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RSM Chief Economist Joseph Brusueras: Warsh delivered the right hawkish signals at the press conference and attempted to reinforce the Fed’s credibility in restoring price stability, while also enhancing his own credibility.U.S. stocks continued to decline after the Walsh press conference, with the S&P 500 falling 1%, its biggest drop since July 29, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.65%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.6%.On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to answer questions at a press conference regarding his interactions with US President Trump. Trump has been calling for lower interest rates in recent months. Warsh stated, "I have no comment on my discussions with the president." White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Christopher Phelan said on Tuesday that raising interest rates would be a "mistake."On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that he would not disclose details of future interest rate decisions by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). He said, "I am not responsible for providing forward guidance. Our decision today (to raise interest rates) is a carefully considered, serious, and responsible one. We have been preparing for and thinking about this decision for the past 110 or 120 days." Warsh also stated that this decision was not market-driven. He said, "Our decision today is based on our assessment of the current situation, our judgment of the employment trend, and our assessment of the strength of the economy. Sometimes, the market tries to anticipate our decisions. I watch market prices to see what information the market is sending. But todays decision is our own."On September 17th, Warsh stated that while the Federal Reserve cannot prevent price shocks in commodities such as oil on its own, the central bank can use policy tools to prevent further spread of inflationary pressures. Warsh said, "We cannot influence the price of any single commodity, such as oil or groceries." However, he pointed out, "We can and will ensure that any changes in relative prices do not spread further, and do not have second- or third-order effects on the economy. Thats our responsibility, and thats what were doing." Warsh made these remarks as U.S. diesel prices hit a record high due to the Iran war.

ETH and BTC Price Movement Determined by US Statistics and the NASDAQ

Daniel Rogers

Nov 04, 2022 17:36

截屏2022-11-04 上午11.21.34.png 

 

On Thursday, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) joined the larger market in the green. Despite Fed Chair Powell's hawkish speech on Wednesday, US economic indicators fell short of forecasts, alleviating Fed concern. The technical indications continue to be optimistic, indicating rising price movements. The price of Ethereum (ETH) increased by 0.86 percent on Thursday. ETH finished the day at $1,531, partially correcting a 3.80% drop from Wednesday.

 

Due to a rocky start to the day, ETH fell to a low of $1,515 early on. Avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1,475, ETH climbed to a morning high of $1,559. However, after falling short of the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1,593, ETH plummeted further below $1,530 before US economic indicators provided support.

 

You should only trade with capital that you can afford to lose while trading derivatives. The trading of derivatives may not be suitable for all investors; thus, you should ensure that you fully comprehend the risks involved and, if necessary, seek independent counsel. Before entering into a transaction with us, a Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) can be received through this website or upon request from our offices and should be reviewed. Raw Spread accounts offer spreads beginning at 0 pips and commissions of $3.50 every 100k traded. Spreads on standard accounts begin at 1 pip with no additional commission fees. CFD index spreads begin at 0.4 points. This information is not intended for inhabitants of any country or jurisdiction where distribution or use would violate local law or regulation.

 

Bitcoin (BTC) climbed by 0.29% on Thursday. BTC concluded the day at $20,223, partially reversing a loss of 1.63% from Wednesday. Notably, BTC broke a four-day losing trend by avoiding sub-$20,000 territory for the ninth consecutive day.

 

BTC reached a mid-morning high of $20,404 after a strong start to the day. BTC plummeted to a midday low of $20,052 after failing to surpass the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $20,629 during the trading session. Despite avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) at $19,900, BTC retested $20,356 before retreating.

 

US economic figures supported cryptocurrency prices, with the crucial ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI below expectations.

 

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI decreased from 56.7 to 54.4 in October. Economists anticipate a drop to 55.5.

 

The subcomponents of the Index were diverse. ISM's Non-Manufacturing Employment Index decreased from 53.0 to 49.1. The Prices Index increased from 68.7 to 70.7. The unit labor costs increased by 3.5% in Q3 compared to 8.9% in Q2.

 

While the statistics were favorable for cryptocurrencies, Fed Chair Powell's recent comments weighed on the NASDAQ Composite Index. The NASDAQ Composite Index declined by 1.73 percent on Thursday.

 

The US jobs report will have a significant impact on the NASDAQ Composite Index and the cryptocurrency market today. Due to the sensitivity of BTC and ETH to US economic statistics and the FED, the correlation with the NASDAQ Composite Index remains intact. The NASDAQ 100 Mini gained 17.75 points this morning.


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