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On January 20th, a research report from CITIC Securities stated that looking ahead to 2026, the development of computing power is highly certain, supernode technology is poised for a turning point, major companies Capex verification of demand logic, and the increasing competitiveness of domestic computing power manufacturers further strengthens the investment opportunities in domestic computing power chips and domestic system-level manufacturers. Against the backdrop of rapidly improving model capabilities, AI applications are flourishing, and it is recommended to focus on AI applications represented by office, coding, agent, and multimodal applications. Furthermore, with overseas expansion and policy support for domestic demand, AI applications are expected to reach a turning point.The company stated on its interactive platform that it has not yet engaged in any commercial spaceflight-related businesses.On January 20th, a research report from CICC pointed out that the recent accelerated appreciation of the RMB exchange rate is likely due to a seasonal increase in foreign exchange settlement demand in December. Increased corporate funding needs at the end of the year lead to a strong seasonality in foreign exchange settlement, typically accelerating in December and January. On average, from 2013 to 2024, the RMB/USD central parity rate is projected to appreciate by 0.5% and 0.8% in December and January respectively, with probabilities of appreciation of 75% and 67%. Beyond a trade perspective, we believe that assessing exchange rates should also consider the financial cycle perspective.1. US media: Dark Side of the Moons valuation rises to $4.8 billion. 2. US media: OpenAI plans to launch its first hardware device in 2026. 3. MiniMax CEO Yan Junjie attends Premiers symposium, becoming the second AI large-scale model company representative to participate. 4. Musk: AI5s dual-chip collaboration is equivalent to Nvidias Blackwell level. 5. Reports indicate TSMC will invest in building four more advanced packaging facilities in Taiwan this year. 6. Reports indicate SK Hynix completes process upgrade at its DRAM memory wafer fab in Wuxi, Jiangsu, China. 7. Shenzhou-20 spacecraft return capsule successfully lands at Dongfeng Landing Site. 8. New national standards for civilian drones, clarifying registration and activation procedures, are released. 9. Counterpoint: Apples iPhone shipments in China grew by 28% during the holiday season, regaining its number one market position. 1. European stock markets closed lower across the board. The German DAX index fell 1.34% to 24,959.06 points, the French CAC40 index fell 1.78% to 8,112.02 points, and the UK FTSE 100 index fell 0.39% to 10,195.35 points. Market concerns about weakening expectations of a Fed rate cut, weak European economic data, disappointing corporate earnings, and escalating geopolitical tensions fueled risk aversion. 2. The domestic bond market was generally weak and volatile. Most treasury bond futures closed lower, with the 30-year main contract down 0.22% and the 10-year main contract down 0.02%. Yields on most major interbank interest rate bonds rose by less than 1 basis point. 3. International oil prices rose across the board. The WTI crude oil futures contract rose 0.15% to $59.43 per barrel, and the Brent crude oil futures contract rose 0.08% to $64.18 per barrel. 4. All base metals rose in London. LME tin rose 3.87% to $49,840.0/ton, LME nickel rose 3.23% to $18,145.0/ton, LME copper rose 1.44% to $12,987.0/ton, LME aluminum rose 1.01% to $3,165.5/ton, LME lead rose 1.00% to $2,064.5/ton, and LME zinc rose 0.78% to $3,234.0/ton.

ETH and BTC Price Movement Determined by US Statistics and the NASDAQ

Daniel Rogers

Nov 04, 2022 17:36

截屏2022-11-04 上午11.21.34.png 

 

On Thursday, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) joined the larger market in the green. Despite Fed Chair Powell's hawkish speech on Wednesday, US economic indicators fell short of forecasts, alleviating Fed concern. The technical indications continue to be optimistic, indicating rising price movements. The price of Ethereum (ETH) increased by 0.86 percent on Thursday. ETH finished the day at $1,531, partially correcting a 3.80% drop from Wednesday.

 

Due to a rocky start to the day, ETH fell to a low of $1,515 early on. Avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1,475, ETH climbed to a morning high of $1,559. However, after falling short of the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1,593, ETH plummeted further below $1,530 before US economic indicators provided support.

 

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Bitcoin (BTC) climbed by 0.29% on Thursday. BTC concluded the day at $20,223, partially reversing a loss of 1.63% from Wednesday. Notably, BTC broke a four-day losing trend by avoiding sub-$20,000 territory for the ninth consecutive day.

 

BTC reached a mid-morning high of $20,404 after a strong start to the day. BTC plummeted to a midday low of $20,052 after failing to surpass the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $20,629 during the trading session. Despite avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) at $19,900, BTC retested $20,356 before retreating.

 

US economic figures supported cryptocurrency prices, with the crucial ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI below expectations.

 

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI decreased from 56.7 to 54.4 in October. Economists anticipate a drop to 55.5.

 

The subcomponents of the Index were diverse. ISM's Non-Manufacturing Employment Index decreased from 53.0 to 49.1. The Prices Index increased from 68.7 to 70.7. The unit labor costs increased by 3.5% in Q3 compared to 8.9% in Q2.

 

While the statistics were favorable for cryptocurrencies, Fed Chair Powell's recent comments weighed on the NASDAQ Composite Index. The NASDAQ Composite Index declined by 1.73 percent on Thursday.

 

The US jobs report will have a significant impact on the NASDAQ Composite Index and the cryptocurrency market today. Due to the sensitivity of BTC and ETH to US economic statistics and the FED, the correlation with the NASDAQ Composite Index remains intact. The NASDAQ 100 Mini gained 17.75 points this morning.