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April 14th - According to a CNN report on Monday, a source familiar with the negotiations revealed that the Trump administration is discussing the specific details of arranging a second round of face-to-face talks with Iranian officials before the US-Iran ceasefire expires next week, depending on the situation. However, whether such a meeting will actually take place remains uncertain. If negotiations with Iran and regional mediators progress in the coming days, officials are studying potential dates and locations for the talks, describing these discussions as an initial phase. "If the situation develops in that direction, we need to be prepared to quickly initiate the relevant arrangements," the source said. A regional source indicated that a new round of negotiations is possible, with Turkey working to bridge the differences between the two sides. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that Geneva and Islamabad have again been listed as potential locations for the next round of negotiations. Sources said that government officials remain hopeful of resolving the issue through diplomatic means. Depending on the pace of progress in negotiations in the coming days, the US and Iran may also extend the ceasefire to buy more time.Hang Seng Index futures closed up 1.01% at 15,924 points in overnight trading, a premium of 263 points.SanDisk (SNDK.O) shares rose more than 10%, bringing its total market capitalization close to $140 billion.On April 14th, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey warned on Monday that private credit funds are facing a higher risk from a one-off shock that could shake confidence across the industry. In his capacity as Chairman of the Financial Stability Board (FSB), Bailey wrote to finance ministers outlining how the Middle East conflict could, for the first time, test the $1.8 trillion global private credit market, as some highly leveraged borrowers face pressure. Bailey wrote, “The lack of transparency in these markets presents a higher risk, and even if the specific cause of the problem is limited to individual borrowers, it could trigger a broader loss of confidence.” He added that the FSB will “continue to monitor and conduct further work in the coming months.” The FSB is currently preparing a detailed report on private credit vulnerabilities, aiming to uncover hidden corners of the market that policymakers have been concerned about for years, an area that has expanded rapidly in a relatively lax regulatory environment.According to Futures News on April 14, as of the close of trading at 2:30 PM, the main Shanghai Gold futures contract fell by 0.48%, the main Shanghai Silver futures contract fell by 0.19%, and the main SC crude oil futures contract rose by 0.65%.

EURUSD attracts sells below 1.0400 in anticipation of Lagarde's ECB address

Daniel Rogers

Nov 18, 2022 15:12

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The EURUSD lacks direction at 1.0365 on Friday morning after registering its first daily loss in three sessions. In a poor session preceding Christine Lagarde's speech as president of the European Central Bank, the primary currency pair reduces its weekly gains (ECB).

 

The inability of the US Dollar to justify the recovery in US Treasury yields from their six-week low has recently exerted pressure on the EURUSD bearish. The cautious optimism around US President Joe Biden's effort to relax student loan regulations and the most recent survey on the Fed's next move may also pose a danger to pair sellers.

 

The Biden administration will seek the Supreme Court to reinstate the student loan debt relief program, according to CNBC. On the other hand, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index and housing data for October may have put doubt on the Fed's recent hawkish language.

 

In addition, the most recent Reuters poll for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) indicates that the Fed will downshift in December to deliver a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate hike, but a longer period of US central bank tightening and a higher policy rate peak are the greatest risks to the current outlook.

 

Nonetheless, strong Fed language and weakening Eurozone data may be regarded as the pair's most recent difficulties. Thursday, James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, remarked that the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy is not now deemed restrictive enough to reduce inflation. In a similar vein, Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, stated: "With inflation remaining high and a substantial degree of monetary policy tightening already underway, it is questionable how high the US central bank will need to increase the policy rate."

 

Notably, a downward revision to Eurozone inflation data, as measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), to 10.6% (final) in October from 9.9% (preliminary) in September also favored EURUSD bears the day before.

 

The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yields recovered from a six-week low before remaining roughly unchanged at 3.77 percent, while the S&P 500 Futures remain uncertain as of press time.

 

As the pair loses bullish momentum, a remark from ECB President Lagarde will be crucial for EURUSD price action in the immediate future. However, hawkish words from Lagarde and lower US Existing Home Sales statistics for October will keep bulls in play.

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