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On April 12th, Maybank senior strategist Fiona Lim stated that while the market may be somewhat disappointed by the lack of progress in US-Iran negotiations, this was not entirely unexpected. The US dollar may gain further upward momentum at the opening on Monday. Some Asian currencies, particularly those of net energy importers such as the South Korean won, Philippine peso, Japanese yen, and Thai baht, began to weaken last Friday and may continue to face pressure this week.On April 12th, Saxo Banks Chief Investment Strategist, Charu Chanana, stated that the failure of the US-Iran negotiations was a setback. For the market, this means the previous easing of tensions is likely to fade. Oil prices may rebound, risk sentiment will be dampened again, and the Strait of Hormuz, even without a complete closure, will remain a real choke point risk. However, this is not surprising given the significant differences in the two sides positions on nuclear safeguards and the Strait of Hormuz issue. For the US dollar, this means some renewed safe-haven support, but unless there is a new military escalation, a broad-based surge is unlikely. Gold may benefit from renewed geopolitical hedging demand, but the market is not yet fully back to the worst-case inflation shock scenario.Kremlin: Russia is prepared to sell natural gas to Europe if there is still a surplus in supply to "alternative markets".Kremlin: Russia currently has only 17% to 18% of Donetsk Oblast in Ukraine out of control.Kremlin: Even if Russia doesnt sell natural gas to the EU, the EU will find ways to buy it.

Early Support for ETH and BTC, with US Economic Indicators in Focus

Alina Haynes

Nov 03, 2022 19:39

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Wednesday saw Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) join the larger market in the red. The NASDAQ Composite Index, Bitcoin, and Ethereum all fell in response to Fed Chair Powell's news conference. Nevertheless, the technical indications continue to be optimistic, indicating upward price trends. On Wednesday, Ethereum (ETH) fell 3.80%. Reversing Tuesday's gain of 0.32%, ETH closed the day at $1,518.

 

After a turbulent morning session, ETH recovered to a high of $1,622 by late afternoon. ETH surpassed the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1,606 prior to falling to a late low of $1,506. ETH ended the day below $1,520 after breaking through the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1,556 and the Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1,535.

 

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On Wednesday, the price of bitcoin (BTC) plummeted by 1.63 percent. BTC ended Tuesday at $20,165, a decrease of 0.04% from its opening price.

 

BTC rose to a high of $20,817 in response to the FOMC Statement, following a range-bound morning. BTC surpassed the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $20,686 before falling to an intraday low of $20,086. BTC went below the First and Second Major Support Levels (S1 and S2) at $20,327 and $20,154, respectively.

 

In accordance with forecasts, the Fed raised rates by 75 basis points on Wednesday. The FOMC Statement hinted at a likely policy move in December, lending credence to December Fed pivot wagers. The Rate Statement pushed BTC and ETH to their daily peaks.

 

However, Fed Chair Powell dashed prospects for a reversal, citing excessive inflation and the need to continue forward. Powell remarked that the "final level of interest rates will be higher than anticipated."

 

As a result, the NASDAQ Composite Index fell 3.36 percent, sending BTC and ETH into the negative.

 

Today, attention will be on US factory orders, jobless claims, and the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. We anticipate the PMI and its subcomponents to have the most effect.

 

Due to the sensitivity of BTC and ETH to US economic statistics and the FED, the correlation with the NASDAQ Composite Index remains intact. The NASDAQ 100 Mini was up 35 points this morning.