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New York gold futures surged 4.00% intraday, currently trading at $5286.10 per ounce.On January 28th, China Railway Industry Corporation (CRIC) announced that its newly signed contracts for 2025 amounted to RMB 44.396 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 7.79%. Among these, the business of special engineering machinery and related services increased by 6.70% year-on-year, while the business of transportation equipment and related services decreased by 11.90% year-on-year. The total value of major contracts signed/won in the fourth quarter was RMB 2.532 billion, accounting for approximately 8.73% of the companys operating revenue in 2024.Eurozone money markets currently estimate a 25% probability of the European Central Bank cutting interest rates by July, compared to 15% on Tuesday.1. Bank of America: The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice in 2026, in June and July respectively. 2. Goldman Sachs: Expects the Federal Reserve to implement two rate cuts this year, with the first cut in June. 3. Morgan Stanley: Expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points each in June and September. 4. Barclays: Expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points each in June and December this year. 5. EY Bordrin: Expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by a total of 50 basis points this year, but not until the second half of the year. 6. JPMorgan Chase: No longer expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2026; the next action is expected to be a 25 basis point rate hike in the third quarter of 2027. 7. KBC: The next rate cut may not come until March, by 25 basis points. A further 25 basis point cut may be made in the second quarter to reach the neutral interest rate level. 8. Oxford Economics: The Federal Reserve will maintain its policy unchanged until June. A decline in inflation will allow the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates sooner if the labor market weakens further. 9. ING: The baseline forecast is for the Fed to cut rates in March and June, but the apparent risk now is that this pace could be delayed by three months overall. The Feds "dual mandate" will face more pressing pressure to achieve a rate cut in March. 10. ANZ: A pause in rate cuts in January was appropriate, but a prolonged pause is unnecessary. They forecast the FOMC to cut rates by 25 basis points each in March and June. 11. Wells Fargo: Given the two months of economic data to be released before the March meeting, rate cuts could come earlier, in March and June. The risk to their forecast leans towards a delay in the timing of rate cuts.The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 3.3 occurred at 15:27 on January 28 near Sunan County, Zhangye City, Gansu Province (38.93 degrees north latitude, 98.22 degrees east longitude). The final result is subject to the official rapid report.

Due to ECB predictions that are hawkish, the EUR/GBP rises beyond 0.850

Alina Haynes

Jul 21, 2022 11:38

 截屏2022-07-21 上午9.49.57.png

 

The EUR/GBP pair has gained gradually after testing the previous inventory distribution area, which is situated in a constrained band of 0.8475 to 0.8495 with less selling pressure. As investors back the shared currency bulls in expectation of a European Central Bank rate hike announcement, the cross is attempting to surge over 0.8500. (ECB).

 

For the first time in eleven years, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is set to hike interest rates. The ECB must raise interest rates because European households can no longer tolerate the price pressures, and the Asset Purchase Program (APP) has come to an end. Before enacting a higher rate rise in the future, the ECB could wish to start out by raising interest rates just a little bit.

 

As a consequence of Russian President Vladimir Putin's comments that it is unclear in what condition the Nord Stream 1 equipment will return from repair, the situation around the gas supply from Nord Stream 1 to Europe has become ambiguous in the meantime.

 

Price pressures on the pound's front have continued to be intense due to volatile oil and food costs. The basic Consumer Price Index (CPI) has, however, shown indications of fatigue. The overall inflation rate was 9.4%, above expectations of 9.3% and the most recent figure of 9.1%. The core CPI dropped from the prior figure of 5.9 percent, while it still met forecasts at 5.8 percent.


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