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September 11th - Bank of America points out that investors who have heavily bought European and UK government bonds in recent months may be regretting their decisions following a sharp sell-off in the bond market. A survey by the bank shows that although respondents have become more pessimistic about the interest rate outlook, they have increased their holdings of long-duration bonds and maintained these positions since early August. Bond yields have risen sharply as soaring energy prices have exacerbated inflation concerns; this trend has been further amplified by a sell-off in other global bond markets. Strategists, including Ralf Preusser, wrote in a report released Friday: "The divergence between duration exposure to euro and sterling bonds and investor sentiment has reached a record high. Buyers regret is palpable. This helps explain the extent of the sell-off in UK and German government bonds this week as markets repriced expectations of central bank policy, especially given that most investors still believe the ECB will have to reverse policy next year."On September 11, the Iranian Foreign Minister stated that the US Treasury Secretary had been boasting about plunging Iranians into poverty and crippling the Iranian economy. However, with global confidence in the US financial system declining, the US is now powerless and helpless. The collapse in the cost of US government debt financing has only just begun.On September 11th, Goldman Sachs economist Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo stated, "Todays CPI was largely in line with expectations, ostensibly the result investors hoped for, but it does significantly increase the suspense surrounding next weeks interest rate decision. The challenge is that the data doesnt fully reflect some of the recent inflationary pressures, and theres little evidence that inflation is returning to target in the near term. This reports survey period predates the latest round of energy price increases and the spread of commodity gains from energy to sectors like metals and agriculture. Todays inflation data doesnt eliminate the possibility of stronger price pressures in the future. In short, todays in-line data will allow the Fed to retain the option of raising rates, but wont force it to act. Therefore, the market may focus more on Warshs communications, energy prices, labor market data, and what happens next, rather than what was released today."German Chancellor Merz has decided to remain in power and plans to continue pushing forward with reforms in Germany.The Houthi rebels in Yemen stated that all shipping companies, except for Saudi vessels, can navigate safely.

Early Support for ETH and BTC, with US Economic Indicators in Focus

Alina Haynes

Nov 03, 2022 19:39

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Wednesday saw Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) join the larger market in the red. The NASDAQ Composite Index, Bitcoin, and Ethereum all fell in response to Fed Chair Powell's news conference. Nevertheless, the technical indications continue to be optimistic, indicating upward price trends. On Wednesday, Ethereum (ETH) fell 3.80%. Reversing Tuesday's gain of 0.32%, ETH closed the day at $1,518.

 

After a turbulent morning session, ETH recovered to a high of $1,622 by late afternoon. ETH surpassed the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1,606 prior to falling to a late low of $1,506. ETH ended the day below $1,520 after breaking through the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1,556 and the Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1,535.

 

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On Wednesday, the price of bitcoin (BTC) plummeted by 1.63 percent. BTC ended Tuesday at $20,165, a decrease of 0.04% from its opening price.

 

BTC rose to a high of $20,817 in response to the FOMC Statement, following a range-bound morning. BTC surpassed the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $20,686 before falling to an intraday low of $20,086. BTC went below the First and Second Major Support Levels (S1 and S2) at $20,327 and $20,154, respectively.

 

In accordance with forecasts, the Fed raised rates by 75 basis points on Wednesday. The FOMC Statement hinted at a likely policy move in December, lending credence to December Fed pivot wagers. The Rate Statement pushed BTC and ETH to their daily peaks.

 

However, Fed Chair Powell dashed prospects for a reversal, citing excessive inflation and the need to continue forward. Powell remarked that the "final level of interest rates will be higher than anticipated."

 

As a result, the NASDAQ Composite Index fell 3.36 percent, sending BTC and ETH into the negative.

 

Today, attention will be on US factory orders, jobless claims, and the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. We anticipate the PMI and its subcomponents to have the most effect.

 

Due to the sensitivity of BTC and ETH to US economic statistics and the FED, the correlation with the NASDAQ Composite Index remains intact. The NASDAQ 100 Mini was up 35 points this morning.