years. The market expects one more rate hike this year. Geopolitically, according to Wall Street News, the Houthi rebels seized a key Red Sea port, escalating the conflict with Saudi Arabia. Following the release of US PPI data, the probability of a Fed rate hike in September increased to over 70%, leading to another collective correction in precious metals. With the US August CPI data to be released today, caution is still advised.September 11th - The first International Space Summit concluded in Paris, France on the 10th local time. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stated in Paris that the EU has proposed updated merger guidelines to support European aerospace giants in creating space joint ventures. She emphasized that European companies need to reach a certain size to invest and compete globally.On September 11, Mohsen Rezaei, Secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council, stated on the 10th that the International Atomic Energy Agencys (IAEA) "political actions" would force some countries to withdraw from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). On the 9th, the IAEA Board of Governors adopted a resolution on the Iranian nuclear issue, jointly promoted by Britain, France, and Germany. This resolution advocates referring the alleged Iranian "violation of its nuclear non-proliferation obligations" to the UN Security Council. Reza Najafi, Irans representative to the IAEA, stated that this resolution is a "political tool" rather than a "technical document," and that the IAEA should fulfill its technical responsibilities and not become a tool for any country to advance its own political agenda.

Early Support for ETH and BTC, with US Economic Indicators in Focus

Alina Haynes

Nov 03, 2022 19:39

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Wednesday saw Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) join the larger market in the red. The NASDAQ Composite Index, Bitcoin, and Ethereum all fell in response to Fed Chair Powell's news conference. Nevertheless, the technical indications continue to be optimistic, indicating upward price trends. On Wednesday, Ethereum (ETH) fell 3.80%. Reversing Tuesday's gain of 0.32%, ETH closed the day at $1,518.

 

After a turbulent morning session, ETH recovered to a high of $1,622 by late afternoon. ETH surpassed the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1,606 prior to falling to a late low of $1,506. ETH ended the day below $1,520 after breaking through the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1,556 and the Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1,535.

 

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On Wednesday, the price of bitcoin (BTC) plummeted by 1.63 percent. BTC ended Tuesday at $20,165, a decrease of 0.04% from its opening price.

 

BTC rose to a high of $20,817 in response to the FOMC Statement, following a range-bound morning. BTC surpassed the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $20,686 before falling to an intraday low of $20,086. BTC went below the First and Second Major Support Levels (S1 and S2) at $20,327 and $20,154, respectively.

 

In accordance with forecasts, the Fed raised rates by 75 basis points on Wednesday. The FOMC Statement hinted at a likely policy move in December, lending credence to December Fed pivot wagers. The Rate Statement pushed BTC and ETH to their daily peaks.

 

However, Fed Chair Powell dashed prospects for a reversal, citing excessive inflation and the need to continue forward. Powell remarked that the "final level of interest rates will be higher than anticipated."

 

As a result, the NASDAQ Composite Index fell 3.36 percent, sending BTC and ETH into the negative.

 

Today, attention will be on US factory orders, jobless claims, and the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. We anticipate the PMI and its subcomponents to have the most effect.

 

Due to the sensitivity of BTC and ETH to US economic statistics and the FED, the correlation with the NASDAQ Composite Index remains intact. The NASDAQ 100 Mini was up 35 points this morning.