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On January 31st, a research report from CITIC Securities pointed out that the Trump administrations domestic and foreign policies are expected to profoundly impact global markets this year. CITIC Securities believes that one of the Trump administrations core objectives is to push down long-term interest rates through personnel changes at the Federal Reserve and a series of initiatives to boost the traditional economy and support the midterm elections. Success would be beneficial for global stock markets and commodities. However, its foreign policy focuses on domestic affairs and voter demands, and may only have a short-term impact on major asset classes. The extent of the fiscal deficit expansion remains uncertain, which is beneficial for gold and non-ferrous metals. The midterm election results are crucial; although Trump has tried his best to gain an advantage, a Republican defeat would be a short-term negative for risk assets other than US Treasuries.U.S. Border Affairs Director Homan: My message is consistent with the position that has been in place since President Trump took office on January 20: we will conduct large-scale deportations, but will prioritize arresting criminals and those who threaten public safety.On January 31, it was reported that on January 30 local time, the Director of the White House Office of Management and Budget issued a memo to department heads instructing agencies whose funding was due at midnight to begin preparing for a government shutdown. These agencies included the Department of Defense, Department of Homeland Security, State Department, Treasury Department, Department of Labor, Department of Health and Human Services, Department of Education, Department of Transportation, and Department of Housing and Urban Development. Russ Vought stated, “Given that Congress is clearly unable to complete its work before the funding expires, affected agencies should now implement orderly shutdown plans. Employees should report to work on time, fulfill their next regular work duties, and conduct orderly shutdown activities. The government will continue to work with Congress to address recently raised issues and complete the funding work for fiscal year 2026. We hope this shutdown will not be too long.”January 31 – According to a report in the New York Times, documents released by the U.S. Department of Justice on Friday show that billionaire businessman Howard Lutnick, who served as Commerce Secretary in the Trump administration, planned to visit Jeffrey Epsteins private island. This planned visit took place in 2012 – a time when Lutnick had previously claimed to have severed ties with Epstein. Records show that in December 2012, Lutnick emailed Epstein to inquire about his location, stating that he, his family, and another family were in the Caribbean and asking if he could join them for a meal. Epstein replied through an assistant with his location on Little St. James Island, near the coast of St. Thomas in the U.S. Virgin Islands, and the two sides finalized the arrangements for a luncheon. The documents confirm that the visit did take place: the meeting was scheduled for December 23, 2012, and the following day, Epsteins assistant forwarded Lutnick a message from Epstein that read, "Its a pleasure to see you." In recent years, the visits of prominent figures closely associated with Epstein to the island have been subject to public scrutiny, but Lutnicks planned itinerary for this trip had not been disclosed before.New Energy Vehicles: 1. Zhijie officially announced its first OTA update for the entire series this year. 2. Shanghai: Provides subsidies for car replacement and upgrades, with subsidies for purchasing new energy passenger vehicles not exceeding 15,000 yuan. 3. Chinas car dealer inventory warning index for January was 59.4%, down 2.9 percentage points year-on-year and up 1.7 percentage points month-on-month. 4. Cui Dongshu: The total number of public charging piles in December 2025 will reach 4.72 million, up 92,000 month-on-month and 1.14 million year-on-year. Integrated Circuits (Chips): 1. Alibaba clarified its "Cloud + AI + Chip" strategy, with PPU chip shipments already reaching hundreds of thousands of units. 2. Cambricon: Expects net profit of 1.85 billion to 2.15 billion yuan in 2025, turning a profit. 3. SK Hynixs first-quarter profit is expected to exceed expectations due to rising chip prices. 4. Reports indicate that Hitachi plans to divest its memory business for a maximum price of 200 billion yen. 5. Apple CEO Tim Cook: The advanced chip manufacturing technology used in the chips has led to supply constraints. Memory prices had a negligible impact on the first fiscal quarter. Artificial Intelligence: 1. Indian Science and Technology Minister: India will launch an AI model next month. 2. Alibabas 1000 Questions: The DeepPlanning benchmark has officially launched. 3. Tesla discontinues its flagship model, betting 20 billion on a million robots. 4. Li Auto executives confirm entry into humanoid robots. Other: 1. A 240-ton-class commercial reusable high-pressure staged combustion liquid oxygen-kerosene engine successfully completed a long-range test. 2. Japanese media: Apple will prioritize releasing high-end iPhone models this year. 3. Market news: Several more AI researchers and Siri team executives have recently left Apple, including Siri senior director Stuart Powers, who left to join Google.

ETH and BTC Price Movement Determined by US Statistics and the NASDAQ

Daniel Rogers

Nov 04, 2022 17:36

截屏2022-11-04 上午11.21.34.png 

 

On Thursday, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) joined the larger market in the green. Despite Fed Chair Powell's hawkish speech on Wednesday, US economic indicators fell short of forecasts, alleviating Fed concern. The technical indications continue to be optimistic, indicating rising price movements. The price of Ethereum (ETH) increased by 0.86 percent on Thursday. ETH finished the day at $1,531, partially correcting a 3.80% drop from Wednesday.

 

Due to a rocky start to the day, ETH fell to a low of $1,515 early on. Avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1,475, ETH climbed to a morning high of $1,559. However, after falling short of the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1,593, ETH plummeted further below $1,530 before US economic indicators provided support.

 

You should only trade with capital that you can afford to lose while trading derivatives. The trading of derivatives may not be suitable for all investors; thus, you should ensure that you fully comprehend the risks involved and, if necessary, seek independent counsel. Before entering into a transaction with us, a Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) can be received through this website or upon request from our offices and should be reviewed. Raw Spread accounts offer spreads beginning at 0 pips and commissions of $3.50 every 100k traded. Spreads on standard accounts begin at 1 pip with no additional commission fees. CFD index spreads begin at 0.4 points. This information is not intended for inhabitants of any country or jurisdiction where distribution or use would violate local law or regulation.

 

Bitcoin (BTC) climbed by 0.29% on Thursday. BTC concluded the day at $20,223, partially reversing a loss of 1.63% from Wednesday. Notably, BTC broke a four-day losing trend by avoiding sub-$20,000 territory for the ninth consecutive day.

 

BTC reached a mid-morning high of $20,404 after a strong start to the day. BTC plummeted to a midday low of $20,052 after failing to surpass the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $20,629 during the trading session. Despite avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) at $19,900, BTC retested $20,356 before retreating.

 

US economic figures supported cryptocurrency prices, with the crucial ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI below expectations.

 

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI decreased from 56.7 to 54.4 in October. Economists anticipate a drop to 55.5.

 

The subcomponents of the Index were diverse. ISM's Non-Manufacturing Employment Index decreased from 53.0 to 49.1. The Prices Index increased from 68.7 to 70.7. The unit labor costs increased by 3.5% in Q3 compared to 8.9% in Q2.

 

While the statistics were favorable for cryptocurrencies, Fed Chair Powell's recent comments weighed on the NASDAQ Composite Index. The NASDAQ Composite Index declined by 1.73 percent on Thursday.

 

The US jobs report will have a significant impact on the NASDAQ Composite Index and the cryptocurrency market today. Due to the sensitivity of BTC and ETH to US economic statistics and the FED, the correlation with the NASDAQ Composite Index remains intact. The NASDAQ 100 Mini gained 17.75 points this morning.