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Domestic News: 1. The State Taxation Administration clarified the threshold for value-added tax (VAT) collection and management. 2. Wang Yi held strategic communication with Sergei Shoigu, Secretary of the Security Council of the Russian Federation. 3. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC): Investors should closely monitor changes in precious metal prices and reasonably control their position size. 4. The first-month performance reports of emerging electric vehicle manufacturers in the new year are released. Xiaomi, Wenjie, and HarmonyOS performed well, while BYDs production and sales both declined. 5. Guotou Silver LOF: Trading will be suspended from the opening of the market on February 2nd until 10:30 am on the same day. The daily price fluctuation limit after resumption of trading will be 10%. 6. China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom announced: The scope of application of VAT on telecommunications services has been adjusted, and the tax rate has increased to 9%, which will affect the companys revenue and profits. International News: 1. The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament announced that the armies of European countries will be considered "terrorist organizations." 2. US media: The Speaker of the US House of Representatives said he is confident that the partial government shutdown will end by Tuesday. 3. Zelensky: A new round of trilateral talks between Ukraine, the US, and Russia will be held on February 4th and 5th. 4. Saudi stocks suffered their biggest drop since June last year due to geopolitical factors and a gold price plunge. 5. Indias budget: 400 billion rupees will be allocated to support the semiconductor manufacturing industry. 6. Indias stock market held a special trading session on Sunday due to the budget, with metal stocks and ETFs suffering heavy losses. 7. OPEC+ statement: Eight member countries will maintain their original plan to suspend increases in oil production in March. 8. US-Iran situation—① It is reported that high-ranking US and Israeli military officials held intensive talks this weekend to discuss a strike against Iran. ② Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei stated that if the US launches a war this time, it will trigger a regional conflict. ③ Iranian officials: Media reports about the Revolutionary Guard planning military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz are incorrect. ④ US media: The US military is strengthening its air defense deployment in the Middle East to prepare for potential action against Iran.OPEC+ Statement: The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) reiterated the importance of full compliance with oil production targets.On February 1st, OPEC+ held an online meeting to assess the global market situation and outlook. The eight participating countries reaffirmed the decision made on November 2nd, 2025, to suspend increased production in March 2026 due to seasonal factors. The eight countries reiterated that the previous production cut of 1.65 million barrels per day may be partially or fully restored depending on market developments, and this will be done gradually. Countries will continue to closely monitor and assess market conditions, and while continuing efforts to maintain market stability, reiterated the importance of a cautious approach and sufficient flexibility to continue suspending (increased production) or canceling additional (production cuts), including the voluntary production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day announced in November 2023. The organization will hold its next meeting on March 1st, 2026.OPEC+ statement: Reaffirmed its commitment to maintaining market stability, and stated that the global economic outlook is stable and the current oil market fundamentals are healthy with low inventory levels.OPEC+ statement: The eight member countries will maintain their original plan to suspend increasing oil production in March.

ETH and BTC Price Movement Determined by US Statistics and the NASDAQ

Daniel Rogers

Nov 04, 2022 17:36

截屏2022-11-04 上午11.21.34.png 

 

On Thursday, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) joined the larger market in the green. Despite Fed Chair Powell's hawkish speech on Wednesday, US economic indicators fell short of forecasts, alleviating Fed concern. The technical indications continue to be optimistic, indicating rising price movements. The price of Ethereum (ETH) increased by 0.86 percent on Thursday. ETH finished the day at $1,531, partially correcting a 3.80% drop from Wednesday.

 

Due to a rocky start to the day, ETH fell to a low of $1,515 early on. Avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1,475, ETH climbed to a morning high of $1,559. However, after falling short of the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1,593, ETH plummeted further below $1,530 before US economic indicators provided support.

 

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Bitcoin (BTC) climbed by 0.29% on Thursday. BTC concluded the day at $20,223, partially reversing a loss of 1.63% from Wednesday. Notably, BTC broke a four-day losing trend by avoiding sub-$20,000 territory for the ninth consecutive day.

 

BTC reached a mid-morning high of $20,404 after a strong start to the day. BTC plummeted to a midday low of $20,052 after failing to surpass the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $20,629 during the trading session. Despite avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) at $19,900, BTC retested $20,356 before retreating.

 

US economic figures supported cryptocurrency prices, with the crucial ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI below expectations.

 

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI decreased from 56.7 to 54.4 in October. Economists anticipate a drop to 55.5.

 

The subcomponents of the Index were diverse. ISM's Non-Manufacturing Employment Index decreased from 53.0 to 49.1. The Prices Index increased from 68.7 to 70.7. The unit labor costs increased by 3.5% in Q3 compared to 8.9% in Q2.

 

While the statistics were favorable for cryptocurrencies, Fed Chair Powell's recent comments weighed on the NASDAQ Composite Index. The NASDAQ Composite Index declined by 1.73 percent on Thursday.

 

The US jobs report will have a significant impact on the NASDAQ Composite Index and the cryptocurrency market today. Due to the sensitivity of BTC and ETH to US economic statistics and the FED, the correlation with the NASDAQ Composite Index remains intact. The NASDAQ 100 Mini gained 17.75 points this morning.