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On May 18th, Ed Yardeni, president and chief investment strategist of Yardeni Research, stated that as investors become increasingly concerned about inflation, the Federal Reserve needs to keep pace with the bond market or risk losing control over borrowing costs. He pointed out that given the current market environment is "no longer" suitable for an accommodative stance, the Fed should remove its dovish bias at its June meeting. "If the Fed fails to remove this bias, investors will conclude that the Fed is lagging behind the inflation curve and will demand a higher inflation risk premium," Yardeni said. "We expect the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged at its June meeting and shift to a tightening policy stance." Yardeni added that the current economic context no longer provides a reason for an accommodative bias, let alone rate cuts. Instead, he believes that a more hawkish Warsh than the market expects could actually benefit Trump by helping to suppress long-term Treasury yields.According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the price of second-hand residential properties in Shenzhen rose 0.3% month-on-month in April (up 0.4% in the previous month) and fell 6.5% year-on-year (down 7.0% in the previous month).According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the price of newly built commercial residential buildings in Shenzhen rose 0.1% month-on-month in April (compared to 0.2% previously) and fell 5.3% year-on-year (compared to -5.5% previously).According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the price of second-hand residential properties in Guangzhou in April increased by 0.2% month-on-month (previous value: +0.2%) and decreased by 7.9% year-on-year (previous value: -8.1%).According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the price of newly built commercial residential buildings in Guangzhou in April increased by 0.1% month-on-month (previous value: +0.3%) and decreased by 4.4% year-on-year (previous value: -4.7%).

Early Support for ETH and BTC, with US Economic Indicators in Focus

Alina Haynes

Nov 03, 2022 19:39

 截屏2022-11-03 下午7.34.53.png

 

Wednesday saw Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) join the larger market in the red. The NASDAQ Composite Index, Bitcoin, and Ethereum all fell in response to Fed Chair Powell's news conference. Nevertheless, the technical indications continue to be optimistic, indicating upward price trends. On Wednesday, Ethereum (ETH) fell 3.80%. Reversing Tuesday's gain of 0.32%, ETH closed the day at $1,518.

 

After a turbulent morning session, ETH recovered to a high of $1,622 by late afternoon. ETH surpassed the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1,606 prior to falling to a late low of $1,506. ETH ended the day below $1,520 after breaking through the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1,556 and the Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1,535.

 

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On Wednesday, the price of bitcoin (BTC) plummeted by 1.63 percent. BTC ended Tuesday at $20,165, a decrease of 0.04% from its opening price.

 

BTC rose to a high of $20,817 in response to the FOMC Statement, following a range-bound morning. BTC surpassed the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $20,686 before falling to an intraday low of $20,086. BTC went below the First and Second Major Support Levels (S1 and S2) at $20,327 and $20,154, respectively.

 

In accordance with forecasts, the Fed raised rates by 75 basis points on Wednesday. The FOMC Statement hinted at a likely policy move in December, lending credence to December Fed pivot wagers. The Rate Statement pushed BTC and ETH to their daily peaks.

 

However, Fed Chair Powell dashed prospects for a reversal, citing excessive inflation and the need to continue forward. Powell remarked that the "final level of interest rates will be higher than anticipated."

 

As a result, the NASDAQ Composite Index fell 3.36 percent, sending BTC and ETH into the negative.

 

Today, attention will be on US factory orders, jobless claims, and the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. We anticipate the PMI and its subcomponents to have the most effect.

 

Due to the sensitivity of BTC and ETH to US economic statistics and the FED, the correlation with the NASDAQ Composite Index remains intact. The NASDAQ 100 Mini was up 35 points this morning.


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