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White House official: Trump has discussed with oil companies plans to extend the blockade of Iran for several months if necessary.1. Wells Fargo: Still expects the Fed to cut rates twice this year, by 25 basis points, in September and December respectively. 2. ANZ: The Fed is very likely to restart its rate-cutting cycle in the third quarter of this year, most likely at the September meeting. 3. Goldman Sachs: Expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points each in September and December, and believes the possibility of a rate hike this year is very small. 4. Bank of America: Downside risks to economic growth lead us to continue to predict a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed later this year. 5. TD Securities: By the September decision, the market will have accumulated enough evidence to support the Feds gradual return to an easing cycle. 6. Standard Chartered: Once Warshs nomination is confirmed, the Fed will likely shift its focus to reviving the weak job market and resuming rate cuts. 7. Commerzbank: In the medium to long term, the Fed will be unable to resist pressure from the US president and may cut rates for the first time by the end of the year, followed by two more rate cuts in 2027. 8. Danske Bank: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged throughout the summer and eventually resume rate cuts in September and December. 9. Barclays: If inflation falls as expected, the Fed is expected to gain sufficient confidence to begin easing policy around September. 10. ING: Maintains its forecast that the Fed will cut rates twice this year, in September and December. 11. BNY Mellon: Assuming the Strait of Hormuz reopens, the Fed will cut rates twice in the fourth quarter.April 29 - International crude oil futures continued to climb as the standoff in the Middle East is expected to drag on, with the US and Iran continuing their respective blockades of the Strait of Hormuz. "The continued stalemate in negotiations between the US and Iran makes it increasingly unlikely that supplies through the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal in the short term," said Linh Tran, an analyst at XS.com, in a report. She added, "The market is no longer just anticipating risk, but a prolonged period of supply disruption."With the 60-day deadline approaching, US Republicans are discussing whether to authorize a war against Iran.According to Saudi media outlet alhadath, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has not received an invitation to travel to Washington.

Due to ECB predictions that are hawkish, the EUR/GBP rises beyond 0.850

Alina Haynes

Jul 21, 2022 11:38

 截屏2022-07-21 上午9.49.57.png

 

The EUR/GBP pair has gained gradually after testing the previous inventory distribution area, which is situated in a constrained band of 0.8475 to 0.8495 with less selling pressure. As investors back the shared currency bulls in expectation of a European Central Bank rate hike announcement, the cross is attempting to surge over 0.8500. (ECB).

 

For the first time in eleven years, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is set to hike interest rates. The ECB must raise interest rates because European households can no longer tolerate the price pressures, and the Asset Purchase Program (APP) has come to an end. Before enacting a higher rate rise in the future, the ECB could wish to start out by raising interest rates just a little bit.

 

As a consequence of Russian President Vladimir Putin's comments that it is unclear in what condition the Nord Stream 1 equipment will return from repair, the situation around the gas supply from Nord Stream 1 to Europe has become ambiguous in the meantime.

 

Price pressures on the pound's front have continued to be intense due to volatile oil and food costs. The basic Consumer Price Index (CPI) has, however, shown indications of fatigue. The overall inflation rate was 9.4%, above expectations of 9.3% and the most recent figure of 9.1%. The core CPI dropped from the prior figure of 5.9 percent, while it still met forecasts at 5.8 percent.


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