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Futures News, August 17th: The progress of diplomatic contacts between the US and Iran has slowed, and the geopolitical dynamics are exhibiting multiple characteristics. Changes in expectations regarding the Strait of Hormuzs reopening: Initial estimates of US-Iran negotiations and the resumption of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz pushed down crude oil prices. However, with Iran demanding the lifting of sanctions and compensation, and the US also making corresponding claims, the pace of negotiations slowed, and previous expectations for a rapid resumption of navigation were revised. Traders are now incorporating the uncertainty of the shipping route into asset pricing. Supply recovery progress assessment: The ongoing geopolitical situation in the Middle East continues to affect the recovery of regional oil production and logistics. Assessment data indicates that although OPECs total production in July is estimated at approximately 19.4 million barrels per day, this is still below the pre-war level of 27 million barrels per day. According to EIA estimates, approximately 5.5 million barrels per day of production capacity in the Middle East remained shut down in July. If shipping through the Strait of Hormuz continues to be disrupted in August, the scale of production shutdowns is estimated to expand to 6.6 million barrels per day. From the perspective of market capital and position changes, with the increasing uncertainty of diplomatic negotiations, short positions previously established based on the expectation of a rapid resumption of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz have been adjusted, and geopolitical risk factors are once again reflected in market pricing. Against the backdrop of low traffic volume in the Strait of Hormuz, short-term prices have broken away from the previous downward trend, and the markets sensitivity to geopolitical news has significantly increased. Overall, the fluctuating progress of US-Iran negotiations and expectations of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz have prompted the market to reassess the risk premium on the supply side of crude oil. The core focus of the market going forward will remain on: the actual navigation status of the Strait of Hormuz, the subsequent progress of US-Iran diplomatic negotiations, and the evolution of the regional geopolitical situation. The subsequent development of these fundamental and logistical variables will continue to serve as the main basis for the markets assessment of the supply structure.On August 17th, the General Office of the Hunan Provincial Peoples Government issued the "Implementation Opinions on Accelerating the Development of the Intelligent Robot Industry." The opinions propose cultivating a number of leading enterprises across the entire intelligent robot industry chain, establishing a regular support mechanism involving provincial and municipal governments, supporting enterprises in integrating resources across industries, and promoting their transformation into technology-exporting and ecosystem-operating enterprises. The opinions also call for improving the listing service mechanism for various intelligent robot companies and supporting them in accelerating their access to the capital market. Furthermore, the opinions encourage leading enterprises to take the lead in establishing innovative application consortia to undertake major national and provincial scientific and technological research projects.On August 17th, the General Office of the Hunan Provincial Peoples Government issued the "Implementation Opinions on Accelerating the Development of the Intelligent Robot Industry." The opinions propose focusing on industrial robots, service and consumer robots, and special-purpose robots, to build an intelligent robot industry chain integrating key materials, core components, complete machine R&D, pilot testing and verification, intelligent manufacturing, scenario applications, and data feedback, promoting collaborative research and development and industrialization across all links. By 2028, the province aims to achieve a revenue exceeding 100 billion yuan for the intelligent robot industry chain; significantly improve the development level of key basic materials, advanced manufacturing processes, and core components; cultivate approximately 5 leading enterprises in the chain; and create a number of specialized and innovative supporting enterprises. By 2030, the province aims to achieve a revenue exceeding 200 billion yuan for the intelligent robot industry chain; mature the independent supporting system for core components and key materials such as precision transmission, high-precision sensing, motion control, and lightweight alloys; cultivate approximately 10 leading enterprises in the chain; and achieve a comprehensive industrial strength ranking among the top tier nationwide.According to Yonhap News Agency, South Korea says the $200 billion investment plan reached with the United States in tariff negotiations still has unresolved issues.August 17th - The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference at 3:00 PM on August 18th, 2026. Assistant Minister of Commerce Yuan Xiaoming and relevant officials from the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the Ministry of Culture and Tourism, and the State Administration for Market Regulation will introduce the relevant situation regarding stimulating the vitality of lower-tier markets and boosting county-level consumption, and answer questions from reporters.

DOGE Eyes a Return to $0.0850 to Aim for $0.090 as FTX Contagion Declines

Daniel Rogers

Nov 23, 2022 15:37

截屏2022-11-23 下午2.24.11.png 

 

On Tuesday, both Dogecoin (DOGE) and shiba inu coin (SHIB) snapped two-day losing streaks. FTX contagion risk diminished as word of FTX cash holdings and investor interest in FTX assets spread. However, technical indications remain gloomy, with exponential moving averages (EMAs) predicting additional declines.

 

On Tuesday, dogecoin (DOGE) gained 5.23 percent. Reversing Monday's loss of 2.99%, DOGE ended the day at $0.0785. Notably, DOGE closed the day below $0.0800 for the third session in a row.

 

The mid-morning low for DOGE was $0.0729. Avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) at $0.0715, DOGE climbed to a high of $0.0796 in the early afternoon. At $0.0774, DOGE surpassed the First Major Resistance Level (R1) before retreating. However, a late surge caused DOGE to surpass R1 and close the day at $0.0785.

 

You should only trade with capital that you can afford to lose while trading derivatives. The trading of derivatives may not be suitable for all investors; thus, you should ensure that you fully comprehend the risks involved and, if necessary, seek independent counsel. Before entering into a transaction with us, a Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) can be received through this website or upon request from our offices and should be reviewed. Raw Spread accounts offer spreads as low as 0 pips and a commission rate of $3.50 per 100,000 USD traded. Spreads on standard accounts begin at 1 pip with no additional commission fees. CFD index spreads begin at 0.4 points. This information is not intended for inhabitants of any country or jurisdiction where distribution or use would violate local law or regulation.

 

On Tuesday, the price of Shiba inu coin (SHIB) increased by 4.76 percent. SHIB closed the day at $0.000000881, reversing Monday's decline of 4.21%.

 

In line with the larger market, SHIB reached a low of $0.00000817 during midmorning. Finding support at the First Major Support Level (S1) at $0.00000816, SHIB surged to a high of $0.00000883 by early afternoon. At $0.00000873, SHIB surpassed the First Major Resistance Level (R1) and closed the day at $0.00000881.

 

FTX contagion risk diminished on Tuesday, providing assistance to DOGE, SHIB, and the broader market. Updates on FTX's assets revealed a substantial cash position, which would mitigate the impact of the company's bankruptcy on its creditors.

 

Reports that Justin Sun of Tron and Brad Garlinghouse of Ripple are interested in FTX assets generated additional support.

 

Nonetheless, Twitter news remained unfavorable for DOGE. There was no new information on Twitter's resumption of the crypto integration project that would promote DOGE adoption.

 

However, investor sentiment increased significantly this morning. Risk of FTX contagion remains the primary motivator. Until the court reveals who FTX's creditors are, downside risks will persist. On Tuesday, the bankruptcy judge ruling over FTX decided to redact the identities of FTX's creditors.