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Market news: Microsoft (MSFT.O) is replacing OpenAI and Anthropic models with its own AI models in some applications.On July 8th, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its Short-Term Energy Outlook report, which stated that it expects U.S. power sector natural gas consumption to reach a record high next year, driven primarily by rising overall electricity demand, expansion of natural gas generating capacity, and relatively low natural gas prices. The report forecasts a slight increase in natural gas demand across the economy this year, followed by a 3% increase in 2027. It predicts that wholesale electricity prices this summer will be lower than last summer, primarily due to lower natural gas costs delivered to power plants—however, summer heat waves could still cause prices to surge. Nationally, wholesale electricity prices are expected to average around $45 per megawatt-hour, with the largest price drops expected in western hub regions.On July 8th, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its Short-Term Energy Outlook report, stating that it forecasts gasoline prices to average $3.80 per gallon in the third quarter of 2026, down from over $4.20 per gallon in the second quarter. It expects retail prices to fall to around $3.40 per gallon in the fourth quarter of 2026. The EIA forecasts that the average annual retail gasoline price will fall below $3.10 per gallon in 2027.On July 8th, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its Short-Term Energy Outlook report, stating that increased oil production and the recovery of trade flows will lead to lower-than-expected crude oil inventory depletion in the coming months. We project a 2.2 million barrel per day (bpd) decrease in global oil inventories in the third quarter of 2026, compared to our June forecast of over 7 million bpd, and a 5 million bpd decrease in the second quarter of 2026. Next year, we expect rising oil production to return the market to a pre-conflict oversupply state.On July 8th, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its Short-Term Energy Outlook report, noting that on June 18th, the U.S. and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding to end the conflict and open the Strait of Hormuz. With the signing of the agreement and increased traffic through the strait, we have raised our forecast for global oil production for the remainder of this year. We now expect most crude oil production to recover to near pre-conflict levels by the end of this year, and most of the shut-down crude oil production to come online in the first quarter of 2027.

EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Breakout of the Flag Indicates Potential for New Upward Movement

Daniel Rogers

Jan 11, 2023 12:00

EUR:GBP.png 

 

During the Asian session, the EUR/GBP pair is behaving erratically below the crucial barrier of 0.8840. The cross trades aimlessly due to the absence of a potential stimulus. In the meantime, it is predicted that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cease its policy tightening, as Mario Centeno, a member of the ECB's governing council, stated that Eurozone inflation may find stiff opposition in January and February, but will begin to decrease in March.

 

EUR/GBP is forming a Bullish Flag chart pattern on a four-hour time frame, which indicates consolidation followed by a breakout. Participants typically initiate long positions during the consolidation period of a chart pattern, preferring to enter an auction once a bullish bias has been established.

 

Near 0.8820, the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) has moved sideways, suggesting continued consolidation. While the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) is still climbing, a bullish long-term trend is indicated.

 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) fluctuates between 40.00 and 60.00 in the interim. It indicates that a probable conviction move trigger is not present.

 

A breach of the January 6 high at 0.8871 will accelerate the asset towards the round-number barrier at 0.8900, followed by the September 29 high at 0.8979.

 

In comparison, a decline below Monday's low of 0.8769 will lead to the asset's December 21 low of 0.8716. A fall in the latter will cause the asset to reach a low of 0.8691 on December 19.